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#1
04-11-2008, 08:40 AM
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4/11: AQU (P6 C/O); KEE (Maker's, P4)
In what became a running gag when co-hosting ATR with Graci, Thursday was "scalded dog comeback day" ringing up big scores with the Keeneland selections after a dreadful afternoon Wednesday. Overlays Moonshine Hall (7th-$15) and Mama I'm Home (9th-$42) keyed the $2,500 P4 and $900 P3 (7th-9th) in the best single play I've had at Lexington since the move to Polytrack. $60 quad ticket returned better than 40-1 combining the obvious ($5 Charming in 6th; $8 Ariege in the Beaumont) with the potential prices. Curiously, the ticket was a hit with all four 2nd place horses as well as the winners. (Something I don't ever recall having done...)
Received a number of Emails, so I know several were along for the ride! Hope you did well... P6 at AQU and terrific Maker's Mark Mile at KEE, though rain a threat to both cards... AQUEDUCT 4th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3) Most Likely: #4 Akebono 4-1 WON Best Value: #7 Starhumor 6-1 5th Next Best: #8 Juror 5-2 9th Exotics Add: #3 Russian Sage 6-1 3rd 5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, G/S) Most Likely: #5 Lady in Command 9-5 WON Best Value: #6 SCR Next Best: #1 Triple Brook 4-1 4th Best Value: #3 Ed's Princess 8-1 2nd 6th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Meredith Bay 2-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Watch My Lass 10-1 WON Next Best: #9 Wicked Affair 4-1 7th Exotics Add: #8 Wise Pitch 30-1 10th 7th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #6 He's a Pioneer 4-1 7th Next Best: #9 Golden Blase 3-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Wavering Truth 15-1 6th Exotics Add: #3 Holly Time 2-1 3rd 8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD) Most Likely: #1e Dutrow entry 2-1 WON/3rd Best Value: #2 Hatta Diamond 6-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Fee Fi Fo Fum 8-1 6th 9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super) Most Likely: #7 Depend on Bonnie 5-2 7th Best Value: #8 Fast Learner 10-1 WON Next Best: #4 Battle of Britain 5-1 2nd Exotics Add: #5 My Honey B 15-1 3rd $1 Exacta (8-4) $75.00 $1 Trifecta (8-4-5) $761.00 <$150 P6 Play: 4: 3-4-7-8 5: 5 6: 3-4-9 7: 6 8: 1-2-5 9: 7-8 4x1x3x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 $2 Pick 6 (4-2/5/6-4-4-1/4-8) 5 Correct $172.00 <$50 P4 Play: 6: 3-4 7: 6-9 8: 1-2-5-6 9: 4-7-8 2x2x4x3 = $48 KEENELAND 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #8 Slewfoundmoney 6-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Scarlett's Place 7-2 5th Best Value: #4 Rockintotherhythm 20-1 6th Exotics Add: #5 Caressive 5-2 8th 8th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #6 School Girl 4-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Informed Decision 9-5 WON Exotics Add: #4 Dreaming of Liz 4-1 6th 9th: 20th Maker's Mark (gr. I), 4+, 1m-T (Super, Maker's Mark-Blue Grass Double) Wonderful gathering of real Gr. I racehorses for this spring sod standard.. Deep and intriguing! Don't forget the Maker's-Blue Grass Double bet today... Could be a bonanza.. NOTES: Should skies open and course be less than firm, #11 Thorn Song (15-1) from Romans becomes exotics must; Disliked hard GP lawn, and looks set for return to best.. Most Likely: #1 Kip Deville 5-2: Honest, likeable OKie bred defends title in '08 bow.. WON Best Value: #9 Shakis 8-1: KMc-Shadwell 8yo may sit ideal stalking trip; Classy.. 6th Next Best: #4 Ruff and Ready 10-1: Looks like up and comer was pointed for this.. 8th Exotics Add: #11 Thorn Song 15-1: Yielding loam key to this Romans' runner.. 3rd Maker's-Blue Grass Double: 1-4-9-11/1-2-3-5-7-9-11-12 (4x8 = $32) 1/5 Kip/Monba: 102.20 10th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #5 Oceanography 9-5 5th Best Value: #12 Indy Run 10-1 6th Next Best: #7 Borobudur 10-1 WON Exotics Add: #3 Del Castillo Diaz 9-2 9th High 5 Play: #11 Sourpower 15-1 10th <$50 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-5-8 8: 2-4-6 9: 1-4-9-11 10: 5 4x3x4x1 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-12-2008 at 04:37 PM. 
