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#1
07-18-2012, 06:27 AM
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7/18: Del Mar (6th-10th)
DEL MAR
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD) Blingo is an underlaid 3-1 fave here and needs a spirited pace battle up front to win. Boat Trip the horse to beat from my perspective and there's no harm in trying to knock him off too. Sadler explained on ATR that You Know I Know will opt for easier spot leaving barnmate Koast as his representative, but stretchout a big question mark at low tote. Midnight Crooner was a horse that really looked good breaking his maiden at Golden Gate and timing is right for him to take step forward Best Value: #3 Midnight Crooner 4-1 WON ($10.20) Next Best: #6 Boat Trip 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #9 Chips All In 5-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Blingo 3-1 4th 7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) Giant Steps still seems sharp, moves to barn that's great with new acquisitions, gets 5-9#'s from field and is 8-1.. Best Value: #5 Giant Steps 8-1 6th Next Best: #8 Valkyrie Missle 3-1 DNF Exotics Use: #12 Bet On Victor 9-2 3rd Super Add: #1 Gold Medallion 20-1 4th 8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD) Well-matched set of Golden Staters. Watch out for AE-12 Gatheratthealter (SCR'D) should he draw in.. Most Likely: #10 Woodman's Luck 7-2 2nd Next Best: #2 Low Gear Power 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #5 Killer Bear 3-1 WON ($6.80) Super Add: #9 Siempre Mio 8-1 10th 9th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (DD) This division being billed as coming out party for Holy Candy. Full sib Holloween Candy -- campaigned by Mark Verge -- won 5x and was plenty OK on turf. 7-5 not too pleasing but may end up being more than appropriate.. Most Likely: #9 Holy Candy 7-5 DNF Best Value: #5 My Best Brother 5-1 WON ($14.00) Next Best: #7 Stoney Fleece 4-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Tones 10-1 2nd 10th: Cal-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 Super Hi-5) SCR: 1-8-14 How to handle the 2 firsters (Salty Forecast and Miss Lady Ellen) and Vonn Nez are the question marks here.. Most Likely: #13 Not Kidding Around 9-2 5th Best Value: #11 War Excess 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 Fly to Freedom 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Vonn Nez 6-1 4th Super/Hi-5: #10 Miss Lady Ellen 6-1 WON ($14.40) <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-5-6-8-9-12 8: 2-5-10 9: 9 10: 2-4-6-9-10-11-13 7x3x1x7 = 147 x .50 = $73.50 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-18-2012 at 09:19 PM. 
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#2
07-18-2012, 12:56 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
07-18-2012, 03:19 PM
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On that late pick 4, if Holy Candy wins unless you hit big numbers in the other races I don't see how this is a good bet.
Wouldnt it just be better to bet 73.50 on Holy Candy at maybe 6/5? The caveman spread makes some sense if you loved a singled horse who was a price.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
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#4
07-18-2012, 03:31 PM
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have to just wait and see-steve hit a pick 6 using favorites and then catching a nice odds horse in one race. seems like the same approach here.the man has his reasons and they have some amazing results in the end- best of luck to you
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#6
07-18-2012, 03:49 PM
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I like Von Nez in the nightcap... not crazy abt the cut back in distance, but the drop in class to reality might finally get this one home at a decent price.. the O'neil firster will take a ton of cash
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#10
07-18-2012, 05:26 PM
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Quote:
The message is that the 7th & 10th are opportunities to get prices. As discussed today with Gary Young and Rick Hammerle, it's very tricky sequence. I had a different, cheap and simple play originally and was still singling Holy Candy, so I wanted to get coverage om more of the esoteric players. The pool is going to be very large and even mundane winners should cover the investment.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
07-18-2012, 06:09 PM
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Quote:
  nice Dave!
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#15
07-18-2012, 06:27 PM
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R5
$20 win 8 116.00 $5 ex 8/3,7 Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 07-18-2012 at 06:39 PM.
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#18
07-18-2012, 06:40 PM
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Quote:
He's ON FIRE!!!!!!
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