Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 08-09-2014, 05:14 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,060
Default 9/9: Saratoga ($88k C/O; Fourstardave)

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silver Union 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #2 Island Candy 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Wraith 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Quick as a Bunny 6-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$35k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Curious group.. SCR of Ireland's Eye takes a lot of appeal out..

Most Likely: #7 Madd Exchange 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Nicholson 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Star Academy 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Eight Cents 12-1 3rd


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 March Reward 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Storm 8-5 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Adirondack Dancer 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Iron Power 5-1 2nd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Requite 8-1 WON ($5.50)
Next Best: #2 Two Weeks Off 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Call Daddy 8-1 8th
Super Add: #1a Proven Commodity 10-1 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Dr Disco 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Meet the Mets 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Star of New York 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Glory Game 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

1: 7 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-6 (C)
2: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 6 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 8-9 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
5: 4-8 (A), 3 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Main (A/B's): $81

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,7/5,7,8/5,6,7/3/7) Paid $721.75


P4 Grid:

2: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 6-8 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 1-8-9 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-4-8 (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)

Main (A/B's): $54

$0.50 Pick 4 (5,7,8/5,6,7/3/7) Paid $103.25


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$88k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #3 Dubai Sky 8-1: Extra time for bow since gate flip.. 3rd
Next Best: #10 Royal Squeeze 4-1: From highly productive dam.. 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Designed for War 7-2: Solid if unspectacular in morning.. WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #9 King of New York 12-1 2nd


7th: NY-ALW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Groupthink failed as fave here opening weekend but impressed enough in downstate to bullet for return engagement..

Most Likely: #4 Groupthink 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Gran the Man 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Native Hero 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Station Chief 5-1 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Point Roll SCR'D horse to beat with anything close to MDN-breaker, but Last Run (15-1) a full to $350k Empire earner Vicki's Dancer and has turf try benchmark to run back to. Gets Napravnik who should his style. Saez lost ground all the way on Birchwood Road (20-1) in grey's first run from Wilson barn. Easrns 2nd try at bonus mutuel. Archer Hill and The Spotted Wonder .

Best Value: #7 Last Run 15-1 DNF-Eased
Next Best: #4 Archer Hill 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Birchwood Road 20-1 6th
Super Add: ##6 Woke Up in Malibu 7-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Got lucky Friday scooping turf sprint 8th, but contenders here more obvious and shorter priced. Pace looks lively with 1-4-7-9-11 all knowing but one way to go. Someone in the lead group likely stays on (Rivelli fave?) while stalker-closers swamp..

Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Mizzen Moon 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Orient Harbor 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Kiss Me Lola 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Richies Sweetheart 5-2 WON ($4.90)


10th: 30th Fourstardave (G2), 3+, 1m-IT (DD)

Just a six pack but Key here is how quickly and vociferously Silver Max and Sayaad engage up front..

Most Likely: #3 Jack Milton 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Grand Arch 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Silver Max 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Seek Again 3-1 WON ($6.70)


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Trophee 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Forensic 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Coronette 5-1 5th
Exotics Use:: #2 See Ya Signe 15-1 10th


P6 Grid:

6: 3-10 (A), 7 (B), 9 (C)
7: 4 (A), 7 (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 1 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6-8 (C)
9: 10-12 (A), 2-6 (B), 1 (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2-6 (C)
11: 7 (A), 6 (B), 3 (C)

Main (A/B's): $144


P4 Grid:

8: 4-7 (A), 6-8 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 6-10-12 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)
10: 3 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 7 (A), 3-6 (B), 2 (C)

Main (A/B's): $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 08-09-2014 at 10:29 PM.
Reply With Quote
 



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:47 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.