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  #1  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:16 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Default Is This Really the Best We Have?

Ok, let's first establish that Watchmaker is an idiot. This we already know. So the order of his selections is not the point of this post. He's basically got all of the correct nominations for the top 10. U can put them in whatever order u want. The point here is how depressingly weak this group is when this is your top 10. Horrible. We all can agree that Lava Man and Invasor are the top two I'm sure. After that:

1 - Invasor
2 - Lava Man

3 - Sun King-For all of his hard work, he's still only won ONE stakes this year, and it was a gr II sprint.

4 - Surf Cat-At least he has won three gr II races this year but only ONE was a route.

5 - Brass Hat-Has a gr I and a gr II but no wins since February.

6 - Silver Train-Has a gr I and a gr II and the Met Mile is considered a sprint by many.

7 - Premium Tap-Just won the first graded stakes of his career. One gr I win.

8 - Park Avenue Ball-One graded stakes win this year and that was a gr III.

9 - Good Reward-No graded stakes wins this year at all. No stakes wins PERIOD this year.

10 - Flower Alley-One graded stakes win this year and that was a gr III.

That means that from the #3-10 horses, in route races, which is what this division is about, we have these totals:

3 gr I (Donn, Met Mile, Woodward)
2 gr II (New Orleans Hcp, Mervyn LeRoy)
2 gr III (Salvatore Mile, Iselin Hcp)

Is this pathetic or what?
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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  #2  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:22 AM
Gander Gander is offline
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The top 2- Invasor and Lava Man are real nice horses, both treats to watch and saving what could have been a horrible Classic.

Sun King is a hard tryer and a nice horse we can count on seeing for the rest of this year. No world beater by any means but still a joy to have around.

Surf Cat has immense talent but shouldnt be mentioned anymore, hes done for the year. His wins were in short fields. Hes yet to do anything that would make him belong with the top 3.

Brass Hat got injured, thats part of the game.

Silver Train is a very nice sprinter who I cant wait to see next weekend.
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  #3  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:27 AM
Secretariat
 
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NTRE division leaders

Bernardini (145)
Invasor (ARG) (134)
Lava Man (126)
Sun King (78)
David Junior (68)
Dylan Thomas (IRE) (47)
Shirocco (Ger) (45)
Jazil (39)
Discreet Cat (26)
Giacomo (21)
UPDATED Sep 18, 2006
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  #4  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:28 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Secretariat
NTRE division leaders

Bernardini (145)
Invasor (ARG) (134)
Lava Man (126)
Sun King (78)
David Junior (68)
Dylan Thomas (IRE) (47)
Shirocco (Ger) (45)
Jazil (39)
Discreet Cat (26)
Giacomo (21)
UPDATED Sep 18, 2006
That is a better list.
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  #5  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:29 AM
Gander Gander is offline
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How about this for a list. WHy dont we focus on the NOW and not the what ifs:

1) Lava Man and Invasor
3) Sun King
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  #6  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:32 AM
Betsy Betsy is offline
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Mike has to explain also why Teammate is not in his top 10 for 3 year old fillies, even though she's finished good 2nd twice to Pine Island in the Alabama and Gazelle.
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  #7  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:44 AM
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Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
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Good Reward clunks up for second (essential the only horse in the beaten field who stayed on that day) in only one dirt race, stinks in his others, and he is ranked above Perfect Drift? Watchmaker hasn't been paying attention. Heck, I would rank Seek Gold ahead of Good Reward, since he actually won a G1 race, even if only at 9f.

Incidentally, Brass Hat was retired after his injury in the Stephen Foster; that makes 2 wins, a second in Dubai, and an injury race for 4 starts on the year. That is actually a pretty good record compared to some of these others.

