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  #1  
Old 08-09-2007, 10:25 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Default 8/9 SPA Race 2

Nice value play in the first betable race on the card

7 Last boat Home 12-1...Lynn Scace does little wrong getting firsters to the track, winning at a 24% clip with a respectable 3.06 ROI (38 horse sample)...Gold Token's are hitting at a 15% rate first time out -

The 8 Myakka looks like a bit of a trap to me (READ: BET BIG ) I think people will bet the price tag here... Linda Rice's barn is colder than usual and this one has to overcome an outside post going a very short 5f

Hard to ignore the work tab of the 2 Reversable Error - 4 straight bullets up at Suffolk, and the 5 Nicely Put looks poised to pounce here...Going to use the pair from Gallusico as well in a 4 horse tri box - EDIT: 1 Pops Princess is an early scratch - will use the 3 Best Crossing instead as the Hook and Ladders seem to be faring extremely well; draws Prado

$1 Tri box 2,3,5,7
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  #2  
Old 08-09-2007, 10:58 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Nice value play in the first betable race on the card

7 Last boat Home 12-1...Lynn Scace does little wrong getting firsters to the track, winning at a 24% clip with a respectable 3.06 ROI (38 horse sample)...Gold Token's are hitting at a 15% rate first time out -

The 8 Myakka looks like a bit of a trap to me (READ: BET BIG ) I think people will bet the price tag here... Linda Rice's barn is colder than usual and this one has to overcome an outside post going a very short 5f

Hard to ignore the work tab of the 2 Reversable Error - 4 straight bullets up at Suffolk, and the 5 Nicely Put looks poised to pounce here...Going to use the pair from Gallusico as well in a 4 horse tri box - EDIT: 1 Pops Princess is an early scratch - will use the 3 Best Crossing instead as the Hook and Ladders seem to be faring extremely well; draws Prado

$1 Tri box 2,3,5,7
Shhhhhhh. I like the 12-1 RBE.

She ain't shippin' in for the exercise.
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  #3  
Old 08-09-2007, 11:03 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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I do think Myakka is the one to beat though. Has enough speed to overcome the outside post.

Didn't Linda Rice/Cornelio win with a firster yesterday?
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  #4  
Old 08-09-2007, 11:10 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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LOL...Hey Big's, anything jumping out at you in the 3rd? 3,4,5,6 are virtually indistinguishible from each other, though I'm not crazy about the 6 stepping up to OC 75 first off the long layoff against this type of class...

BTW, I'm heading over to the Downs around 2:00 to catch some races and hopefully watch AD not get her tail handed to her in the 6th.... If you're in the area and get a chance, drop by
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  #5  
Old 08-09-2007, 11:12 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I do think Myakka is the one to beat though. Has enough speed to overcome the outside post.

Didn't Linda Rice/Cornelio win with a firster yesterday?
Yup - Canadian Ballet or something - her first win of the meet I think....
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  #6  
Old 08-09-2007, 11:17 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
LOL...Hey Big's, anything jumping out at you in the 3rd? 3,4,5,6 are virtually indistinguishible from each other, though I'm not crazy about the 6 stepping up to OC 75 first off the long layoff against this type of class...

BTW, I'm heading over to the Downs around 2:00 to catch some races and hopefully watch AD not get her tail handed to her in the 6th.... If you're in the area and get a chance, drop by
Only glanced at the 3rd last night and you are right, it is an evenly matched bunch. I kind of leaned to Tagg's #4, but not very strongly.

I'm back up in St. Augustine today and tomorrow, so no Downs for me. Good luck with her, she's in pretty tough. Who knows? The Spa may be her favorite track and you can get a nice jump forward off her last. I'll be rooting for her.
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  #7  
Old 08-09-2007, 11:27 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Shhhhhhh. I like the 12-1 RBE.

She ain't shippin' in for the exercise.
She is shipping in because the horse is a NY bred. I agree about her as she just wins races but the board will tell you everything with that horse. If first click is 3/1, then you have your winner
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  #8  
Old 08-09-2007, 01:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
She is shipping in because the horse is a NY bred. I agree about her as she just wins races but the board will tell you everything with that horse. If first click is 3/1, then you have your winner
Nope and nope.

Not live at all. Still tossed a couple bucks on her to run second under Myakka...no dice.
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  #9  
Old 08-09-2007, 01:42 PM
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viscount26 viscount26 is offline
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good call bigs. I hit the exacta with the 2
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  #10  
Old 08-09-2007, 02:07 PM
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My 5 minute handicapping P4 for what it is worth (not much, but I'm getting after tomorrow's card though):

R6: 2,7 $7.50
R7: 1,3,5 $4.50
R8: 4
R9: 3,4,7,9,10

$30 for each $1 wagered.

GL

Last edited by Bigsmc : 08-09-2007 at 03:20 PM.
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  #11  
Old 08-09-2007, 03:08 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Could by a chalky pick 3. Trying to beat Godolphin in the 7th

3,5
2,4,7
3,6,10
$18

Good luck.
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  #12  
Old 08-09-2007, 03:10 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Default Race 7

While I am not a huge fan of Raul Rojas, he does ride the lead well and this 8 horse has a shot to go gate to wire, consider using

7: 5,8
8: 5,7
9: 4,5,6,8,9
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  #13  
Old 08-09-2007, 03:20 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Bozo the Clown could've been the trainer of Ever A Friend and got him in the winners circle. Clemente is a useless frog bastard.
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  #14  
Old 08-09-2007, 03:30 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Bozo the Clown could've been the trainer of Ever A Friend and got him in the winners circle. Clemente is a useless frog bastard.
Second best there, son.
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  #15  
Old 08-09-2007, 03:38 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
Second best there, son. Now go to the sto' and get yo' daddy a fohday.
Improved that a little for you, punchy.
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  #16  
Old 08-09-2007, 03:47 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Improved that a little for you, punchy.
Thanks son. Hope the 1 or 2 don't muck up the ticket here. Good luck, son.
You do your homework today?
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  #17  
Old 08-09-2007, 04:04 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
While I am not a huge fan of Raul Rojas, he does ride the lead well and this 8 horse has a shot to go gate to wire, consider using

7: 5,8
8: 5,7
9: 4,5,6,8,9
7: 5,8 = 5 = 4.50
8: 5,7 = 5 = 7.40
9: 4,5,6,8,9
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  #18  
Old 08-09-2007, 04:12 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Could by a chalky pick 3. Trying to beat Godolphin in the 7th

3,5
2,4,7
3,6,10
$18

Good luck.
You're alive!
Bring it home son.
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