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-   -   8/29: Saratoga ($292k C/O; With Anticipation) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=64949)

Kasept 08-29-2018 06:17 AM

8/29: Saratoga ($292k C/O; With Anticipation)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Dark Gemini 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #5 Wild Dynaformer 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Dancin in the Rain 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 First Friday 5-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Brooklyn Gerty Gate SCR
Next Best: #5 Jordy's Ready 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Fingerpaint 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Salt Pond 3-1 6th


3rd: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 A Bit of Mischief 9-2 WON ($18.20)
Best Value: #4 Currency Chaos 12-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Paddydunalot 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Sacrifice 10-1 3rd


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Klaravich entry 4-5 WON ($2.70)/2nd
Best Value: #6 Shortlist 6-1 5th-4th for wagering
Next Best: #8 Herecomesyourman 7-2 3rd-2nd for wagering
Exotics Use: #7 Wet Your Whistle 12-1 4th-3rd for wagering


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$292k DBL C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 More Mischief 3-1: Disappointed in debut, but came in mud.. WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #6 Chillinwithfriends 5-2: Came late in Collegeville Girl's MDN heat.. 4th
Best Value: #4 Alreadycelebrating 8-1: Will be motoring late.. 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Midnitesalright 6-1: Exits BEL stake try for top connex.. 2nd


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD))

Best Value: #10 Lune Lake 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sensible Myth Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1a Jazzy Juder 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Tres Charmant 6-1 WON ($9.40)


P5 Grid:

2: 3/SCR-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 2-6-11 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 1-8/SCR-10 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Full A-B-C: $150


P4 Grid:

3: 4-5-11 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 3-4-6-10 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
6: 1-8/SCR-10 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x6 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $135

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,2,5,9/3/4) Paid $151.50


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fair Regis 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Lucky Move 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Momma White Socks 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 She's Delightful 12-1 4th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 The Caretaker 8-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #3 Candid Desire 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Aveenu Malcainu 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Horoscope 8-1 -


9th: With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Somelikeithotbrown 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Opry 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Joyful Heart 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Swamp Rat 5-2 4th


10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #5 Jimmy Jazz 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Curlin's Legacy 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 High Conviction 9-2 11th
Super Add: #10 Whiskey Run 8-1 WON ($15.00)


P6 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 8/SCR-10 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-5 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 3 (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 7 (A), 8 (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 2x2x1x1x1x3 = 12 x $2 = $24
Full A-B-C: $320


P5 Grid:

6: 8/SCR-10 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-5 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 7-8-2 (A), 4-5-9 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $132


P4 Grid:

7: 4 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-2-11 (C)
9: 7-8-2 (A), 4-5-9 (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-4-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $109.50

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/4/8/10) Paid $533.75 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve

moses 08-29-2018 10:31 AM

For Race 10, the #7 - High Conviction and #9 - The Sheik of Araby are both listed as having been gelded 4 days ago. Perhaps Steve or someone else can provide some guidance but that seems like an awfully short time frame to expect the horse to go out and run well.

Alabama Stakes 08-29-2018 10:36 AM

Probably just reported 4 days ago. They usually cut them after they run so as to give them healing time.

moses 08-29-2018 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1115887)
Probably just reported 4 days ago. They usually cut them after they run so as to give them healing time.

That makes sense and I was thinking that’s a possibility. It would be nice if they could standardize reporting on something like that.

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-29-2018 10:57 AM

how about the bsf of the 7 some like it brown / a ?bsf :zz:

moses 08-29-2018 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 1115889)
how about the bsf of the 7 some like it brown / a ?bsf :zz:

I think that race was supposed to be 8.5 furlongs and they messed up and ran 9 furlongs.

The fractions for that were thrown off by half a furlong:
29.69 (2.5f)
53.50 (4.5f)
1:19.50 (6.5f)
1:44.16 (8.5f)
1:50.51 (9.0f)

Kasept 08-29-2018 11:02 AM

Dan's got it right. You report the 'new gelding' at the time you enter. Doesn't take much time for them to heal though.

moses 08-29-2018 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1115891)
Dan's got it right. You report the 'new gelding' at the time you enter. Doesn't take much time for them to heal though.

Ok, thanks Steve.

Kasept 08-29-2018 11:33 AM

For those that are having trouble understanding the structure of A-B-C tickets, here are the plays that comprise the $150 Early P5..


P5 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 2-6-11 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
6: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Full A-B-C: $150


All A's

1 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00

A's with One B

2 - 6,9 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00
3 - 3,5 / 2,6,11 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $18.00

A's with Two B

4 - 6,9 / 2,6,11 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $18.00

A's with One C

5 - 1,7,8 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $18.00
6 - 3,5 / 3,9 / 1 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00
7 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 6,7,8 / 3,6 / 1,8,10 ~ $36.00
8 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 1 / 4,10 / 1,8,10 ~ $12.00
9 - 3,5 / 4,5 / 1 / 3,6 / 2,4,5 ~ $12.00

ontheoutside 08-29-2018 12:28 PM

im saving this guy
 
and wont say another word about it

ontheoutside 08-29-2018 12:34 PM

the whole world knows who you did this for and I appreciate it

Kasept 08-29-2018 02:52 PM

The parade of Late SCR's is endless.. and maddening.

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-29-2018 02:56 PM

way to scr a horse in the paddock who everyone had...giving you a horse you a horse that lost as a the fav..smh:zz::wf

knickslions2 08-29-2018 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 1115917)
way to scr a horse in the paddock who everyone had...giving you a horse you a horse that lost as a the fav..smh:zz::wf

Ya what a nut buster. I wanted no part of that 1 too.

Alabama Stakes 08-29-2018 03:47 PM

That was a puzzling race7. Jose opens up rail for Irad who in turn strikes hoss he’s battling with and all is well at even money

Flatterer 08-29-2018 03:48 PM

It's official! NYRA condones a whip to the face of your opponent if they are so close to the wire that " the incident did not effect the result of the race".....take a look at Race 7 #4Fair Regis (Irad Ortiz) vs #3 Out of Orbit (Manny Franco) 3 jumps before the wire. The Stewards woefully missed this one!


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