Sun King at least has been knocking heads in better races and not losing by much - that used to be the way you found out who the good horses were, until winning less competitive races to pad your stallion page became the rage.
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  #8  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:47 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
Good Reward clunks up for second (essential the only horse in the beaten field who stayed on that day) in only one dirt race, stinks in his others, and he is ranked above Perfect Drift? Watchmaker hasn't been paying attention. Heck, I would rank Seek Gold ahead of Good Reward, since he actually won a G1 race, even if only at 9f.

Incidentally, Brass Hat was retired after his injury in the Stephen Foster; that makes 2 wins, a second in Dubai, and an injury race for 4 starts on the year. That is actually a pretty good record compared to some of these others.

Sun King at least has been knocking heads in better races and not losing by much - that used to be the way you found out who the good horses were, until winning less competitive races to pad your stallion page became the rage.
Ann I don't think they choose the less competitive races to pad the records only. I think that when the majority of geniuses who vote for year end honors decided that one day(Breeders Cup Day) was much more important than a whole year, that owners and trainers decided not to bang heads during the year because there wasn't any point in it. If I were an owner or trainer I would do the same. They are only playing by the new "rules" that have evolved.
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  #9  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:24 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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KG...while I respect your opinion, Surf Cat has only raced 3 times this year due to injury. 2 sprints and 1 route (1 1/16). He is one incredibly versitale horse. He has stakes wins from 6.5 furlongs to 1 1/8. While I would love to see his connections race him outside of Cali, to see what he is really made of, I understand leaving him there and cleaning up where he is entered.
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  #10  
Old 09-25-2006, 11:21 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
KG...while I respect your opinion, Surf Cat has only raced 3 times this year due to injury. 2 sprints and 1 route (1 1/16). He is one incredibly versitale horse. He has stakes wins from 6.5 furlongs to 1 1/8. While I would love to see his connections race him outside of Cali, to see what he is really made of, I understand leaving him there and cleaning up where he is entered.
Don't get me wrong here. I actually think that Surf Cat is better than any horse on the list. I think he's tons better than Invasor and I'd take him over Lava Man also. I agree that he's incredibly versatile and other than maybe Discreet Cat and Bernardini, I think he's the best horse in the country. But injury or not, he's still only raced a few times this year. If u were going to make a list of top 10 horses just 4 and up, any distance or surface, I'd leave him on there. But nine times out of 10, the older male division is considered to be for route races. That's why they have a separate division for sprinters. I think Surf Cat deserves a high ranking in the sprint division but with only that one route, and it being in a small grade two field, I don't think he merits that ranking in this division.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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  #11  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:27 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Not really sure what your point is here. There have been 10 G1s so far this year for older males at a mile or longer and six of them were won by the top two. Three of the other four were won by horses on the list. Would the list be significantly better if Seek Gold was on it instead of Flower Alley? They pretty much both suck. Once you get beyond the top 7 on that list you could pretty much throw whatever garbage you want in the last three spots.
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  #12  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:49 AM
FairPlay
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Not really sure what your point is here. There have been 10 G1s so far this year for older males at a mile or longer and six of them were won by the top two. Three of the other four were won by horses on the list. Would the list be significantly better if Seek Gold was on it instead of Flower Alley? They pretty much both suck. Once you get beyond the top 7 on that list you could pretty much throw whatever garbage you want in the last three spots.
Thanks for displaying a voice of reason on this topic. We're LUCKY to have had two horses in Lava Man and Invasor that have been dominant in the older horse division. There isn't a need to spread the wealth in top 10 list because, after the first 2, it's all scraps anyway. LM and Invasor are great for the sport, have interesting stories behind their success, and are fun to watch. Who could ask for anything more?

