4/11: AQU (P6 C/O); KEE (Maker's, P4)
 

In what became a running gag when co-hosting ATR with Graci, Thursday was "scalded dog comeback day" ringing up big scores with the Keeneland selections after a dreadful afternoon Wednesday. Overlays Moonshine Hall (7th-$15) and Mama I'm Home (9th-$42) keyed the $2,500 P4 and $900 P3 (7th-9th) in the best single play I've had at Lexington since the move to Polytrack. $60 quad ticket returned better than 40-1 combining the obvious ($5 Charming in 6th; $8 Ariege in the Beaumont) with the potential prices. Curiously, the ticket was a hit with all four 2nd place horses as well as the winners. (Something I don't ever recall having done...)

Received a number of Emails, so I know several were along for the ride! Hope you did well... P6 at AQU and terrific Maker's Mark Mile at KEE, though rain a threat to both cards...


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #4 Akebono 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Starhumor 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Juror 5-2 9th
Exotics Add: #3 Russian Sage 6-1 3rd


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, G/S)

Most Likely: #5 Lady in Command 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #1 Triple Brook 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Ed's Princess 8-1 2nd


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Meredith Bay 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Watch My Lass 10-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Wicked Affair 4-1 7th
Exotics Add: #8 Wise Pitch 30-1 10th


7th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 He's a Pioneer 4-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Golden Blase 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wavering Truth 15-1 6th
Exotics Add: #3 Holly Time 2-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Dutrow entry 2-1 WON/3rd
Best Value: #2 Hatta Diamond 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Fee Fi Fo Fum 8-1 6th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Depend on Bonnie 5-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Fast Learner 10-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Battle of Britain 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 My Honey B 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (8-4) $75.00
$1 Trifecta (8-4-5) $761.00


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-7-8
5: 5
6: 3-4-9
7: 6
8: 1-2-5
9: 7-8

4x1x3x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 $2 Pick 6 (4-2/5/6-4-4-1/4-8) 5 Correct $172.00


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-4
7: 6-9
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 4-7-8

2x2x4x3 = $48



KEENELAND


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Slewfoundmoney 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Scarlett's Place 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Rockintotherhythm 20-1 6th
Exotics Add: #5 Caressive 5-2 8th


8th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 School Girl 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Informed Decision 9-5 WON
Exotics Add: #4 Dreaming of Liz 4-1 6th


9th: 20th Maker's Mark (gr. I), 4+, 1m-T (Super, Maker's Mark-Blue Grass Double)

Wonderful gathering of real Gr. I racehorses for this spring sod standard.. Deep and intriguing! Don't forget the Maker's-Blue Grass Double bet today... Could be a bonanza.. NOTES: Should skies open and course be less than firm, #11 Thorn Song (15-1) from Romans becomes exotics must; Disliked hard GP lawn, and looks set for return to best..

Most Likely: #1 Kip Deville 5-2: Honest, likeable OKie bred defends title in '08 bow.. WON
Best Value: #9 Shakis 8-1: KMc-Shadwell 8yo may sit ideal stalking trip; Classy.. 6th
Next Best: #4 Ruff and Ready 10-1: Looks like up and comer was pointed for this.. 8th
Exotics Add: #11 Thorn Song 15-1: Yielding loam key to this Romans' runner.. 3rd

Maker's-Blue Grass Double: 1-4-9-11/1-2-3-5-7-9-11-12 (4x8 = $32)
1/5 Kip/Monba: 102.20


10th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Oceanography 9-5 5th
Best Value: #12 Indy Run 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Borobudur 10-1 WON
Exotics Add: #3 Del Castillo Diaz 9-2 9th
High 5 Play: #11 Sourpower 15-1 10th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-5-8
8: 2-4-6
9: 1-4-9-11
10: 5

4x3x4x1 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

That Aqueduct 6th is something else. Field of 12, 1 first time starter. Out of the remaining 11, 6 put up a zero Beyer last out. Woah...

Think I'm gonna single He's a Pioneer and try to string a pk4 together.

Good Luck!

Pat,

Had similar thought. "He's" is at least consistant... Good luck...

anyone have any input on the early pick 4, i like the sequence of races.... i looked at the pp's thinking about going deep in everything and then keying cc in the 5th, maybe a 4-4-4-1 ticket. i hate going deep just to go deep though, then you hit a ticket, that does not even get you your money back. if cc wins, and the pletcher horse wins the 3rd, can this thing pay anything ?

IF they stay on the turf for the Maker's Mark....handicap for a bog.

:( yeesh...

Figure they leave the Maker's on the grass and take the 5th off I suppose?

4
1A Wood Winner Early
10 Building New Era Early
11 Lorccan Early


5
6 Magnificent Looker Early


8
4 So Smashley Early


9
13 Fourth Chapter Early

Scratches & Changes / Track Conditions, Maintenance & Weather

Friday, April 11, 2008 10:00 AM

The Polytrack is fast; the turf course is yielding

The Gallop Master will be used today after training and again after races 1, 2, 5, 7 and 9.

The approximate height of the grass on the turf course is 5 inches.


1 #1A--Seeking Shelter--Jockey change to Corey Lanerie
#5--Tidy Up--SCRATCH

2 #3--Sundayinthesouth--SCRATCH

3 NO CHANGES

4 #1--Tawfeer--SCRATCH
#9--Holiday Justice--SCRATCH

5 #13AE--Y Seven--SCRATCH
#14AE--Paris Winds--SCRATCH

6 #10--Cherokee Scot--SCRATCH

7 #2--Gulchic--SCRATCH

8 NO CHANGES

9 NO CHANGES

10 NO CHANGES

Damnit Steve!!! Quiet with the Thorn Song/yielding angle!!!!

Yeah, I just noticed that also, plus he is 0-2=x and should return to his top today, making him major contender

Also using Out of Control now, his 2nd lifetime race was over a 'heavy' ground, which I have heard compared to yielding. It looked like he liked it. I think I might Thousand Words also but haven't decided, going three deep in last leg of P3

Alright, alright, I'll post a ticket
 

Keeneland
1: 4,8
2: 5,7,10
3: 1,2

Going to move to Hooves thread

KEE 9
As of 12:02 p.m.:

#5--Thousand Words--SCRATCH

what do you think of parading at a huge price ? i used him on my pick 4 along with war monger and robby's horse

I'll say this Joe.. Parading's best race did come over a yielding KEE course, so he's got that going for him. The Phipps' don't run their horses in Gr. I's to look bad, so making a stakes debut in this spot is also an endorsement. He's never run fast enough to beat most of these, but Shug must have seen something in him in Florida that got him thinking about this race. Not the craziest notion you've ever had...

i did use him, i might not even be alive in the pick 4 though for that race... heres my ticket...

1,5,7/2,5/2,3,10/5,10

Did anyone see the way Hill rode the Hushion winner in the AQU 4th just now? He rode him like he was Round Table at 3-5... OMG.

i saw it
i had a 4-8 straight exacta and juror is rank and runs like a mule

Looks like we are the only people interested Coach, 34/1 right now on the board. should have at least half that, if not less. she runs that yielding number and she is right there at the end

Damn. Would have made nice exacta...