8/30: Saratoga (R5-13); KY Downs (R5-12); Del Mar (R7-11)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th (2:13pm ET): NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tough Street 3-1 2nd
Next Best Value: #8 Midtown Lights 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best Value: #3 Scythian 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Embraceable Gal 6-1 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Classic 'Big Saturday' Saratoga MSW..

Best Value: #5 Further Ado 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Talkin 9-2 WON ($20.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Accost 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Souper Caliber 8-1 7th


7th: Prioress (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Stone Smuggler 8-1: Interesting spot for seasonal debut; Can surprise.. 5th
Next Best: #3 Delightful Claire 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Long Neck Paula 8-5 4th
Super Add: #1 Flat Out Time 10-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Tough, tough group the 2 that have started getting slightest edge over any number of the sharp working firsters..

Most Likely: #10 Grittiness 9-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Our Magical Moon 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Buntus Foclora 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Dragones 5-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shoot It True 5-2: Way the filly to catch and beat.. WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #1 Girls Rock 6-1 4th
Best Value: #12 Miriam's Fire 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 La Salvadorena 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 ( A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-10 (A), - (B), 5-6-7 (C)
9: 4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27


P4 Grid:

6: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 ( A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 2-7-10 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAA): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 7th)


10th: Flower Bowl (G2), F&M-4+, 11f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 La Mehena 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Amber Cascade 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Bellezza 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Be Your Best 5-2 3rd


11th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Brett Brinkman knows what to expect at the Spa having won 2 Prioress runnings with Sina (Gun Runner) sisters Cilla (California Chrome) and Alva Starr (Lord Nelson). Sina is faster coming in than Alva Starr was as a juvenile (not yet as fast as Cilla) and at 15-1, I have faith she'll run what it takes to be competitive..

Best Value: #6 Sina 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Tommy Jo 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Percy's Bar 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mythical 5-2 5th


12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Surveillance 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Rookie Card 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Acoustic Ave 8-1 WON ($15.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Victory Way 4-1 3rd


13th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Debt Limit 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Without Caution 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Main Beach 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Candytown 8-1 WON ($17.60)


P5 Grid:

9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
12: 4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
13: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-12 in 13th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
12: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-12 in 13th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve