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  #1  
Old 07-30-2007, 11:22 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Default Nice Pick-4 payoffs with the 4% takeout at Ellis

To see the power of a 4% takeout, just take a look at yesterday's 4% Pick-4 at Ellis.

The winners of races 8-11 paid $10.80, $5.00, $12.00, $22.80.

What if Saratoga's 25% Pick-4 takeout had been in effect at Ellis? Then yesterday's $1 Pick-4 payoff would have been $1071. But with the 4% takeout, it paid $1371, not $1071. That extra $300 (an extra 28% profit) is what the 4% takeout brings to the game.

IMO, anyone who is not betting the Ellis Pick-4 is:
(1) missing out on what at the moment is the best bet in racing, and
(2) missing out on a chance to help the future of race betting, and therefore, the sport itself.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #2  
Old 07-30-2007, 11:31 AM
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whodey17 whodey17 is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
To see the power of a 4% takeout, just take a look at yesterday's 4% Pick-4 at Ellis.

The winners of races 8-11 paid $10.80, $5.00, $12.00, $22.80.

What if Saratoga's 25% Pick-4 takeout had been in effect at Ellis? Then yesterday's $1 Pick-4 payoff would have been $1071. But with the 4% takeout, it paid $1371, not $1071. That extra $300 (an extra 28% profit) is what the 4% takeout brings to the game.

IMO, anyone who is not betting the Ellis Pick-4 is:
(1) missing out on what at the moment is the best bet in racing, and
(2) missing out on a chance to help the future of race betting, and therefore, the sport itself.

--Dunbar
Couldnt agree more. Good example as well.
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  #3  
Old 07-30-2007, 01:01 PM
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smuthg smuthg is offline
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Location: Springfield, MO
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
To see the power of a 4% takeout, just take a look at yesterday's 4% Pick-4 at Ellis.

The winners of races 8-11 paid $10.80, $5.00, $12.00, $22.80.

What if Saratoga's 25% Pick-4 takeout had been in effect at Ellis? Then yesterday's $1 Pick-4 payoff would have been $1071. But with the 4% takeout, it paid $1371, not $1071. That extra $300 (an extra 28% profit) is what the 4% takeout brings to the game.

IMO, anyone who is not betting the Ellis Pick-4 is:
(1) missing out on what at the moment is the best bet in racing, and
(2) missing out on a chance to help the future of race betting, and therefore, the sport itself.

--Dunbar
or, in my case (3) stuck in a state (e.g. Missouri) that hates horse racing and bans account wagering.
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  #4  
Old 07-31-2007, 01:49 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smuthg
or, in my case (3) stuck in a state (e.g. Missouri) that hates horse racing and bans account wagering.
That sucks. I'm able to access my Penn National OTB acct's 800# using my cell phone. Not sure if the 800# would work if I was forced to call from a Missouri (or some other regressive state's) land line. In fact, I'm in Hawaii right now, a state with no gambling options, if I remember correctly.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #5  
Old 07-31-2007, 02:35 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Have the pools continue to grow with this? I have no opportunity to play unless I go to the OTB, then I will be playing.....
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  #6  
Old 07-31-2007, 02:49 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Have the pools continue to grow with this? I have no opportunity to play unless I go to the OTB, then I will be playing.....
They're getting $45,000 or so on Saturdays. Which is real good.

On Saturday:

Track / Total Handle / Late p-4 handle

Arlington / 6.3 mil / $55k
Ellis / 2.8 mil / $47k
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  #7  
Old 07-31-2007, 02:53 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Seriously though, with 4% takeout they should really be able to get this thing up to $100,000 on weekends. You have to be crazy to not be putting your money into this pool. The results have hardly been unpredictable either.
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  #8  
Old 07-31-2007, 03:06 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cardus
That's a great comparison point. I didn't know how to relate its growth in terms other than comparing where it started to where it is today, and how it relates to its pools of other years.
What Ellis needs to do is run on Mondays and Tuesdays. They'd do well against Delaware and Philadelphia. Hell, even Delaware handles $20k on their p-4. Don't see why Ellis doesn't run those days when the competition is softer.
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  #9  
Old 07-31-2007, 02:38 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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I've been playing it every morning to get my free past performances on Brisbet. Figure there is no better place for my money to be going.
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