5/18: Woodbine (Victoria Day)
 

Belmont P6 and P4 proved too tricky for me Sunday, but winners brought home $42k for the sextet and $372 ($1) for the Quad. Victoria Day in Canada featuring the Gr. III Vigil, so the late P4 looks like fun.


WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Show the Way 3-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Don Valentino 4-1 9th
Best Value: #11 Thor's Piper 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Fionn 10-1 3rd


8th: 54th Vigil (Gr. III), 4+, 7f (P3, Super)

Fascinating race with 6 of the Jacques Cartier runners returning including top 4 which were within a length of each other at the wire. Tough not to look at new faces including familiar Rebellion (2nd, Commonwealth) and Passager (2nd, Maker's Mark Mile)...

Most Likely: #11 Rebellion 5-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Timely Advice 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Passager 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Field Commision 12-1 WON


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Winning Turn 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Fortune or Folly 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lady Shakespeare 7-2 WON
Super Add: #1 Alachua 4-1 7th


10th: MSW-(R), F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Bizarre bunch of Ontario breds, many off layoffs; Likely best to single the Moose in the P4, but take value shots to protect yourself if live to the nightcap...

Most Likely: #5 A Moose in Love 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Alesbury 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Maybe I Can 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Megavella 20-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-7-11
8: 4-5-7-9-10-11
9: 1-2-5-6
10: 5

3x6x4x1 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Woodbine pk-4
 

7) 5,6,12

8) 6,8,11

9) 2,5,6

10) 5

bet $27

Race 1 #5 La Bonita Uno
Race 2 #8 Legal Review
Race 5 #13 Majestic Montana
Race 6 #6 Browning
Race 7 #3 P. J.'s Hurricane, #9 Hi Ho Ciano
Race 10 #2 Kendal Mint, #12 Acting Executive, #15 Amazonian Chocolat

I agree The Vigil is a very fascinating race.

$1 super box ($360) of Steve's choices in the Vigil turns almost $27k... kaboom! :$:

Super effort in the pick four so far Steve. Time to hedge? I wonder if Sunflower Drive might be the danger?

The Exacta box in the 8th paid $1,300 for $60 bet!!

Wow, another tremendous day of capping. Thanks as always Steve, let's keep it rolling!!:tro:

nice try steve...........gosh that park has some great prices you should attack them more often

Thx all... Thought we might have pulled a rabbit out of the hat at Woodbine yesterday. Had ZERO confidence in the nightcap favorite though and wasn't surprised or disappointed that he failed. But there was no way to catch a $40 horse in the sequence without spreading mostly and narrowing somewhere. Will definitely keep an eye on Toronto as their P4/P3 mutuels have been outstanding the last couple years with the purse-fueled full fields.

Super call on Field Commission with the rail skimming ride by Pizzaro, thought Rebellion got a bad ride with Prado.

Well, I hardly had him near the top, but at least saw how jumbled a picture the race presented.

Honestly, the winner of the last was tough to have at 6-1. Yeah it was Casse/Melnyk/Husbands, but would you really want a year layoff who had shown only moderate talent, who had been training OK but with some breaks in there? Sounds like a money-losing proposition to me. The 5 just missed the break badly and had to rush up, and had little chance after that. Thought it was the right single in the sequence.