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#1
05-31-2009, 06:58 AM
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5/31: BEL (P4); HOL ($125k C/O)
Took wince-inducing losses in anchor legs of both P4's Saturday after negotiating largely-logical opening troikas. Tagg nightcap winner at Belmont was an especially dumb omission given trainer angles that deserved attention. Churchill 11th runaway was OK as a contender on paper, and Borel miraculously continues to move horses up as a matter of course. The miscues were costly too, as Churchill's .50 quad brought back $484.40 in a sequence where the $2 parlay equaled $845, or about the P4. New York's parlay was $337 and the 4 returned $591 ($2). Hope you did OK despite my inability to close out the skiens.
All grass P4 at Belmont today and a $125,000 carryover at Hollywood to consider... BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 4th NY Stallion-Spectacular Bid, NYB-3yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #10 Uncle T Seven 4-1 2nd Best Value: #1e C. Martin entry 12-1 10th/11th Next Best: #5 Tall Poppi 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #11 Early Response 7-2 5th 7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 SCR Next Best: #5 Southern Splendor 6-1 3rd Most Consider: #10 Winloc's Big D 5-2 2nd Super Add: #4 Mr. Petersson 6-1 4th 8th: 3rd New York Stallion-Cupecoy's Joy, NYB-3yo F, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Wild Awake 3-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Seek On 6-1 8th Next Best: #11 Mother Russia 5-2 WON Super Add: #8 Hanna Can Fly 15-1 6th 9th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD) Most Likely: #7 Dancing Forever 1-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Baletti 10-1 WON Next Best: #3 Prince Rahy 10-1 5th 10th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T Most Likely: #8 Cagey Girl 5-1 Best Value: #11 Higher Incentive 20-1 Next Best: #9 Catty Madeline 4-1 Super Add: #2b SCR <$75 P4 Play: 7: 4-5-10 8: 2-5-8-11 9: 1-7 10: 8-9-11 3x4x2x3 = $72 HOLLYWOOD PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Necessary Evil 7-2 WON Best Value: #8 Laura's Pleasure 8-1 5th Next Best: #3 Magic Yodeler 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Ghost Shadow 5-1 6th Super Add: #6 Mi Sueno 4-1 2nd 5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Woodland Flood 3-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Nima's Pad 6-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Cavanal 5-2 WON Super Add: #1 Mr. Big 5-1 6th 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Mort Robbins 8-1 6th Most Likely: #5 Itlee 4-1 3rd Next Best: #12 Job Boss 7-2 WON Super Add: #11 SCR 7th: 58th Honeymoon (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Well Monied 3-1 WON Best Value: #1 Century Park 8-1 4th Next Best: #8 Acting Lady 7-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Pride Dancer 9-2 9th 8th: MSW, 3+, 7f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Unionize 3-1 4th Best Value: #5 Margarita Shot 6-1 WON Next Best: #6 Hidden Blessing 7-2 7th Super Add: #1e Zayat entry 5-1 2nd 9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #13 No Grande 9-2 WON Best Value: #6 Stormy Game 8-1 4th Next Best: #5 Senor Afortunado 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Bob Benoit 10-1 3rd High 5 Play: #12 Treadwell 8-1 6th $1 Exacta (13-5) Paid $39.90 $1 Trifecta (13-5-9) Paid $230.00 $1 Superfecta (13-5-9-6) Paid $1,221.10 <$300 P6 Play: 4: 3-5-8 5: 3-8 6: 5-6 7: 1-9 8: 2-5 9: 5-6-13 3x2x2x2x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288 <$100 P4 Play: 6: 5-6-12 7: 1-3-7-8-9 8: 2-5 9: 5-6-13 3x5x2x3 = $90 $1 Pick 4 (1/3/8/11/12-9-5-13) 4 Correct Paid $434.00 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-31-2009 at 10:01 PM. 
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#2
05-31-2009, 07:59 AM
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Steve,
Check you number on Hanna Can Fly I think she is the #8 rather than the #6. That was a tough beat, I was covered to all but the 8 & 9 in the finale in either a Pick 3 or Pick 4. Oh well, today is another day - Go getem! HH
__________________
"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those that matter don't mind, and those that mind, dont matter." Theodore Seuss Geisel "Dr. Seuss"
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#3
05-31-2009, 08:37 AM
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Quote:
 Thanks again for all your hard work.
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#4
05-31-2009, 10:15 AM
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BELMONT SCR'S
6 2B Four Star General Early 7 2 Federal Deposit Early 8 Ten Carrot Nikki Early 8 9 Phone Jazz Early 10 1A Salt Water Reign Early 2B Sweet Madness Early 13 Hailey Keen Early 14 Summer Palace Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
05-31-2009, 10:25 AM
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I know you keep cost at certain minimums but hope you get a scratch to allow inclusion of #9 Bob's...in the 9th at Holly a very likely bomb today to close out the sequence. Moving forward off the turn back at a distance at a distance he has won at after a race against winners......yum!!
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#6
05-31-2009, 10:59 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
05-31-2009, 07:32 PM
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Quote:
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#13
05-31-2009, 07:37 PM
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Steve, great job at Hollwood on the late pick 4, your on fire. Like everyone i'm in awe of the roll you have been on with the pick 4's but i am even more impressed how many embedded exacta, tri's and supers you have had in your picks. To me that proves this is not a fluke, your just plain good man! What a great handicapper. I'm glad to say i was along for the ride with you on thursday at Belmont with the double pick 4 payoff for $ 1,200 and today at Hollywood. Thanks for all of the hard work you put into your handicapping and into the radio show on sirius. If i make it up to Saratoga i am gonna buy you a BBQ sandwich, i hear some guy up there does a pretty good job with that as well hehe.
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#14
05-31-2009, 07:46 PM
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Nice job at Hollywood Steve. Congrats on the late pick 4
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#15
05-31-2009, 07:48 PM
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Nice work again Steve. On a sad note, not using the 13 in the last cost me the Pk6. I was alive to the 3,5 and 12. Got 2 consos on a 48$ ticket so not all was lost. Son of a..........
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#16
05-31-2009, 08:01 PM
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Steve,
Another amazing day! Thanks again for your selfless work and efforts that you put in , and for sharing this incredible roll with all of us. Here's to keeping the roll going! Looking forward to the Huge Weekend coming up. Great job. 
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