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#1
03-18-2017, 07:57 AM
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3/18: Oaklawn (7th-11th)
OAKLAWN PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 31st Azeri (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3) When singling Terra Promessa to start P5, hard not to think about Masochistic failing at SA last week. Yes she's overwherlmingly likely, but Power of Snunner, Eskenformoney, Streamline all within a couple lengths if she regresses off the career best Bayakoa effort.. Most Likely: #2 Terra Promessa 3-5 5th Best Value: #7 Streamline 10-1 WON ($26.20) Next Best: #6 Eskenformoney 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Power of Snunner 8-1 4th 8th: 69th Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3) Another reason Terra Promessa has to be a heavy lean is the complexity of this event with top contenders less than a 2 lengths apart and even the outsiders well within range. Most Likely: #3 Dazzling Gem 8-1 4th Next Best: #2 Mor Spirit 7-5 WON ($3.00) Best Value: #7 Domain's Rap 8-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Shotgun Kowboy 5-1 6th 9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3) Very tricky read and don't think the faves are any better than several down the pecking order.. Most Likely: #10 Boalt Hall 5-1 8th Exotics Use: #1 Manhattan Mischief 3-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Operation Stevie 12-1 3rd Super Add: #8 Will Munnings SCR 10th: 57th Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD) And then there's this fascinating cast which offers a rare mid-March look at runners from 4 of the 5 major winter venues.. As discussed with James Scully, Nick Tammaro, Ed DeRosa, Jay Privman & Mary Rampellini Friday, pace scenario (fast, hot, meltdown?) is the decision you need to make with referendum on Malagacy stretching out imperative. He, American Anthem, Royal Mo, Uncontested all look to be grappling for the lead into the turn. Any seem capable if allowed to relax, but sure feels like there will be a spirited battle with second flight players Petrov & Untrapped looking to engage when appropriate. Silver Dust and Lookin At Lee (even maiden Sonneteer) are your late runners that can get significant shares. Terrific Arky Derby prep, well worth the $900k that Mr. Cella is offering.. Most Likely: #4 Petrov 9-2 4th Best Value: #5 Untrapped 8-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Malagacy 4-1 WON ($8.60) Exotics Use: #8 Silver Dust 15-1 5th Super Add: #11 Lookin At Lee 15-1 6th 11th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f A scrambler to close out a tough set of sequences.. Best Value: #12 Leofric 8-1 WON ($11.60) Next Best: #3 Dan the Go to Man 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Langdarma 15-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Warden of the West 12-1 7th P5 Grid: 7: 2 (A), - (B), 5-6-7 (C) 8: 2-3-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 4-5 (C) 9: 1-10 (A), - (B), 3-7-8-9 (C) 10: 4-5-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 8-11 (C) 11: 3-9-12 (A), - (B), 2-5-6-8-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 1x3x2x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 P4 Grid: 8: 2-3-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 4-5 (C) 9: 1-10 (A), - (B), 3-7-8-9 (C) 10: 4-5-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 8-11 (C) 11: 3-9-12 (A), - (B), 2-5-6-8-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 $0.50 Pick-4 (2,6/9/6/12) Paid $442.90 (A-C-A-A) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-18-2017 at 07:12 PM. 
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#3
03-19-2017, 10:05 AM
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#4
03-19-2017, 11:20 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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