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#1
08-13-2025, 04:59 AM
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8/13: Saratoga (Day 25; $158k P6 C/O)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 My Devine One 9-2 2nd Best Value: #7 Rizz 5-1 4th Next Best: #6 Princess Celine 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #9 Rocket Robin 8-1 7th 4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD) $158,820 P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #5 Gun Party 4-5: WON ($4.10) Horse to beat at short number, but hardly invincible.. Best Value: #6 Stowaway 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Eliminate 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Drake's Passage 3-1 3rd 5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Both entries have merit, but Fromanothamutha turns back off the claim while adding blinks. Lots to like at 9/2.. Best Value: #3 Fromanothamutha 9-2 6th Next Best: #2b Breslau 7-5 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Call Me Fast 7-2 3rd 6th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Out of the Fog 9-2 2nd ~ DePaula Play of the Day Next Best: #5 Pandemic Hero 9-2 WON ($8.30) Exotics Use: #7 Orie 2-1 4th Super Add: #3 Pazz the Soy Sauce 8-5 3rd P4 Grid: 3: 5-6-7 (A), 4-8-9 (B), - (C) 4: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C) 5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Melle Mel 6-5 WON ($3.00) Next Best: #8 Spirit of Esther 7-2 5th 8th: NY Stallion Series-R, 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (DD) Really fun group.. Best Value: #7 Blossoming Erudite 12-1 7th Next Best: #5 Boston's Phinest 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Hangover Heaven 7-2 3rd Super Add: #1 Disco Star 5-2 4th 9th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T #12-AE Keto Drink, whom Shug expects to win, is entered back in Saturday's 6th.. Most Likely: #4 Bint Mischief 4-1: Walden (and JV) sounded excited about prospects Tuesday on ATR.. Best Value: #9 Two Bits 6-1 Next Best: #10 Lit Ship 7-2 Exotics Use: #6 Delightful Darling 3-1 P5 Grid: 4: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C) 5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), - (C) 9: 4 (A), - (B), 9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x3x1 = $72 All A's: 2x2x2x2x2x1 = $32 Backup (AAACA): 2x2x3x1x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 P5 Grid: 5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C) 9: 4 (A), 9 (B), 10 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10 in 9th) P4 Grid: 6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C) 9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-10 in 9th) Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-13-2025 at 04:24 PM. 
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#2
08-13-2025, 11:01 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
08-13-2025, 12:06 PM
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Good luck Steve.
I had skipped over some of the early races when looking at this card but just noticed Rizz in race 3 when looking at your picks. Any time Adam Rice sends a horse up to Saratoga and gets Jose Ortiz aboard, seems like the horse is live. 5/1 would be a pretty nice price on that horse.
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#4
08-13-2025, 12:32 PM
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Quote:
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#5
08-13-2025, 12:37 PM
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Quote:
I’m not planning on betting that race but if that horse is 5/1, I might take a swing. I’ll have to see what the projected odds are. Edit — Based on the doubles probables, the horse will not be 5/1.
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