8/13: Saratoga (Day 25; $158k P6 C/O)
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 My Devine One 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Rizz 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Princess Celine 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Rocket Robin 8-1 7th


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$158,820 P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Gun Party 4-5: WON ($4.10) Horse to beat at short number, but hardly invincible..
Best Value: #6 Stowaway 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Eliminate 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Drake's Passage 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Both entries have merit, but Fromanothamutha turns back off the claim while adding blinks. Lots to like at 9/2..

Best Value: #3 Fromanothamutha 9-2 6th
Next Best: #2b Breslau 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Call Me Fast 7-2 3rd


6th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Out of the Fog 9-2 2nd ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #5 Pandemic Hero 9-2 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Orie 2-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Pazz the Soy Sauce 8-5 3rd


P4 Grid:

3: 5-6-7 (A), 4-8-9 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Melle Mel 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #8 Spirit of Esther 7-2 5th


8th: NY Stallion Series-R, 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (DD)

Really fun group..

Best Value: #7 Blossoming Erudite 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Boston's Phinest 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Hangover Heaven 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Disco Star 5-2 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T

#12-AE Keto Drink, whom Shug expects to win, is entered back in Saturday's 6th..

Most Likely: #4 Bint Mischief 4-1: Walden (and JV) sounded excited about prospects Tuesday on ATR..
Best Value: #9 Two Bits 6-1
Next Best: #10 Lit Ship 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Delightful Darling 3-1


P5 Grid:

4: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x3x1 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2x1 = $32
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x3x1x1 = 12 x .50 = $6


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), 9 (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-10 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Good luck Steve.

I had skipped over some of the early races when looking at this card but just noticed Rizz in race 3 when looking at your picks. Any time Adam Rice sends a horse up to Saratoga and gets Jose Ortiz aboard, seems like the horse is live. 5/1 would be a pretty nice price on that horse.

Not sure you’ll get 5–1 on that one as alot of people will be jumping on those Rice stats. I’m going to take flyer on 3 horse and box with 6,9. Think horse will be good value in a wide open race

You may be right.

I’m not planning on betting that race but if that horse is 5/1, I might take a swing. I’ll have to see what the projected odds are.

Edit — Based on the doubles probables, the horse will not be 5/1.