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#1
05-27-2013, 07:24 AM
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5/27: Belmont Park ($37k C/O)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Fun group. Bond's Ornellia the filly to beat but there are a few double digit missies well within range of her and worth using.. Most Likely: #10 Ornellia 5-2 WON ($4.90) Best Value: #8 Desert Bliss 10-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Satin Sheeks 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #5 Rakin Gold 12-1 3rd 6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $37k C/O starts here.. Quite a start to the P6 sequence with a number of firsters from serious debut outfits (Sliver and Onions/Hushion; Eastwood/Mariena; Mr. O'Leary/Clement; Golden Lad/Pletcher) v. experienced players Bocelli (Stay Thirsty half from Shirreffs), Dedicated Deal (Serpe), Welter Weight (Pletcher) and High Five Again (Awesome Feather full brother from Zito). Very tricky reads.. Most Likely: #11 Welter Weight 4-1 3rd Best Value: #5 Dedicated Deal 15-1 10th Next Best: #9 Eastwood 8-1 WON ($10.20) Exotics Use: #7 Mr. O'Leary 6-1 4th 7th: 19th Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Six pack of rock solid fillies for this and big tickets will reach for the 'all' button with none of them an easy toss. There's only Discreet Marq signed on as clear pace, so staying within striking distance will be a necessity for the rest. Wave Theory has murky lines after dumping Leparoux in the Edgewood and having no chance in the Ashland, but gets Johnny V and could sit the right trip. Catalano is winning everywhere and had plenty of options for Kitten's Queen. Can boost exotics.. Most Likely #1 Wave Theory 4-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Discreet Marq 5-2 WON ($7.80) Best Value: #6 Kitten's Queen 15-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Caroline Thomas 5-1 5th 8th: 45th Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Another tactical mystery with the Jones' girls (Joyful Victory & Believe You Can) bracketing 4 accomplished rivals. PP's say that Believe You Can needs lead to win. Both Pletcher gals fit here of course and Tiz Miz Sue will have targets. 20-1 Centring is 4/1-3-0 over this demanding surface. Terrific race.. Best Value: #5 Disposablepleasure 6-1 4th Next Best: #3 Authenticity 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Tiz Miz Sue 5-1 WON ($10.80) Super Add: #1 Joyful Victory 7-5 6th 9th: 83rd Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD) Superb match between Pletcher's pure sprinting Kauai Katie and Baffert's cutback player Midnight Lucky. Mott's in-between type Close Hatches is OK and Bond's Momentary Magic is under the radar type that can charge the exotics. Another terrific race.. Most Likely: #5 Midnight Lucky 7-5 WON ($4.20) Next Best: #1 Kauai Katie 1-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Momentary Magic 15-1 6th 10th: 120th Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (DD) Perennially one of the year's best races. Interesting group with top pair from the Westchester the major attractions and Carter cast signed on as co-stars.. Most Likely: #6 Flat Out 5-2 3rd Next Best: #1 Cross Traffic 3-1 2nd Best Value: #9 Fed Biz 15-1 6th Exotics Use: #7 Sahara Sky 6-1 WON ($11.60) <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-3-4-5-6 8: 1-2-3-5 9: 5 10: 1-2-5-6-7-9 6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (2/2/5/7) Paid $202.50 11th: CLM, 3+, 7f-T Most Likely: #3 Mr Algebra 3-1 5th Best Value: #5 Suilleabhain 20-1 6th Next Best: #4 Mississippi Duel 5-1 WON ($13.80) Exotics Use: #10 Northern Tripp 15-1 2nd <$150 P6 Play: 6: 5-9-11 7: 1-2 8: 3-5 9: 5 10: 1-6 11: 3-4-5 3x2x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 1-2-3-5 9: 1-5-6 10: 1-6-9 11: 3-4-5-10 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-27-2013 at 07:31 PM. 
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#2
05-27-2013, 10:26 AM
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Love your P4 selections today with Midnight Lucky as the single. Should get a great stalking trip today. Been chasing Wave Theory her last three and one of these days she is going to get a trip ? Hopefully she is not just a bad luck horse. I am adding Mark Valeski as I think a mile should be ideal for him and shown he likes Belmont. Best of luck today.
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#3
05-27-2013, 10:26 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
05-27-2013, 07:35 PM
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moke, Gus, Billy, Larry..
Thanks fellas.. Was an overdue good day. Better trip for Toy Cannon and reversals with Authenticity & Cross Traffic kept it from being near perfect, but a fun Memorial Day. Hope everyone did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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