8/29: Saratoga ($292k C/O; With Anticipation)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Dark Gemini 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #5 Wild Dynaformer 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Dancin in the Rain 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 First Friday 5-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Brooklyn Gerty Gate SCR
Next Best: #5 Jordy's Ready 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Fingerpaint 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Salt Pond 3-1 6th


3rd: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 A Bit of Mischief 9-2 WON ($18.20)
Best Value: #4 Currency Chaos 12-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Paddydunalot 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Sacrifice 10-1 3rd


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Klaravich entry 4-5 WON ($2.70)/2nd
Best Value: #6 Shortlist 6-1 5th-4th for wagering
Next Best: #8 Herecomesyourman 7-2 3rd-2nd for wagering
Exotics Use: #7 Wet Your Whistle 12-1 4th-3rd for wagering


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$292k DBL C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 More Mischief 3-1: Disappointed in debut, but came in mud.. WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #6 Chillinwithfriends 5-2: Came late in Collegeville Girl's MDN heat.. 4th
Best Value: #4 Alreadycelebrating 8-1: Will be motoring late.. 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Midnitesalright 6-1: Exits BEL stake try for top connex.. 2nd


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD))

Best Value: #10 Lune Lake 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sensible Myth Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1a Jazzy Juder 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Tres Charmant 6-1 WON ($9.40)


P5 Grid:

2: 3/SCR-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 2-6-11 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 1-8/SCR-10 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Full A-B-C: $150


P4 Grid:

3: 4-5-11 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 3-4-6-10 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
6: 1-8/SCR-10 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x6 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $135

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,2,5,9/3/4) Paid $151.50


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fair Regis 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Lucky Move 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Momma White Socks 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 She's Delightful 12-1 4th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 The Caretaker 8-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #3 Candid Desire 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Aveenu Malcainu 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Horoscope 8-1 -


9th: With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Somelikeithotbrown 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Opry 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Joyful Heart 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Swamp Rat 5-2 4th


10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #5 Jimmy Jazz 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Curlin's Legacy 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 High Conviction 9-2 11th
Super Add: #10 Whiskey Run 8-1 WON ($15.00)


P6 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 8/SCR-10 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-5 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 3 (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 7 (A), 8 (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 2x2x1x1x1x3 = 12 x $2 = $24
Full A-B-C: $320


P5 Grid:

6: 8/SCR-10 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-5 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 7-8-2 (A), 4-5-9 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $132


P4 Grid:

7: 4 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-2-11 (C)
9: 7-8-2 (A), 4-5-9 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-4-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $109.50

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/4/8/10) Paid $533.75 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

For Race 10, the #7 - High Conviction and #9 - The Sheik of Araby are both listed as having been gelded 4 days ago. Perhaps Steve or someone else can provide some guidance but that seems like an awfully short time frame to expect the horse to go out and run well.

[Alabama Stakes]

Probably just reported 4 days ago. They usually cut them after they run so as to give them healing time.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Probably just reported 4 days ago. They usually cut them after they run so as to give them healing time.

That makes sense and I was thinking that’s a possibility. It would be nice if they could standardize reporting on something like that.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

how about the bsf of the 7 some like it brown / a ?bsf

[moses]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

how about the bsf of the 7 some like it brown / a ?bsf

I think that race was supposed to be 8.5 furlongs and they messed up and ran 9 furlongs.

The fractions for that were thrown off by half a furlong:
29.69 (2.5f)
53.50 (4.5f)
1:19.50 (6.5f)
1:44.16 (8.5f)
1:50.51 (9.0f)

[Kasept]

Dan's got it right. You report the 'new gelding' at the time you enter. Doesn't take much time for them to heal though.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Dan's got it right. You report the 'new gelding' at the time you enter. Doesn't take much time for them to heal though.

Ok, thanks Steve.

[Kasept]

For those that are having trouble understanding the structure of A-B-C tickets, here are the plays that comprise the $150 Early P5..


P5 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 2-6-11 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Full A-B-C: $150


All A's

1 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00

A's with One B

2 - 6,9 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00
3 - 3,5 / 2,6,11 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $18.00

A's with Two B

4 - 6,9 / 2,6,11 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $18.00

A's with One C

5 - 1,7,8 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $18.00
6 - 3,5 / 3,9 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00
7 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 6,7,8 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $36.00
8 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 1 / 4,10 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00
9 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 2,4,5 ~ $12.00

[ontheoutside]

and wont say another word about it

[ontheoutside]

the whole world knows who you did this for and I appreciate it

[Kasept]

The parade of Late SCR's is endless.. and maddening.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

way to scr a horse in the paddock who everyone had...giving you a horse you a horse that lost as a the fav..smh

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

way to scr a horse in the paddock who everyone had...giving you a horse you a horse that lost as a the fav..smh

Ya what a nut buster. I wanted no part of that 1 too.

[Alabama Stakes]

That was a puzzling race7. Jose opens up rail for Irad who in turn strikes hoss he’s battling with and all is well at even money

[Flatterer]

It's official! NYRA condones a whip to the face of your opponent if they are so close to the wire that " the incident did not effect the result of the race".....take a look at Race 7 #4Fair Regis (Irad Ortiz) vs #3 Out of Orbit (Manny Franco) 3 jumps before the wire. The Stewards woefully missed this one!