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-   -   12/12: Aqueduct (1st-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33219)

Kasept 12-12-2009 05:11 AM

12/12: Aqueduct (1st-9th)
 
Caught the Aqueduct quad for small return of $134 Friday, as any attempt to produce a bonus priced horse fell short. Chippewa Court was probably the best include, as the 16-1 Best Value second choice chased home 4-5 Positive Prospect and provided real potential to charge the P4 into a juicy score. Feature produced a nice $71.75 triple keyed by on top Most Likely J. L. Bernstein. Best Value second choice Goodbyeandgoodluck, who ended up third, was likely the best of the tightly-bunched trio at the end, and was a winner had the early running not cost him a bunch of ground.

All in all, a good day in Jamaica, and another nice card is scheduled today. Hope you did well!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: SEVERAL SCR'S AFFECTED PLAYS...


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Hot and Bothered 3-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Ampart Ridge 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Anjorie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Zip of Fools 7-2 6th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Montecore 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 The Truffle Man 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Rereadthefootnotes 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Success Fee 10-1 5th


3rd: The Snit, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Saxet Heights 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Tidal Dance 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Life at Ten 4-1 WON
Super Add: #1 My Dinah 8-1 5th


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 C'Est Qui Ton Pere 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Timber Cat 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Maneti 8-1 11th
Super Add: #7 My Friend Sandy 9-2 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely:#6 Ruff and Ready 8-5 4th
Best Value: #11 Tsavorite 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Wheaton Home 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 A Zero Trap 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-7
3: 2-3-7
4: 10-13
5: 6-9-11 ($1 P3 Paid $275.00)

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Johannesburg Smile 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Thousand Excuses 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Backcountry Boy 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 L L Flying Notes 20-1 6th

$1 Pick 3 (13/9/2) Paid $211.50


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brady Baby 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Reflect Times 15-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Stevil 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) East End Tap 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-6) Paid $68.00
$1 Trifecta (3-6-1) Paid $262.00
$1 Pick 3 (9/2/3) Paid $641.50



8th: 104th Queens County (G3), 3+, 9.75f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Researcher 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Honour Devil 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Storm Play 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Naughty New Yorker 15-1 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #12 Triple Glory 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Khan of Khans 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Larry's Revenge 4-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Weekend Action 8-1 12th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-7-9
7: 3-6
8: 2-4-8
9: 7-12

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-12-2009 09:57 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp


4TH

2 Night in Seattle Early
4 One White Sock Early


5TH

1A Ultimate Journey Early


6TH

11 I'm Hooked Up Early
12 D'argento Early


7TH

7 Retriever Early


8TH

7 Lord Kipling Early


9TH

1A The Mayor Early
13 Suttle Rich Early

Kasept 12-12-2009 01:24 PM

SOB... Glossing over that ex-Baffert in the 2nd cost what is going to be a very nice P4... Uggh.

Came back for an OK P3, but boy this is going to sting.

P3 was $275, so that helps, but P4 paid nearly $1,500.

jms62 12-12-2009 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Caught the Aqueduct quad for small return of $134 Friday, as any attempt to produce a bonus priced horse fell short. Chippewa Court was probably the best include, as the 16-1 Best Value second choice chased home 4-5 Positive Prospect and provided real potential to charge the P4 into a juicy score. Feature produced a nice $71.75 triple keyed by on top Most Likely J. L. Bernstein. Best Value second choice Goodbyeandgoodluck, who ended up third, was likely the best of the tightly-bunched trio at the end, and was a winner had the early running not cost him a bunch of ground.

All in all, a good day in Jamaica, and another nice card is scheduled today. Hope you did well!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: SEVERAL SCR'S AFFECTED PLAYS...


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Hot and Bothered 3-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Ampart Ridge 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Anjorie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Zip of Fools 7-2 6th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Montecore 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 The Truffle Man 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Rereadthefootnotes 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Success Fee 10-1 5th


3rd: The Snit, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Saxet Heights 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Tidal Dance 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Life at Ten 4-1 WON
Super Add: #1 My Dinah 8-1 5th


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 C'Est Qui Ton Pere 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Timber Cat 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Maneti 8-1 11th
Super Add: #7 My Friend Sandy 9-2 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely:#6 Ruff and Ready 8-5 4th
Best Value: #11 Tsavorite 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Wheaton Home 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 A Zero Trap 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-7
3: 2-3-7
4: 10-13
5: 6-9-11 ($1 P3 Paid $275.00)

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Johannesburg Smile 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Thousand Excuses 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Backcountry Boy 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 L L Flying Notes 20-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brady Baby 5-2
Best Value: #3 Reflect Times:tro: :$:
Next Best: #4 Stevil 3-1
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) East End Tap 8-1


8th: 104th Queens County (G3), 3+, 9.75f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Researcher 5-2
Best Value: #4 Honour Devil 5-1
Next Best: #8 Storm Play 3-1
Super Add: #3 Naughty New Yorker 15-1


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #12 Triple Glory 5-1
Most Likely: #7 Khan of Khans 3-1
Next Best: #1 Larry's Revenge 4-1
Super Add: #10 Weekend Action 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-7-9
7: 3-6
8: 2-4-8
9: 7-12

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Nice score

pmacdaddy 12-12-2009 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brady Baby 5-2
Best Value: #3 Reflect Times
Next Best: #4 Stevil 3-1
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) East End Tap 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-7-9
7: 3-6
8: 2-4-8
9: 7-12

6x2x3x2 = $72


Nice work Steve!! Lets bring this pk4 home...

Kasept 12-12-2009 02:31 PM

This has turned into a nice day after the slow start and the frustration of missing the early P4...

Big thanks to Andy Serling who got me to look at Reflect Times after the scratch of Researcher!

Kasept 12-12-2009 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62
Nice score

Thanks, but that was Andy... Andy... Andy...

I loved Retriever there who scratched... Needed an alternative to the favorite who I thought was beatable, and Andy was high on the Lobo. All him.

Left11 12-12-2009 02:41 PM

Steve -

You had my nervous as at first read as it was Retriever who scratched in the 7th. Researcher is in the 8th. Good luck.

NTamm1215 12-12-2009 02:50 PM

Couple of great rides there by Lezcano and Garcia. I mean, why not let Castellano have an incredible tactical advantage?

NT

Kasept 12-12-2009 03:18 PM

Congrats to Andy on a monstrous score... Brilliant navigation of a rewarding sequence!

DJARUM 12-12-2009 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Congrats to Andy on a monstrous score... Brilliant navigation of a rewarding sequence!

Gave it out on the chat last night and on talking horses, nice job Andy!!!:$:

Kasept 12-12-2009 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJARUM
Gave it out on the chat last night and on talking horses, nice job!!!:$:

And the quad STILL paid $8,000... Plus the late P3 was $2k++!


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