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#1
04-30-2009, 10:02 PM
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5/1: Churchill Downs (5th-11th)
Weather serious threat to Oaks-Derby Weekend, but you never can count on forecast in this region. Don't abandon or revise your plans unless you see clear indication of compromise to fairness of the racetrack.
CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, $1 Super) Most Likely: #11 Custom for Carlos 5-2 Best Value: #2 Fufty Too 30-1 Next Best: #1 Munnings 6-1 Exotics Use: #6 Just Ben 5-1 Super Add: #4 Street Car 5-1 6th: 15th Aegon Turf Sprint (Gr. III), 3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD, $1 Super) Most Likely: #2 Smart Enough 3-1 Next Best: #6 Chamberlain Bridge 5-2 Best Value: #5 Due Date 12-1 Super Add: #4 Captivating Cat 8-1 7th: 24th Louisville (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, $1 Super) Sporting move by Mosses to come here, but will be surprised if Shirreffs runs Zenyatta over a sea of slop, and race flow against the wonder mare ayway... Best Value: #4 One Caroline 3-1 Most Likely: #2 SCR Next Best: #8 Unbridled Belle 3-1 Super Add: #3 Miss Isella 15-1 8th: 25th Edgewood, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, $1 Super) May cover ridiculous 6-5 ML fave Laragh in multis but looking to score out within race.. Most Likely: #7 Magical Affair 5-1 Best Value: #2 Fleet Streak 20-1 Next Best: #11 Diamond Tags 10-1 Super Add: #1 Excelente 30-1 9th: 6th Alysheba (Gr. III), 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, $1 Super) Most Likely: #4 Cool Coal Man 4-1 Best Value: #5 Bullsbay 6-1 Next Best: #3 Mambo in Seattle 5-1 Super Add: #8 Dr. Pleasure 6-1 10th: 18th American Turf (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, $1 Super) Best Value: #5 Skipadate 10-1 Most Likely: #1 Stormallory 5-2 Next Best: #3 Battle of Hastings 3-1 Super Add: #7 Turfiste 8-1 11th: 135th Kentucky Oaks (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 9f (DD, KO-KD Dbl, KO-WRTC-KD P3, $1 Super) Most Likely: #6 Rachel Alexandra 3-5 Next Best: #5 Justwhistledixie 5-2 Best Value: #2 Be Fair 15-1 Super Add: #4 Gabby's Golden Girl 10-1 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 1-2-7-10-11 9: 1-3-4-5-8-9 10: 1-3-5-7 11: 6 5x6x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-01-2009 at 11:31 AM. 
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#2
04-30-2009, 10:13 PM
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Quote:
Last edited by Kasept : 04-30-2009 at 10:25 PM.
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#3
04-30-2009, 10:30 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
04-30-2009, 10:41 PM
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Cool Coal Man??
The way he ran in NY last time they would have to scrape me off the floor if he wins ... and I realize he's not facing a whole lot this time either.
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#5
04-30-2009, 11:51 PM
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Early Changes:
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...rogram-changes
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#6
05-01-2009, 12:32 AM
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[quote]
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you're going for a number in that edgewood. i agree i think laragh is beatable especially at that price, i'm using 234710 and hope she runs up the track also, i agree w/ drugs about the coal man. last time out he had ZERO excuses to lose that race with those fractions, what do you see in him this time, muddy track? gl -bt-
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#7
05-01-2009, 01:32 AM
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I'm with you in the 8th and 10th, Steve. . . also like the 1 in the last
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#8
05-01-2009, 09:55 AM
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#9
05-01-2009, 10:00 AM
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#11
05-01-2009, 10:24 AM
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Nobody likes Macho Again but me?
__________________
"After a shooting spree, they always want to take the guns away from the people who didn't do it. I sure as hell wouldn't want to live in a society where the only people allowed guns are the police and the military."...William S. Burroughs
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#12
05-01-2009, 10:24 AM
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#14
05-01-2009, 11:30 AM
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Track continues to dry out and no rain in sight for now until the evening.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#19
05-01-2009, 12:41 PM
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Magical Affair, Bullsbay then Bunker Hill in the 8, 9 and 10th.
Not betting the Oaks per se, will do an Oaks /Derby Double of Rachel Alexandra with Regal Ransom-Chocolate Candy-I Want Revenge Will also do the Oaks, Woodford, Derby Pick 3 of Rachel/Thorn Song/Regal Ransom-Chocolate Candy-I Want Revenge
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#20
05-01-2009, 12:44 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"After a shooting spree, they always want to take the guns away from the people who didn't do it. I sure as hell wouldn't want to live in a society where the only people allowed guns are the police and the military."...William S. Burroughs
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