BC races for winning longshot and/or vulnerable favorite loses

[Seattleallstar]

the bc FnM turf and the BC turf for me so far look like races where a good longshot might come in, also in the Mile. In the past I normally would of been all goo goo over the Euros but this year im not seeing it that way.

Also in the Juvy sprint Bafferts horse looks to be a free square but if he doesnt take to the CD surface for any reason a nice price could come in there.

[asudevil]

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar

the bc FnM turf and the BC turf for me so far look like races where a good longshot might come in, also in the Mile. In the past I normally would of been all goo goo over the Euros but this year im not seeing it that way.

Also in the Juvy sprint Bafferts horse looks to be a free square but if he doesnt take to the CD surface for any reason a nice price could come in there.

I'm concerned that the CA horses will have a hard time adjusting to CD. More specifically SA based horses. Turbulent Descent has been exclusively at HP.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by asudevil

I'm concerned that the CA horses will have a hard time adjusting to CD. More specifically SA based horses. Turbulent Descent has been exclusively at HP.

Why?

I've seen that happen before on sloppy tracks -- but if the track is fast I doubt - generally speaking - they will have any trouble adjusting and running their races. Dirt is dirt.

[asudevil]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Why?

I've seen that happen before on sloppy tracks -- but if the track is fast I doubt - generally speaking - they will have any trouble adjusting and running their races. Dirt is dirt.

SA is rock hard and the horses basically skim over it. There is no "dig in." That is not the case with the dirt at CD. Maybe I'm paranoid....

[pmayjr]

I'm a little concerned for this as well, because it seems as I look over these races I'm liking a lot of the horses coming out of Cali and specifically Santa Anita. I'd like to think that yes, dirt is dirt, but then again... I was a sucker for Midnight Interlude in the Derby. In the end, if I think they're good enough it's not gonna stop me just because they came out of SA. I'd like to think each horse can individually handle or not handle the surface.

[Seattleallstar]

Originally Posted by asudevil

SA is rock hard and the horses basically skim over it. There is no "dig in." That is not the case with the dirt at CD. Maybe I'm paranoid....

its valid, thats why im not totally sold on some of these socal runners I love. Especially the Baffert runners

[Thunder Gulch]

Turbulent Descent. She's good, but I like 2 others just as much.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by asudevil

SA is rock hard and the horses basically skim over it. There is no "dig in." That is not the case with the dirt at CD. Maybe I'm paranoid....

How is Santa Anita's surface now relative to other years when they had a proper dirt track?

Aside from that, none of the Santa Anita horses that are going to the BC have run exclusively at Santa Anita, thus they already have racing form over other dirt surfaces.

Then again, Game On Dude has only won this year at Santa Anita despite running at 5 different tracks during his campaign.