Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-28-2015, 06:12 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,855
Default 2/28: Gulfstream Park (4th-12th)

GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

DRF PmM Clocker Mike Vesce hasn't been wrong with his raves all winter and he had strong positives about Motion's Donworth on air and in print. Not hard to get behind in event where more than half are making debuts. Perkins' Easy to Say is half to SW New Farm brother Hardened Wildcat and Vengeful Wildcat..

Best Value: #6 Donworth 15-1
Next Best: #10 Easy to Say 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Icefield 4-1
Super Add: #3 Captain Moss 12-1


5th: Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/36' (P3, DD)

Hard to argue against lawn rangers Chad Brown (8), Christophe Clement (4) & Bill Mott (5). Morales' Devine Aida is legit and though she starts the bidding at 7-2, will likely float higher in the face of the bigger name outfits..

Most Likely: #8 Consumer Credit 9-5
Best Value: #4 Pine Needles 8-1
Next Best: #1 Devine Aida 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Quality Rocks 5-2


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P3, DD)

There is next to no speed in here, so let's take a shot that Secretive (20-1) leads this group all the way around. No Surrender's female family includes 2nd dam Doubles Partner, sister of Joyeaux Danseur, so there's some chance he takes to the lawn. Good race to play around given its' absence from the late multis..

Best Value: #9 Secretive 20-1
Next Best: #4 No Surrender 8-1
Exotics Use: #6 Tagheeb 8-1
Super Add: #11 Sycamore Lane 5-1


7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Tried to beat Khozan with Wisecracker in their debuts and Distorted Humor colt hardly disappointed beaten just 3L at 5-1. Has progressed since bow and despite presence of some solid players here, shouldn't lose..

Most Likely: #10 Wisecracker 6-5
Next Best: #7 Unbridled Juan 9-2
Best Value: #1 Semblance of Order 15-1
Exotics Use: #5 Seeking Alpha 6-1


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Feathered at even money is silly given there are 3-4 of these that have already equaled or bettered her 2yo form. Nafzger advanced Makin' Sense training with turf route tightener and now turns her back while adding blinkers. Climb aboard at double digts..

SCR'S 1-3-8-11 take Spark & Danzatrice out of plays..

Best Value: #2 Makin' Sense 15-1
Next Best: #4 Feathered 1-1
Exotics Use: #7 Huasca 6-1
Super Add: #6 Skywarm 8-1


9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Wide open scrum with tons of pace pressing types likely to make this collapse. Don't know how else to play it.

Best Value: #10 Joh's Gone Wild 15-1
Next Best: #7 Piloting 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Flash Paws 10-1
Super Add: #4 Hot Hot Heat 12-1


10th: Swale (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

That's an ugly stat that DRF Formulator's Mike Hogan unearthed regard TAP & Daredevil: "Pletcher is 12-1-1-1 with a $0.24 ROI over the past five years going route to sprint in graded stakes following a layoff of 61 days or more." (Here's the list.) Doesn't mean he's not winning as Daredevil plenty talented and capable, but certainly good fodder for those playing against..

Most Likely: #1 Daredevil 1-1
Best Value: #6 Grand Bili 15-1
Next Best: #7 X Y Jet 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Senor Grits 12-1


11th: Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T/108' (DD)

Would be delighted to see the Kentucky outfits best the obvious big name NY conditioners in this 3yo grass test. Hard not to be rooting for any Garry Simms horse and this Ol' Memorial homebred colt by Stroll always acquits himself well. As Buff Bradley himself said, given the way he typically prepares horses for debuts, Divisidero (10-1) has to be a talent to win first out..

Most Likely: #10 Croninthebarbarian 7-2
Next Best: #5 Dubai Sky 3-1
Best Value: #9 Divisidero 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Night Prowler 5-2
Super Add: #2 Eh Cumpari 6-1


12th: MSW, 4+, 7.5f-T/36' (Super Hi-5)

Impossible looking nightcap to end fun sequence. Use as many as you can afford because chaos looms..

Best Value: #11 Butterfly Strike 12-1
Next Best: #5 Fair Prospect 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Uptown Joe 10-1
Super Add: #1 Indian Guide 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #4 Veya 10-1


P5 Grid:

8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)


P4 Grid:

9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 02-28-2015 at 11:34 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-28-2015, 08:43 AM
pucknut pucknut is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 522
Default

Feather is vulnerable favorite for bridge jumpers of the year
Huasca doesn't need to improve much to win and money man JV opts to sit in that saddle
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-28-2015, 09:44 AM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,064
Default

Steve, just an FYI, Dubai Sky (race 11) is the 5 not 3.
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-28-2015, 10:02 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,855
Default

GP SCR/CHG
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 02-28-2015 at 11:27 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-28-2015, 10:03 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin View Post
Steve, just an FYI, Dubai Sky (race 11) is the 5 not 3.
Thx! On Mass Pike and will fix when I get to CT and make final changes/plays.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 02-28-2015 at 11:27 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 02-28-2015, 10:13 AM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 19,010
Default

almost 3/4 inch of rain so far this morning according to TW weather
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 02-28-2015, 10:23 AM
keithting's Avatar
keithting keithting is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 959
Post

Hard driving rain/flash flooding along Treasure Coast this morning

Hopefully, dryer down in Hallandale Bch....
__________________
"The fans are moving to the rail which can mean only one thing....It is NOW, Post Time" - Fred Capossela
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 02-28-2015, 10:30 AM
dellinger63's Avatar
dellinger63 dellinger63 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 10,072
Default

Just talked to my brother in Hollywood and he said it feels like a hurricane with crazy winds, lightning and plenty of rain. Supposed to clear out though by mid afternoon.
__________________
“To compel a man to furnish funds for the propagation of ideas he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.” Thomas Jefferson
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 02-28-2015, 01:33 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,855
Default

Too bad. Makings of a nice afternoon quashed by splosh. Still driving so won't have opportunity to adjust for the O/T, etc., for a while yet.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 02-28-2015, 01:43 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Unhappy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Thx! On Mass Pike and will fix when I get to CT and make final changes/plays.
You were in Boston and didn't call ?
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 02-28-2015, 02:00 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 1,412
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Too bad. Makings of a nice afternoon quashed by splosh. Still driving so won't have opportunity to adjust for the O/T, etc., for a while yet.
dont bother..cancelled
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.