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Old 07-18-2012, 06:27 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,025
Default 7/18: Del Mar (6th-10th)

DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Blingo is an underlaid 3-1 fave here and needs a spirited pace battle up front to win. Boat Trip the horse to beat from my perspective and there's no harm in trying to knock him off too. Sadler explained on ATR that You Know I Know will opt for easier spot leaving barnmate Koast as his representative, but stretchout a big question mark at low tote. Midnight Crooner was a horse that really looked good breaking his maiden at Golden Gate and timing is right for him to take step forward

Best Value: #3 Midnight Crooner 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #6 Boat Trip 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Chips All In 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Blingo 3-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Giant Steps still seems sharp, moves to barn that's great with new acquisitions, gets 5-9#'s from field and is 8-1..

Best Value: #5 Giant Steps 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Valkyrie Missle 3-1 DNF
Exotics Use: #12 Bet On Victor 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Gold Medallion 20-1 4th


8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Well-matched set of Golden Staters. Watch out for AE-12 Gatheratthealter (SCR'D) should he draw in..

Most Likely: #10 Woodman's Luck 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Low Gear Power 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Killer Bear 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #9 Siempre Mio 8-1 10th


9th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

This division being billed as coming out party for Holy Candy. Full sib Holloween Candy -- campaigned by Mark Verge -- won 5x and was plenty OK on turf. 7-5 not too pleasing but may end up being more than appropriate..

Most Likely: #9 Holy Candy 7-5 DNF
Best Value: #5 My Best Brother 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #7 Stoney Fleece 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Tones 10-1 2nd


10th: Cal-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 Super Hi-5)

SCR: 1-8-14

How to handle the 2 firsters (Salty Forecast and Miss Lady Ellen) and Vonn Nez are the question marks here..

Most Likely: #13 Not Kidding Around 9-2 5th
Best Value: #11 War Excess 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Fly to Freedom 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Vonn Nez 6-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Miss Lady Ellen 6-1 WON ($14.40)


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-6-8-9-12
8: 2-5-10
9: 9
10: 2-4-6-9-10-11-13

7x3x1x7 = 147 x .50 = $73.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-18-2012 at 09:19 PM.
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