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  #1  
Old 05-18-2009, 07:26 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,956
Default 5/18: Woodbine (Victoria Day)

Belmont P6 and P4 proved too tricky for me Sunday, but winners brought home $42k for the sextet and $372 ($1) for the Quad. Victoria Day in Canada featuring the Gr. III Vigil, so the late P4 looks like fun.


WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Show the Way 3-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Don Valentino 4-1 9th
Best Value: #11 Thor's Piper 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Fionn 10-1 3rd


8th: 54th Vigil (Gr. III), 4+, 7f (P3, Super)

Fascinating race with 6 of the Jacques Cartier runners returning including top 4 which were within a length of each other at the wire. Tough not to look at new faces including familiar Rebellion (2nd, Commonwealth) and Passager (2nd, Maker's Mark Mile)...

Most Likely: #11 Rebellion 5-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Timely Advice 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Passager 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Field Commision 12-1 WON


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Winning Turn 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Fortune or Folly 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lady Shakespeare 7-2 WON
Super Add: #1 Alachua 4-1 7th


10th: MSW-(R), F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Bizarre bunch of Ontario breds, many off layoffs; Likely best to single the Moose in the P4, but take value shots to protect yourself if live to the nightcap...

Most Likely: #5 A Moose in Love 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Alesbury 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Maybe I Can 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Megavella 20-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-7-11
8: 4-5-7-9-10-11
9: 1-2-5-6
10: 5

3x6x4x1 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-18-2009 at 05:55 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-18-2009, 10:37 AM
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sdjcom sdjcom is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 2,163
Default Woodbine pk-4

7) 5,6,12

8) 6,8,11

9) 2,5,6

10) 5

bet $27
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  #3  
Old 05-18-2009, 11:01 AM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,225
Default

Race 1 #5 La Bonita Uno
Race 2 #8 Legal Review
Race 5 #13 Majestic Montana
Race 6 #6 Browning
Race 7 #3 P. J.'s Hurricane, #9 Hi Ho Ciano
Race 10 #2 Kendal Mint, #12 Acting Executive, #15 Amazonian Chocolat
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  #4  
Old 05-18-2009, 11:12 AM
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CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Posts: 4,408
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I agree The Vigil is a very fascinating race.
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  #5  
Old 05-18-2009, 03:43 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
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$1 super box ($360) of Steve's choices in the Vigil turns almost $27k... kaboom!
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  #6  
Old 05-18-2009, 04:20 PM
rgustafson rgustafson is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 224
Default

Super effort in the pick four so far Steve. Time to hedge? I wonder if Sunflower Drive might be the danger?
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