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Old 07-08-2010, 06:56 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,060
Default 7/8: Belmont (3rd-9th); Arlington 2yo's (6th)

Extreme heat in the Northeast and lack of entries in the West played havoc with the race week, with no less than 5 cards being scuttled, but the break in temps on the Eastern Seaboard gets things back to normal. In addition, Calder's Summit of Speed and Gold Cup Day at Hollywood are on the horizon to bookend an outstanding weekend docket.

Belmont offers modest action for Thursday with a couple of good allowances, while Friday looms with day, twilight, evening and late night action from New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania to Illinois and California... Full Summit and Gold Cup/Triple coverage on ATR Friday morning with Mike Welsch (DRF) and Caton Brader (HRTV) and Andy Beyer among the guests!


BELMONT PARK


POSt-SCRATCHES


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Has potential to be a strange race given short field and total absence of speed.. Is it possible that Sapphire Mink and Suzanne have been wasting a lot of starts on surfaces for which they aren't meant?

Most Likely: #2 Station Hill 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sapphire Mink 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Banker's Buy 7-5 WON ($3.50)


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Would be nice to find a horse to lean on as candidate to beat 1-1 Big Stick, but unfortunately, that horse doesn't appear in this horrific lineup..

Most Likely: #4 Big Stick 1-1 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #7 Pavoratti's Soul 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 French Transition 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Ungi Blanc 15-1 4th


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 No Goal 7-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Saint Jen 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Can't Rezist 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Super Add: #5 Rani Baba 5-1 3rd


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

This is a much better, and trickier, race than it looks like t first glance, and while Chad Brown's ML favorite Financially Secure is the horse to beat, h hardly towers over the next 4-5 contenders..

Most Likely: #1 Financially Secure 8-5 5th
Best Value: #7 R J Hope 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Pico Dinero 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Pagan Ruler 12-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Seis de Mayo 4-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Franklin Delano 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 We Get It 5-2 6th


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Al Khali 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Summer Patriot 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Rogue Victory 8-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Tough Cookie T 2-1
Best Value: #2 Lupo 6-1
Next Best: #4 King Prada 7-2
Super Add: #3 Empire State 10-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-5-6-7
7: 4-7-8
8: 2-4
9: 2-9

6x3x2x2 = $72



ARLINGTON PARK


6th (3:25): MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

No wagering opinion to offer up with group that features all first time starts, but a field worth looking at for some pedigree notes. #6 Bella Couture (Ian Wilkes) is the first foal to race from the MSW NY-bred Sabellina, who was passed back and forth seasonally between Chuck Simon and Carlos Martin. Chuck won the G3 Cardinal with her as a 5yo, while Carlos won a Yaddo and Mount Vernon; Mike Stidham sends #5 Crepe Myrtle, a bargain $9k KEE yearling by Purge that is a half sister to 4x SW Barcola; Tom Proctor has #2 Inside Deal, a full sister to the briefly-heralded Frisco Star..


1 Tellme All Aboutit Sanchez D DiVito James P 118 FTL 12-1
2 Inside Deal Castanon J L Proctor Thomas F 118 FTL 8-1
3 Lady Bluegrass Alvarado J Compton Greg 118 20-1
4 Holy Heavens Geroux F Catalano Wayne M 118 FTL 9-2
5 Crepe Myrtle Baze M C Stidham Michael 118 FTL 7-2
6 Bella Couture Sellers S J Wilkes Ian R 118 12-1
7 Grand Distraction Karlsson I Demeritte Larry 118 L 30-1
8 Put and Take Emigh C A Becker Scott 118 FTL 6-1
9 Fiscal Policy Graham J Amoss Thomas 118 FTL 8-5


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-08-2010 at 04:04 PM.
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  #2  
Old 07-08-2010, 10:58 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #3  
Old 07-08-2010, 11:20 AM
lord007 lord007 is offline
Hawthorne
 
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Posts: 526
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Steve did you get my e-mail with my address???
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Old 07-08-2010, 11:47 AM
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clyde clyde is offline
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Location: Welsh Pride!
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Maybe you should send him another.


Use a different address and name so he doesn't know it's you.

Should work.
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  #5  
Old 07-08-2010, 02:49 PM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
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Somebody owes Rich Eng (spelling?) a hot dog.
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  #6  
Old 07-08-2010, 03:26 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Clip-Clop View Post
Somebody owes Rich Eng (spelling?) a hot dog.
Yup.. I almost always go against Clement.

Everyone should have benefited from that discussion with Rich though with R J Hope/Pico Dinero running 2nd/3rd... Six horse field and the tri paid a fat $107.00 ($1).
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #7  
Old 07-08-2010, 03:46 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lord007 View Post
Steve did you get my e-mail with my address???
Yes! All set... Will get prize out.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #8  
Old 07-08-2010, 04:10 PM
lord007 lord007 is offline
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Cool .an thanks!!!
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