9/30: Belmont & Santa Anita (6th-9th)

[Kasept]

Terrific racing on both coasts Wednesday as Belmont kicks off Jockey Club Gold Cup Week and the Oak Tree at Santa Anita-Breeders' Cup Meet opens. Middle double of late Elmont P4 is particularly salty with deep filly and mare ALW in the 7th leading up to outstanding overnight stake 8th which could easily be a Gr. III.

At Arcadia, the 6th features a serious cast of 2yo boys going a mile on the lawn, and many in the lineup are connected to well known siblings: #1 Quietly Waiting (Kid Grindstone); #7 Erbeia (Olmodavar); #8 Recap (After Market, Courageous Cat); #10 Saintly Seoul (Rush Bay); #13-AE Take a Hard Look (Dynamist). The Gr. III Morvich has its' last 2 winners (Get Funky, California Flag) and the defending BC Turf Sprint hero (Desert Code).

Hope you did well Sunday where I made a nice run at the Belmont carryover and hit some nice bingos including $19 Solvent. Should be a fun day, and it's going to be a super week with the major action moving to a new level this weekend.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Peacefields 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Shareholder's Dues 6-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Eddie's Point 30-1 6th
Super Add: #5 We Get It 20-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Top notch assembly of ALW fillies and mares, and after the Mott import, will try to work some square prices into the mix..

Best Value: #9 One in a Romp 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Changing Skies 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 (POE) Minishaft 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Proud Lisa 15-1 3rd


8th: Mr. Right, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Rising Moon 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Honour Devil 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Timber Reserve 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Coal Play 2-1 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Private Battle 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Naughty Kitty 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Justinline 8-1 10th
Super Add: #11 Belonged to Sy 10-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-10
7: 1-3-9
8: 1-3-6-8
9: 1-2-10

Total: 4x3x2x3 = $72 $1 P4 Paid $77.75


<$75 TicketMaker Multi-Play Style:

1 $2.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 1,9 with 3 with 1,2 $16.00

2 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 3 with 3 with 1,2 $4.00
3 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 1,9 with 1 with 1,2 $8.00
4 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 1,9 with 3 with 10 $4.00

5 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 3 with 1 with 1,2 $4.00
6 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 3 with 3 with 10 $2.00
7 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 1,9 with 1 with 10 $4.00

8 $1.00 pick 4: 5,9 with 1,9 with 3 with 1,2 $8.00
9 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 4 with 3 with 1,2 $4.00
10 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 1,9 with 6,8 with 1,2 $16.00
11 $1.00 pick 4: 4,10 with 1,9 with 3 with 6 $4.00

Total: $74.00 $1 P4 Paid $77.75



OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Erbeia 7-2 9th
Best Value: #12 Royal F J 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Recap 4-1 11th
Super Add: #11 Saintly Seoul 20-1 3rd


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Doesn't #2 Emmy Darling (5-2) have underlay written all over her? Local works have been sharp, but she hasn't come close to her 2yo Landaluce win, which is now 15 months in the rear view mirror... Second choice Zayat suspect #3 Tamar (7-2) clearly has had physical issues, making 2 starts as a 3yo for Mott at GP in winter '08, and then disappearing. Resurfaced as a 4yo in La Jolla 3 weeks ago, and may be a 'get 'em while they're hot' type that's bettable until the wheels come off..

Best Value: #1 Double Dip 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Dish the Dirt 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Tamar 7-2 9th
Super Add: #5 North Rodeo 6-1 4th


8th: 36th Morvich H. (Gr. III), 3+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 California Flag 8-5 WON
Next Best: #6 Desert Code 3-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Tiz West 12-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Bruce's Dream 12-1 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #13 Boo Too 4-1 11th
Best Value: #8 Good Newsman 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Red Door Drive 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: 5 Trueno 8-1 4th
High 5 Play: #7 Smokenomore 8-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 7-9-12
7: 1-2-3-4
8: 3-5-6
9: 8-13

Total: 3x4x3x2 = $72


<$75 TicketMaker Multi-Play:

1 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 13 $4.00

2 $1.00 pick 4: 9,12 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 13 $8.00
3 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 1,4 with 5 with 13 $2.00
4 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 8 $4.00

5 $1.00 pick 4: 9,12 with 1,4 with 5 with 13 $4.00
6 $1.00 pick 4: 9,12 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 8 $8.00
7 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 1,4 with 5 with 8 $2.00

8 $1.00 pick 4: 4,5,10,11 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 13 $16.00
9 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 2,3,5 with 3,6 with 13 $6.00
10 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 1,4 with 2,4,9 with 13 $6.00
11 $1.00 pick 4: 7 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 3,5,7 $12.00

Total: $72.00


Good luck!
Steve