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Old 12-12-2009, 05:11 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 12/12: Aqueduct (1st-9th)

Caught the Aqueduct quad for small return of $134 Friday, as any attempt to produce a bonus priced horse fell short. Chippewa Court was probably the best include, as the 16-1 Best Value second choice chased home 4-5 Positive Prospect and provided real potential to charge the P4 into a juicy score. Feature produced a nice $71.75 triple keyed by on top Most Likely J. L. Bernstein. Best Value second choice Goodbyeandgoodluck, who ended up third, was likely the best of the tightly-bunched trio at the end, and was a winner had the early running not cost him a bunch of ground.

All in all, a good day in Jamaica, and another nice card is scheduled today. Hope you did well!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: SEVERAL SCR'S AFFECTED PLAYS...


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Hot and Bothered 3-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Ampart Ridge 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Anjorie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Zip of Fools 7-2 6th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Montecore 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 The Truffle Man 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Rereadthefootnotes 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Success Fee 10-1 5th


3rd: The Snit, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Saxet Heights 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Tidal Dance 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Life at Ten 4-1 WON
Super Add: #1 My Dinah 8-1 5th


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 C'Est Qui Ton Pere 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Timber Cat 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Maneti 8-1 11th
Super Add: #7 My Friend Sandy 9-2 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely:#6 Ruff and Ready 8-5 4th
Best Value: #11 Tsavorite 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Wheaton Home 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 A Zero Trap 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-7
3: 2-3-7
4: 10-13
5: 6-9-11 ($1 P3 Paid $275.00)

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Johannesburg Smile 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Thousand Excuses 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Backcountry Boy 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 L L Flying Notes 20-1 6th

$1 Pick 3 (13/9/2) Paid $211.50


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brady Baby 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Reflect Times 15-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Stevil 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) East End Tap 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-6) Paid $68.00
$1 Trifecta (3-6-1) Paid $262.00
$1 Pick 3 (9/2/3) Paid $641.50



8th: 104th Queens County (G3), 3+, 9.75f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Researcher 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Honour Devil 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Storm Play 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Naughty New Yorker 15-1 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #12 Triple Glory 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Khan of Khans 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Larry's Revenge 4-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Weekend Action 8-1 12th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-7-9
7: 3-6
8: 2-4-8
9: 7-12

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 12-12-2009 at 03:27 PM.
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  #2  
Old 12-12-2009, 09:57 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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AQU SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp


4TH

2 Night in Seattle Early
4 One White Sock Early


5TH

1A Ultimate Journey Early


6TH

11 I'm Hooked Up Early
12 D'argento Early


7TH

7 Retriever Early


8TH

7 Lord Kipling Early


9TH

1A The Mayor Early
13 Suttle Rich Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #3  
Old 12-12-2009, 01:24 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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SOB... Glossing over that ex-Baffert in the 2nd cost what is going to be a very nice P4... Uggh.

Came back for an OK P3, but boy this is going to sting.

P3 was $275, so that helps, but P4 paid nearly $1,500.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 12-12-2009, 02:25 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Caught the Aqueduct quad for small return of $134 Friday, as any attempt to produce a bonus priced horse fell short. Chippewa Court was probably the best include, as the 16-1 Best Value second choice chased home 4-5 Positive Prospect and provided real potential to charge the P4 into a juicy score. Feature produced a nice $71.75 triple keyed by on top Most Likely J. L. Bernstein. Best Value second choice Goodbyeandgoodluck, who ended up third, was likely the best of the tightly-bunched trio at the end, and was a winner had the early running not cost him a bunch of ground.

All in all, a good day in Jamaica, and another nice card is scheduled today. Hope you did well!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: SEVERAL SCR'S AFFECTED PLAYS...


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Hot and Bothered 3-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Ampart Ridge 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Anjorie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Zip of Fools 7-2 6th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Montecore 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 The Truffle Man 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Rereadthefootnotes 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Success Fee 10-1 5th


3rd: The Snit, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Saxet Heights 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Tidal Dance 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Life at Ten 4-1 WON
Super Add: #1 My Dinah 8-1 5th


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 C'Est Qui Ton Pere 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Timber Cat 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Maneti 8-1 11th
Super Add: #7 My Friend Sandy 9-2 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely:#6 Ruff and Ready 8-5 4th
Best Value: #11 Tsavorite 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Wheaton Home 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 A Zero Trap 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-7
3: 2-3-7
4: 10-13
5: 6-9-11 ($1 P3 Paid $275.00)

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Johannesburg Smile 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Thousand Excuses 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Backcountry Boy 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 L L Flying Notes 20-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brady Baby 5-2
Best Value: #3 Reflect Times
Next Best: #4 Stevil 3-1
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) East End Tap 8-1


8th: 104th Queens County (G3), 3+, 9.75f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Researcher 5-2
Best Value: #4 Honour Devil 5-1
Next Best: #8 Storm Play 3-1
Super Add: #3 Naughty New Yorker 15-1


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #12 Triple Glory 5-1
Most Likely: #7 Khan of Khans 3-1
Next Best: #1 Larry's Revenge 4-1
Super Add: #10 Weekend Action 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-7-9
7: 3-6
8: 2-4-8
9: 7-12

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
Nice score
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  #5  
Old 12-12-2009, 02:26 PM
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pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
The Curragh
 
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Location: Long Island, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brady Baby 5-2
Best Value: #3 Reflect Times
Next Best: #4 Stevil 3-1
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) East End Tap 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-7-9
7: 3-6
8: 2-4-8
9: 7-12

6x2x3x2 = $72

Nice work Steve!! Lets bring this pk4 home...
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  #6  
Old 12-12-2009, 02:31 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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This has turned into a nice day after the slow start and the frustration of missing the early P4...

Big thanks to Andy Serling who got me to look at Reflect Times after the scratch of Researcher!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #7  
Old 12-12-2009, 02:32 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Nice score
Thanks, but that was Andy... Andy... Andy...

I loved Retriever there who scratched... Needed an alternative to the favorite who I thought was beatable, and Andy was high on the Lobo. All him.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 12-12-2009 at 03:00 PM.
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  #8  
Old 12-12-2009, 02:41 PM
Left11 Left11 is offline
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Posts: 25
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Steve -

You had my nervous as at first read as it was Retriever who scratched in the 7th. Researcher is in the 8th. Good luck.
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  #9  
Old 12-12-2009, 02:50 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Couple of great rides there by Lezcano and Garcia. I mean, why not let Castellano have an incredible tactical advantage?

NT
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  #10  
Old 12-12-2009, 03:18 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Congrats to Andy on a monstrous score... Brilliant navigation of a rewarding sequence!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #11  
Old 12-12-2009, 03:34 PM
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DJARUM DJARUM is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Congrats to Andy on a monstrous score... Brilliant navigation of a rewarding sequence!
Gave it out on the chat last night and on talking horses, nice job Andy!!!
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  #12  
Old 12-12-2009, 03:35 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJARUM
Gave it out on the chat last night and on talking horses, nice job!!!
And the quad STILL paid $8,000... Plus the late P3 was $2k++!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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