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#1
05-18-2009, 07:26 AM
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5/18: Woodbine (Victoria Day)
Belmont P6 and P4 proved too tricky for me Sunday, but winners brought home $42k for the sextet and $372 ($1) for the Quad. Victoria Day in Canada featuring the Gr. III Vigil, so the late P4 looks like fun.
WOODBINE PRE-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3) Most Likely: #2 Show the Way 3-1 7th Next Best: #7 Don Valentino 4-1 9th Best Value: #11 Thor's Piper 8-1 WON Exotics Use: #5 Fionn 10-1 3rd 8th: 54th Vigil (Gr. III), 4+, 7f (P3, Super) Fascinating race with 6 of the Jacques Cartier runners returning including top 4 which were within a length of each other at the wire. Tough not to look at new faces including familiar Rebellion (2nd, Commonwealth) and Passager (2nd, Maker's Mark Mile)... Most Likely: #11 Rebellion 5-2 5th Best Value: #10 Timely Advice 8-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Passager 6-1 4th Super Add: #7 Field Commision 12-1 WON 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Winning Turn 2-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Fortune or Folly 6-1 5th Next Best: #5 Lady Shakespeare 7-2 WON Super Add: #1 Alachua 4-1 7th 10th: MSW-(R), F&M-3+, 6f (Super) Bizarre bunch of Ontario breds, many off layoffs; Likely best to single the Moose in the P4, but take value shots to protect yourself if live to the nightcap... Most Likely: #5 A Moose in Love 3-1 5th Best Value: #4 Alesbury 20-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Maybe I Can 15-1 7th Super Add: #8 Megavella 20-1 8th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-7-11 8: 4-5-7-9-10-11 9: 1-2-5-6 10: 5 3x6x4x1 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-18-2009 at 05:55 PM. 
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#6
05-18-2009, 04:20 PM
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Super effort in the pick four so far Steve. Time to hedge? I wonder if Sunflower Drive might be the danger?
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#9
05-19-2009, 06:59 AM
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Thx all... Thought we might have pulled a rabbit out of the hat at Woodbine yesterday. Had ZERO confidence in the nightcap favorite though and wasn't surprised or disappointed that he failed. But there was no way to catch a $40 horse in the sequence without spreading mostly and narrowing somewhere. Will definitely keep an eye on Toronto as their P4/P3 mutuels have been outstanding the last couple years with the purse-fueled full fields.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
05-19-2009, 10:45 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
05-19-2009, 11:22 AM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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