5/18: Woodbine (Victoria Day)

[Kasept]

Belmont P6 and P4 proved too tricky for me Sunday, but winners brought home $42k for the sextet and $372 ($1) for the Quad. Victoria Day in Canada featuring the Gr. III Vigil, so the late P4 looks like fun.


WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Show the Way 3-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Don Valentino 4-1 9th
Best Value: #11 Thor's Piper 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Fionn 10-1 3rd


8th: 54th Vigil (Gr. III), 4+, 7f (P3, Super)

Fascinating race with 6 of the Jacques Cartier runners returning including top 4 which were within a length of each other at the wire. Tough not to look at new faces including familiar Rebellion (2nd, Commonwealth) and Passager (2nd, Maker's Mark Mile)...

Most Likely: #11 Rebellion 5-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Timely Advice 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Passager 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Field Commision 12-1 WON


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Winning Turn 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Fortune or Folly 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lady Shakespeare 7-2 WON
Super Add: #1 Alachua 4-1 7th


10th: MSW-(R), F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Bizarre bunch of Ontario breds, many off layoffs; Likely best to single the Moose in the P4, but take value shots to protect yourself if live to the nightcap...

Most Likely: #5 A Moose in Love 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Alesbury 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Maybe I Can 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Megavella 20-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-7-11
8: 4-5-7-9-10-11
9: 1-2-5-6
10: 5

3x6x4x1 = $72


Good luck!
Steve