Last edited by FairPlay : 09-25-2006 at 11:36 AM.
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  #13  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:56 AM
Gander Gander is offline
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I agree. Having 2 horses like Invasor and Lava Man, not to mention one of the most potentially talented 3 year olds in a very long time is good enough.
Sun King has proved to be a worthy competitor and one of these days will get a huge win. Surf Cat was pretty awesome but I doubt will ever see him in a race that matters. If you like seeing him beat 3 horses than hes your guy. I'd rather root for horses like Lava Man.
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  #14  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:58 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Certianly not SC's and Headley's fault they don't show up to run against him..
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  #15  
Old 09-25-2006, 11:03 AM
Bold Reasoning
 
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Mike Watchmaker usually makes sense, but he lapses occasionally. TEAMMATE should be on the Top Ten Three-Year-Old Fillies list! I thought he picked her to win big races and she lost, so maybe he is letting his annoyance influence his list.
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  #16  
Old 09-25-2006, 11:40 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Not really sure what your point is here. There have been 10 G1s so far this year for older males at a mile or longer and six of them were won by the top two. Three of the other four were won by horses on the list. Would the list be significantly better if Seek Gold was on it instead of Flower Alley? They pretty much both suck. Once you get beyond the top 7 on that list you could pretty much throw whatever garbage you want in the last three spots.
There are, however, numerous grade two and three races. Would the list be any better with Seek Gold? Absolutely not. That was the point. U could basically pick any horses after the top two and put them on the list. Why is Good Reward on there and he hasn't even won a stakes race? Why him and not Second of June? Why no Perfect Drift or Magnum? None of them would make the list any better either though. I understand u like Sun King and u know I love Surf Cat but neither of them belong on this list. Both of them belong on the top 10 sprinter list but not this one. U say that u can throw whatever garbage u want into the last three spots. I say u could throw it into the last eight spots.

I'm just saying that when u consider it was just two years ago when we had Ghostzapper, Roses in May, Perfect Drift, Pleasantly Perfect, Medaglia d'Oro, Peace Rules, Saint Liam, and Southern Image.......and just last year when we had Lava Man, Rock Hard Ten, Saint Liam, Borrego, Perfect Drift, Commentator, even Ghostzapper for one race........u see that this year the depth of talent is severly lacking. It's not so much to say that the horses on the list are BAD horses but I think the only reason that some of them are even able to make it is because the upper level talents of the game are taken away earlier and earlier and we are being left with less and less every year.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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  #17  
Old 09-25-2006, 11:48 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
There are, however, numerous grade two and three races. Would the list be any better with Seek Gold? Absolutely not. That was the point. U could basically pick any horses after the top two and put them on the list. Why is Good Reward on there and he hasn't even won a stakes race? Why him and not Second of June? Why no Perfect Drift or Magnum? None of them would make the list any better either though. I understand u like Sun King and u know I love Surf Cat but neither of them belong on this list. Both of them belong on the top 10 sprinter list but not this one. U say that u can throw whatever garbage u want into the last three spots. I say u could throw it into the last eight spots.