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#2
04-11-2008, 09:17 AM
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That Aqueduct 6th is something else. Field of 12, 1 first time starter. Out of the remaining 11, 6 put up a zero Beyer last out. Woah...
Think I'm gonna single He's a Pioneer and try to string a pk4 together. Good Luck!
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#3
04-11-2008, 09:30 AM
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Had similar thought. "He's" is at least consistant... Good luck...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
04-11-2008, 09:31 AM
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anyone have any input on the early pick 4, i like the sequence of races.... i looked at the pp's thinking about going deep in everything and then keying cc in the 5th, maybe a 4-4-4-1 ticket. i hate going deep just to go deep though, then you hit a ticket, that does not even get you your money back. if cc wins, and the pletcher horse wins the 3rd, can this thing pay anything ?
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#6
04-11-2008, 09:39 AM
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 yeesh...Figure they leave the Maker's on the grass and take the 5th off I suppose?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
04-11-2008, 10:12 AM
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4
1A Wood Winner Early 10 Building New Era Early 11 Lorccan Early 5 6 Magnificent Looker Early 8 4 So Smashley Early 9 13 Fourth Chapter Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
04-11-2008, 10:17 AM
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Scratches & Changes / Track Conditions, Maintenance & Weather
Friday, April 11, 2008 10:00 AM The Polytrack is fast; the turf course is yielding The Gallop Master will be used today after training and again after races 1, 2, 5, 7 and 9. The approximate height of the grass on the turf course is 5 inches. 1 #1A--Seeking Shelter--Jockey change to Corey Lanerie #5--Tidy Up--SCRATCH 2 #3--Sundayinthesouth--SCRATCH 3 NO CHANGES 4 #1--Tawfeer--SCRATCH #9--Holiday Justice--SCRATCH 5 #13AE--Y Seven--SCRATCH #14AE--Paris Winds--SCRATCH 6 #10--Cherokee Scot--SCRATCH 7 #2--Gulchic--SCRATCH 8 NO CHANGES 9 NO CHANGES 10 NO CHANGES
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
04-11-2008, 10:45 AM
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Damnit Steve!!! Quiet with the Thorn Song/yielding angle!!!!
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#10
04-11-2008, 11:09 AM
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Quote:
Also using Out of Control now, his 2nd lifetime race was over a 'heavy' ground, which I have heard compared to yielding. It looked like he liked it. I think I might Thousand Words also but haven't decided, going three deep in last leg of P3
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#12
04-11-2008, 12:17 PM
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KEE 9
As of 12:02 p.m.: #5--Thousand Words--SCRATCH
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
04-11-2008, 12:19 PM
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what do you think of parading at a huge price ? i used him on my pick 4 along with war monger and robby's horse
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#14
04-11-2008, 12:28 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#15
04-11-2008, 12:58 PM
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Quote:
1,5,7/2,5/2,3,10/5,10
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#16
04-11-2008, 01:37 PM
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Did anyone see the way Hill rode the Hushion winner in the AQU 4th just now? He rode him like he was Round Table at 3-5... OMG.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
04-11-2008, 01:52 PM
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i had a 4-8 straight exacta and juror is rank and runs like a mule
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#18
04-11-2008, 03:51 PM
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#19
04-11-2008, 04:19 PM
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#20
04-11-2008, 04:29 PM
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Steve,
Great work at Aqueduct today! Don't Knock America busted my 4 and your pk6. But great job on 5 of 6. Some real nice prices in your top 2 selections! Glad to get $8 on Akebono. Glad to have you back on the beat in NY... Last edited by pmacdaddy : 04-11-2008 at 04:41 PM.
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