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-   -   8/9 SPA Race 2 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=15866)

Rudeboyelvis 08-09-2007 10:25 AM

8/9 SPA Race 2
 
Nice value play in the first betable race on the card

7 Last boat Home 12-1...Lynn Scace does little wrong getting firsters to the track, winning at a 24% clip with a respectable 3.06 ROI (38 horse sample)...Gold Token's are hitting at a 15% rate first time out -

The 8 Myakka looks like a bit of a trap to me (READ: BET BIG :D ) I think people will bet the price tag here... Linda Rice's barn is colder than usual and this one has to overcome an outside post going a very short 5f

Hard to ignore the work tab of the 2 Reversable Error - 4 straight bullets up at Suffolk, and the 5 Nicely Put looks poised to pounce here...Going to use the pair from Gallusico as well in a 4 horse tri box - EDIT: 1 Pops Princess is an early scratch - will use the 3 Best Crossing instead as the Hook and Ladders seem to be faring extremely well; draws Prado

$1 Tri box 2,3,5,7

Bigsmc 08-09-2007 10:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Nice value play in the first betable race on the card

7 Last boat Home 12-1...Lynn Scace does little wrong getting firsters to the track, winning at a 24% clip with a respectable 3.06 ROI (38 horse sample)...Gold Token's are hitting at a 15% rate first time out -

The 8 Myakka looks like a bit of a trap to me (READ: BET BIG :D ) I think people will bet the price tag here... Linda Rice's barn is colder than usual and this one has to overcome an outside post going a very short 5f

Hard to ignore the work tab of the 2 Reversable Error - 4 straight bullets up at Suffolk, and the 5 Nicely Put looks poised to pounce here...Going to use the pair from Gallusico as well in a 4 horse tri box - EDIT: 1 Pops Princess is an early scratch - will use the 3 Best Crossing instead as the Hook and Ladders seem to be faring extremely well; draws Prado

$1 Tri box 2,3,5,7

Shhhhhhh. I like the 12-1 RBE.

She ain't shippin' in for the exercise.

Bigsmc 08-09-2007 11:03 AM

I do think Myakka is the one to beat though. Has enough speed to overcome the outside post.

Didn't Linda Rice/Cornelio win with a firster yesterday?

Rudeboyelvis 08-09-2007 11:10 AM

LOL...Hey Big's, anything jumping out at you in the 3rd? 3,4,5,6 are virtually indistinguishible from each other, though I'm not crazy about the 6 stepping up to OC 75 first off the long layoff against this type of class...

BTW, I'm heading over to the Downs around 2:00 to catch some races and hopefully watch AD not get her tail handed to her in the 6th.... If you're in the area and get a chance, drop by

Rudeboyelvis 08-09-2007 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I do think Myakka is the one to beat though. Has enough speed to overcome the outside post.

Didn't Linda Rice/Cornelio win with a firster yesterday?

Yup - Canadian Ballet or something - her first win of the meet I think....

Bigsmc 08-09-2007 11:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
LOL...Hey Big's, anything jumping out at you in the 3rd? 3,4,5,6 are virtually indistinguishible from each other, though I'm not crazy about the 6 stepping up to OC 75 first off the long layoff against this type of class...

BTW, I'm heading over to the Downs around 2:00 to catch some races and hopefully watch AD not get her tail handed to her in the 6th.... If you're in the area and get a chance, drop by

Only glanced at the 3rd last night and you are right, it is an evenly matched bunch. I kind of leaned to Tagg's #4, but not very strongly.

I'm back up in St. Augustine today and tomorrow, so no Downs for me. Good luck with her, she's in pretty tough. Who knows? The Spa may be her favorite track and you can get a nice jump forward off her last. I'll be rooting for her.

Scav 08-09-2007 11:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Shhhhhhh. I like the 12-1 RBE.

She ain't shippin' in for the exercise.

She is shipping in because the horse is a NY bred. I agree about her as she just wins races but the board will tell you everything with that horse. If first click is 3/1, then you have your winner

Bigsmc 08-09-2007 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
She is shipping in because the horse is a NY bred. I agree about her as she just wins races but the board will tell you everything with that horse. If first click is 3/1, then you have your winner

Nope and nope.

Not live at all. Still tossed a couple bucks on her to run second under Myakka...no dice.

viscount26 08-09-2007 01:42 PM

good call bigs. I hit the exacta with the 2
:D

Bigsmc 08-09-2007 02:07 PM

My 5 minute handicapping P4 for what it is worth (not much, but I'm getting after tomorrow's card though):

R6: 2,7 $7.50
R7: 1,3,5 $4.50
R8: 4
R9: 3,4,7,9,10

$30 for each $1 wagered.

GL

Coach Pants 08-09-2007 03:08 PM

Could by a chalky pick 3. Trying to beat Godolphin in the 7th

3,5
2,4,7
3,6,10
$18

Good luck.

Scav 08-09-2007 03:10 PM

Race 7
 
While I am not a huge fan of Raul Rojas, he does ride the lead well and this 8 horse has a shot to go gate to wire, consider using

7: 5,8
8: 5,7
9: 4,5,6,8,9

Coach Pants 08-09-2007 03:20 PM

Bozo the Clown could've been the trainer of Ever A Friend and got him in the winners circle. Clemente is a useless frog bastard.

SentToStud 08-09-2007 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Bozo the Clown could've been the trainer of Ever A Friend and got him in the winners circle. Clemente is a useless frog bastard.

Second best there, son.

Coach Pants 08-09-2007 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
Second best there, son. Now go to the sto' and get yo' daddy a fohday.

Improved that a little for you, punchy.

SentToStud 08-09-2007 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Improved that a little for you, punchy.

Thanks son. Hope the 1 or 2 don't muck up the ticket here. Good luck, son.
You do your homework today?

Scav 08-09-2007 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
While I am not a huge fan of Raul Rojas, he does ride the lead well and this 8 horse has a shot to go gate to wire, consider using

7: 5,8
8: 5,7
9: 4,5,6,8,9

7: 5,8 = 5 = 4.50
8: 5,7 = 5 = 7.40
9: 4,5,6,8,9

SentToStud 08-09-2007 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Could by a chalky pick 3. Trying to beat Godolphin in the 7th

3,5
2,4,7
3,6,10
$18

Good luck.

You're alive!
Bring it home son.


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