I'm just saying that when u consider it was just two years ago when we had Ghostzapper, Roses in May, Perfect Drift, Pleasantly Perfect, Medaglia d'Oro, Peace Rules, Saint Liam, and Southern Image.......and just last year when we had Lava Man, Rock Hard Ten, Saint Liam, Borrego, Perfect Drift, Commentator, even Ghostzapper for one race........u see that this year the depth of talent is severly lacking. It's not so much to say that the horses on the list are BAD horses but I think the only reason that some of them are even able to make it is because the upper level talents of the game are taken away earlier and earlier and we are being left with less and less every year.
I really don't see the point of this thread to be honest with you.
I think its pretty obvious that yeah, this is the best we have. Watchmaker can't invent make believe horses to put on a list. He has to work with whats out there.
And anyone who hasn't realized by now that with the gruel of the tri crown, combined with the financial reasons to retire has coupled to form a weaker older divsion each year, well I can't help you.
This is how it is. Nothing beyond a radical shift in purse money or breeding fees is gonna change this.
End of story.
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  #18  
Old 09-25-2006, 12:03 PM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
I really don't see the point of this thread to be honest with you.
I think its pretty obvious that yeah, this is the best we have. Watchmaker can't invent make believe horses to put on a list. He has to work with whats out there.
And anyone who hasn't realized by now that with the gruel of the tri crown, combined with the financial reasons to retire has coupled to form a weaker older divsion each year, well I can't help you.
This is how it is. Nothing beyond a radical shift in purse money or breeding fees is gonna change this.
End of story.
U are missing the point then. Maybe that's my fault. I admitted as much that Watchmaker got this list right, for the most part. There just aren't any horses that are really much more deserving than the ones that are on there. And yes, I understand that this is the best we have. The point here is that the upper levels of the sport have slipped so bad that this is what we are left with. There are reasons why this has happened, a couple which u pointed out. What I'm saying is that there has to be something that can be done to change this tide. There has to be something that can be done to get us back to the days when there will be 10 actual GOOD horses on the list instead of two good ones and eight other fill-ins. Is it so bad to want more from the game? I mean, u don't even have to win a single race (Good Reward) to be a top 10 horse nowdays? A single grade three win (Park Avenue Ball and Flower Alley) can make u top 10 nowdays? No route wins at all (Sun King) can make u top 10 nowdays? A horse that is the reigning BC SPRINT champion and hasn't even run a route race this year (Silver Train), unless u count the Met Mile as a route, is top 10?
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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  #19  
Old 09-25-2006, 12:06 PM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
U are missing the point then. Maybe that's my fault. I admitted as much that Watchmaker got this list right, for the most part. There just aren't any horses that are really much more deserving than the ones that are on there. And yes, I understand that this is the best we have. The point here is that the upper levels of the sport have slipped so bad that this is what we are left with. There are reasons why this has happened, a couple which u pointed out. What I'm saying is that there has to be something that can be done to change this tide. There has to be something that can be done to get us back to the days when there will be 10 actual GOOD horses on the list instead of two good ones and eight other fill-ins. Is it so bad to want more from the game? I mean, u don't even have to win a single race (Good Reward) to be a top 10 horse nowdays? A single grade three win (Park Avenue Ball and Flower Alley) can make u top 10 nowdays? No route wins at all (Sun King) can make u top 10 nowdays? A horse that is the reigning BC SPRINT champion and hasn't even run a route race this year (Silver Train), unless u count the Met Mile as a route, is top 10?
Like I said, if you have some really great horses who are wned by Sheiks, owned by billionaires, or owned by millionaires whose thrill of racing outweihs their common sense and judgement, then you are all set.
No rational guy with any brains is gonna turn down a breeding offer in the 10's of millions to race for a best case scenario in which he weighs losing a lot of money vs losing only a little money.
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  #20  
Old 09-25-2006, 01:07 PM
Danzig2
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
U are missing the point then. Maybe that's my fault. I admitted as much that Watchmaker got this list right, for the most part. There just aren't any horses that are really much more deserving than the ones that are on there. And yes, I understand that this is the best we have. The point here is that the upper levels of the sport have slipped so bad that this is what we are left with. There are reasons why this has happened, a couple which u pointed out. What I'm saying is that there has to be something that can be done to change this tide. There has to be something that can be done to get us back to the days when there will be 10 actual GOOD horses on the list instead of two good ones and eight other fill-ins. Is it so bad to want more from the game? I mean, u don't even have to win a single race (Good Reward) to be a top 10 horse nowdays? A single grade three win (Park Avenue Ball and Flower Alley) can make u top 10 nowdays? No route wins at all (Sun King) can make u top 10 nowdays? A horse that is the reigning BC SPRINT champion and hasn't even run a route race this year (Silver Train), unless u count the Met Mile as a route, is top 10?
so if a horse runs in sprints, he's somehow a lesser horse? that's the kind of thinking (that dirt and classic is the ONLY thing in racing) that has kept some outstanding turf horses out of the market here, and has given the euros the ability to get ahead in that division, since they come and buy our best turf prospects at auction and take them home.

we have all kinds of niches in racing. doesn't mean a horse is somehow lesser if he's a speed demon. he's not loaded with stamina, doesn't mean he's not loaded with talent.
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