10/15: Keeneland (5th-10th); Belmont Park (6th-9th)

[Kasept]

Keeneland action continues to be very entertaining with excellent wagering opportunities and Friday was more of the same. As suggested when putting out multi grids, ticket-building was a maddening exercise and I failed to reach the juicy $1,190 P4 (.50) despite it being well within reach. Mistake was going 4x2 in the front half when I really liked Goats Town in the 7th and 2x4 was the right approach. Saturday offers another round, while Belmont's late P4 is anchored by a terrific Pebbles.

I'm at Far Hills today for the biggest event of the steeplechase season and may not be able to do post-SCR changes.. Hope everyone enjoys what should be a fabulous fall afternoon!


KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Always Right 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Mighty Souper 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Miner's Cat 15-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Res Ipsa 6-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Star Quality 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Leorific 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Our Track 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Pitch Count 5-1 5th


7th: ALW/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Nun the Less 12-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Edge of Reality 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Allied Air Raid 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Cammack 10-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Yockey's Warrior 10-1 WON ($18.60)
Next Best: #7 Squadron A 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Viva Majorca 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Crewman 20-1 2nd


9th: 33rd QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

As always, a terrific edition of this fall standard. A host of these gals have caught up to Catch a Glimpse, but she loves this course and that's always a huge advantage. Have to cover On Leave in everything and not sure what to do with Hawksmoor. Nick Luck gave her a good chance yesterday on ATR..

Best Value: #3 Stays in Vegas 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Harmonize 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Catch a Glimpse 2-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Time and Motion 5-2 WON ($8.00)


10th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Bellows 5-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Speightstime 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Rockshaw 6-1 WON ($16.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Takeoff 9-2 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Dilettante 5-1 11th


P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C)
7: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18



BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Hothersal 3-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Tombelaine 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Changewilldoyagood 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Light the Night 6-1 6th


7th: NY-MSW< 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Stonecoldfox 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Easy Way Out 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Paz the Wine 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Quiet Beauty SCR


8th: 24th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Insta Erma 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Ancient Secret 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Welcoming 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #12 She Doesn't Mind 7-2 6th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #7 Late Night Mark 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Crafty Colonel 12-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Space Oddity 6-1 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Cotton Town 6-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-4-10 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 1 (B), 9-10 (C)
8: 4-7-8 (A), 10-12 (B), 2-3-9 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-5-6 (B), 9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve