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#1
09-02-2010, 06:55 AM
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9/2: Saratoga (Day 36-$100k P6 Guarantee)
Enormous payout of $377k on Saratoga double carryover certainly was earned by the 4 successful tickets which included the Twin Spires Players' Pool group. Sequence proved as tricky as it seemed with only one favorite coming through (Peat Bay in the opening leg 5th) ahead of winners from all over the board at mutuels of $8.60, $10.60, $9.70, $21.40 and $16.80. None were utterly impossible, though 7-1 Slick Wheelie in the nightcap had been away an eternity which featured stem cell replacement therapy on an injury suspensory! My opinion wasn't close on the multis, but I managed one sizable hit in the P. G. Johnson where 'Best Value' second choice Fancy Point became a universal good thing bet down to 7-2, and zipped home in front of the other three tabs for a $700 tri abnd $2,800 super. Hope you did OK!
SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/C, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Lead Us Not 5-2 2nd Best Value: #8 Riddle 5-1 5th Next Best: #1e Fisher entry 6-1 4th/8th 2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e Ward entry 7-2 9th/10th Best Value: #7 All for Peace 10-1 4th Next Best: #5 Wildcat Stevie 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Trippi's Tiger 6-1 5th 3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Wall of Worry 3-1 4th Next Best: #6 Healthy Debate 5-2 WON ($7.10) Exotics Use: #3 Sudden Silver 5-1 4th Super Add: #1 Lorraine in Spain 8-1 6th 4th: Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 House of Grace 5-1 5th Best Value: #6 In Te Domine 8-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Senada 4-1 7th Super Add: #9 Snow Top Mountain 7-2 2nd 5th: MSW-NY, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $100k Guaranteed P6 Starts Here.. Most Likely: #5 Aptphilly 5-2 3rd Best Value: #8 Adriatic Pearls 20-1 9th Next Best: #4 SCR Super Add: #3 English Ivy 6-1 5th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-7 3: 3-6-7 4: 2-3-6-9 5: 4-5-8 2x3x4x3 = $72 6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Sweet Tune 4-1 5th Best Value: #3 Dyani 5-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Muhaawara 4-1 6th Super Add: #2 Emerald Beach 8-1 3rd 7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Watch board for clues on how live #4 Modest is.. Most Likely #9 Technique 6-1 WON ($8.60) Best Value: #5 Plainview 15-1 5th Next Best: #4 Modest 3-1 9th Super Add: #1 It's Truly Ahvee 5-1 3rd 8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Platinumplus 8-5 WON ($3.20) Best Value: #5 Shehashighhopes 6-1 7th Next Best: #7 No Rhyme Or Reason 6-1 4th Super Add: #1 Lovely Promise 6-1 5th 9th: Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Queen of the Creek 5-1 WON ($10.40) Best Value: #6 Doe Run 8-1 4th Next Best: #8 Kittylicious 15-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Ultimate Class 20-1 2nd $1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $105.00 $1 Trifecta (7-3-8) Paid $1,193.00 $1 Superfecta (7-3-8-6) Paid $5,397.50 10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #3 Theresmyeverything 2-1 WON ($6.60) Best Value: #1 Mazara Del Vallo 8-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Freud's Debut 8-1 4th Super Add: #11 Haya's Boy 15-1 8th <$200 P6 Play: 5: 5-8 6: 3-4-7 7: 1-4-5-9 8: 3-5 9: 7 10: 1-3 2x3x4x2x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-4-5-9 8: 3-5 9: 6-7 10: 1-2-3 4x2x2x3 = $48 $1 P4 (9-3/6-7-3/7/12/13) Paid $106.25 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-03-2010 at 06:36 AM. 
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#4
09-02-2010, 09:46 AM
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#5
09-02-2010, 09:58 AM
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__________________
don't run out of ammo.
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#6
09-02-2010, 09:55 AM
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Good luck! Don't let me talk you off Tidal Pool. She's a nice filly but I just don't see her in this spot.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
09-02-2010, 10:00 AM
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#8
09-02-2010, 10:14 AM
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In the 1st division Senada feels like a horse that will run much better with the addition of blinkers and she's due a decent trip off of her last three. I expect her to be either 1st or 2nd. I do think Silver La Belle is a little interesting, at least underneath as she is a half to Silverfoot who won over 900k on grass.
In the 2nd division you have to play against Lisa's Booby Trap, don't you? Nice story and neat horse, but she has all of the makings of a giant underlay. I'm using Sea Road, Kittylicious and the Italian filly Marseria. She's a mystery, but I respect Toner too much to leave her out.
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#9
09-02-2010, 10:21 AM
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Seneda feels like a total trap to me. A horse they have been waiting for to get good and it likley will never happen. She is 1/7 and clearly has some hang in her. The only positive I see is Javier, and thats not enough. Im not sure the blinkers are going to help her at all. We will see. I think the 6 has a lot more left to give and is worth a play at a decent price for Linda. When I put my pick 4's in I will likely use 4,5 horses and Seneda is not one of them.
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#10
09-02-2010, 10:23 AM
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#11
09-02-2010, 01:46 PM
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__________________
don't run out of ammo.
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#12
09-02-2010, 09:59 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
09-02-2010, 04:39 PM
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#14
09-02-2010, 04:40 PM
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Very impressive.
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#15
09-02-2010, 04:41 PM
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awesome, thought that tri would pay better
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#16
09-02-2010, 04:45 PM
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I think that pretty well closes out the meet! Hope many of you got FAT. Huge effort by Dominguez on Kitty to get third.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#19
09-02-2010, 04:48 PM
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#20
09-03-2010, 03:29 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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