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#1
07-25-2008, 06:49 AM
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7/25: Saratoga (Day 3-Twilight)
Interesting second day as rain continued but at least there was time to adjust for it. Got stronger as day progressed catching several winners before stringing together Late P4 score of $236.75 ($1) which was available for a meager $24 after scratches! Know several jumped aboard, so I'm glad you did well.
May take several weeks of meet to find crazier overlay than Frankel-Live Oak MTO runner LOVING VINDICATION who inexplicably went off at 4.20-1... Stunner of the day was of course Jim Corrao's career maiden Worth a Shot winning the 4th at 35-1. Twilight card Friday.. 2:45pm first post. Turf only for the featured Lake George. SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES.. 1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Clemens 3-1 WON Best Value: #2 By Proxy 7-2 6th Next Best: #1 SCR Super Add: #7 At Attention 4-1 2nd 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-OTT (P4, P3, DD) OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #2b-MTO Pious David 4-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Musca 10-1 9th Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 2-1 WON/ Exotics Add: #6 Unbridle's Dream 3-1 7th 3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 SCR Best Value: #1a Iron Butterfly 6-1 4th Next Best: #4 Mushka 2-1 3rd 4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD) Looking at firsters here and there isn't anyone necessarily "more likely" than any other... Also, for those that may not be aware, sire Spanish Steps is the unraced full b rother of Unbridled's Song. This is his first crop, and he got his first winner Thursday at Del Mar.. 1. #6 Vinnie's Wild Tale 6-1 4th 2. #7 Nightmare Alley 6-1 8th 3. #9 Midtown Bullet 8-1 WON 4. #5 The Spanish Life 50-1 7th 5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-OTT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #1a-MTO Osceola Prince 10-1 6th Best Value: #7 Jump It 8-1 WON Next Best: #2 Crossing the Atlantic 10-1 4th Super Add: #15-MTO Last Tram 6-1 5th <$100 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-4-8 3: 1-4-5-6 4: 6-7-9 5: 1-7 4x4x3x2 = $96 $1 P4 (1-5-9-7) Paid $4,674.00 6th: OC/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Real Estate 2-1 WON Best Value: #3 Shekinah 20-1 8th Next Best: #4 Visible Truth 5-2 3rd Super Add: #5 Hometown Boy 5-1 5th 7th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 War Ruler 4-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Call Tiger 10-1 5th Next Best: #6 Ecton 5-2 6th Super Add: #3 Fort Apache Star 6-1 WON 8th: 14th Lake George (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD) Expect turf to be no better than yielding.. Will include the Euro invader in multi-race wagers and play against within the race.. Most Likely: #4 Mousse Au Chocolat 2-1 6th Next Best: #2 My Princess Jess 8-5 WON Best Value: #6 Zee Zee 5-1 3rd 9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OTT OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #15 Sashay Renee 4-1 WON Best Value: #3 Sweet Bama Breeze 6-1 2nd Next Best: #16 Token Special 6-1 7th Super Add: #1 Mrs Holden 5-1 11th ALTERNATE HORSE IF ONE ABOVE SCRATCHES: #7 Intoxicatingbeauty 12-1 4th <$50 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-4 7: 1-5 8: 2-4 9: 1-3-15-16 3x2x2x4 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-25-2008 at 09:21 PM. 
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#3
07-25-2008, 11:53 AM
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The board in the press box says we're on the main for all but the feature.
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#5
07-25-2008, 01:44 PM
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Very small plays as I've been cold as ice first two days...
Race 1 w/p 7 DD 7/1,6 Pick 3 7/1,6/4 Edit: It continues. If you're looking for a a second place horse, I'm your huckleberry~!
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#6
07-25-2008, 02:14 PM
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Anyone think Contessa has an outside shot here at 17-1? Last work was a bullet over a track with moisture. I am at work and havent seen the track but it cant be completely dry can it?
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#7
07-25-2008, 02:17 PM
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Did the 1 just try to bite the 2?
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#9
07-25-2008, 02:52 PM
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Today is my play the longshots that dont hit the board day. Going with So Glitzy for the giant killer. Like the turf to dirt angle here and seems fit, I know it was a turf race but they did come home pretty good and she did cut into that lead. Broke her maiden on a "good" track.
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#10
07-25-2008, 02:56 PM
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Nice call.
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#11
07-25-2008, 03:04 PM
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To bad im sitting at work handicapping and had no money on her. But I am in a pool with my friends where we pick one horse a day and have $2wps on it and the person with the most winnings at the end of the meet gets over $1000 for a $50 entry. I guess that puts me clearly in the lead since I had her in my pool.
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#12
07-25-2008, 03:12 PM
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Race 4
I like this 9 a little but not enough to take 6-1. It's interesting that the double to him pays the second lowest and nobody else is really close behind. I'm hoping he drifts up to 8-1 or so but doubt it happens.
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#13
07-25-2008, 03:18 PM
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I love playing off the board like that, especially out in cali. about month ago second favorite and 11-1 long shot was fav ex over second coice and fav behind it. Threw the fav out and had a $10 straight triple with that horse second and third choice third. Paid $62 for a buck
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#16
07-25-2008, 03:24 PM
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Let's take one more shot before here
9 1,6,9 exacta box I'm due.
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#17
07-25-2008, 03:28 PM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#18
07-25-2008, 03:28 PM
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I got to the window, saw that the 9 was 4-1 and didn't bet it. Ugh.
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