Managed to negotiate both big tickets successfully Friday, catching the early P4 for $316 and the late quad for $926 keyed by delightfully overlooked My Dinah ($16.20 as 7th race Best Value top choice). As anticipated, the second P4 was the sequence that had real potential, and the return was the kind you need at this session to build bankroll power. Hitting for nearly $1,000 is always welcome, but it’s also important to pause and recognize that the payoff could have more than tripled had Lights Out Lisa won the 8th race photo.

The key to the multi-race score is getting yourself into position to have the chance to be rewarded for daring play. The parlay for the winning skien was $781 (with Ride On Josephine in the 8th), while the parlay with Lights Out Lisa was an estimated $2,724. You can’t know that the P4 would have paid 4X more with Lights Out Lisa that it did with Ride On Josephine, but it certainly would have been at least 2-2.5 than the $926. You build the multi play looking to survive each leg, but need to evaluate races for possible outcomes that the public isn’t considering. My Dinah seemed perfectly set up for a dream trip in the Fleet Indian with at least three speed horses likely to be dueling ahead of her. Indeed, that’s how it played out, and her win likely knocked out a number of P4 plays.

It should be mentioned too that late scratches of 9th race short number Person of Interest and Fleet Indian S. possible Wicked Diva did P4 winners a favor, as neither of the horses that those tickets received as the post time favorite won. And while those of you that won the late P4 benefitted this time, as has been discussed by Steve Crist, the rule that forces the post time favorite on players needs to be reworked to be more equitable.

Hope everyone did well… Things have been going nicely, and I hope I can keep it going for you today! Big weekend ahead!

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-Fasig, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

State bred stake is largely devoid of pace factors. Can’t Maragh boss this around on Akilina?

Most Likely: #3 Akilina 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Chestoria 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 You Go West Girl 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Our Golden Dream 8-1 6th

2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Curious group of maidens that have either flashed some talent or are rumored to have ability. A jump up winner here is more likely than possible. ML fave Bakhoor is being asked to do a lot stretching from three quarters to a mile and three eighths..

Most Likely: #1 Medal Round 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Megaholtz 3-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Savannah Bay 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Admiral Alex 10-1 WON ($7.40)

3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Hodge-podge of misfits that are being thrown together by connections in a ‘have to try something with this horse’ manner. ML choice #5 Wonderboy Roy probably will win, and while 8-5 (or less) isn’t usually the kind of price you embrace in a race like this, it’s tough to latch on to anything else with any confidence.. HAS SCRATCHED!

Most Likely: #10 Strolldownbroadway 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Peytons Heart 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Miss Hanky Panky 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Unforgettable P J 12-1 7th

4th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Ducale 9-2 7th
Next Best: #13 Jim’s Applemartini 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Chuckie’s Honor 6-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Ambassador Bridge 6-1 2nd

5th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Insider Tip 8-1: Priced right and should get cozy trip 5th
Next Best: #3 Caberneigh 9-2: 3rd/break; Handy speed for Gomez.. WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Rescue Squad 2-1 6th
Super Add: #1 En Fuego 7-2 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-6-7-8
3: 1-4-6-10
4: 3
5: 2-3-6

6x4x2x3 = $72

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Has look of baby race that will be productive, but among the firsters, there needs to be one that is really ready to beat Volcker..

Most Likely: #10 Volcker 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Arthur’s Tale 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Astrology 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Settle for Medal 6-1 WON ($45.20)

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

As discussed by Steve Haskin on ATR Friday, a very intense allowance with some 3yo’s involved that could pop up in the Travers with forward efforts..

Most Likely: #1 Morning Line 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Heart Butte 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Gallant Fields 4-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Two Brash 10-1 7th

8th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 The Noz 3-1: Obvious, but hardly inspiring.. WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #10 Central Red Raider 10-1: One of several that can jump up.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Paddock SCR
Super Add: #6 Felice Di Notte 12-1 8th

9th: 72nd Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Proviso 5-2: Hard to go against off ’10 form.. WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #4 Forever Together 2-1: Winless since ’09 version of this.. 3rd
Best Value: #2 My Princess Jess 8-1: Consistantly close in big races.. 7th
Super Add: #3 Phola 4-1: Beautifully handled and still improving.. 6th

10th: 47th Jim Dandy (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Eventhough the 2010 sophomores are a largely mediocre lot, add this to Sunday’s Haskell, the 7th race ALW above and perhaps a West Coast invader or two, and you have the recipe for one of the best Travers in recent memory..

Most Likely: #2 Afleet Express 4-1: J. Jerkens carefully developing sharp colt.. 3rd
Best Value: #8 Friend or Foe 8-1: Kimmel-Broman NY-bred red still has tons of upside yet.. 4th
Next Best: #9 Fly Down 3-1: Belmont place pony possible tonic for struggling Lezcano.. 5th
Super Add: #3 Stormy’s Majesty 15-1: From top to NY-bred family; Exotics booster.. 8th

11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Dr. Alex 7-2 5th
Next Best: #9 British Banker 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Brad’s My Hero 15-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Chromosphere 6-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-7-10
9: 1-4
10: 2-8-9
11: 1-2-6-9

3x2x3x4 = $72

Strange events during the P6 sequence as Pletcher-Scatuorchio runner System Ready, one of the strong possibilities, was scratched in the paddock for wearing illegal turn downs as footwear. Fold in the early scratch of Nacho Business, and chaos emerged as a result with Weaver returnee Powhattan County ($15.40) winning and derailing the carryover try. Having 4 other winners on the ticket, I suppose in one way that was a better result than staying alive there and arriving at the nightcap to see 4th choice Karakorum Legend ($15.80) emerge victorious absent from the $192 play. The sequence returned a robust $14,200. The rest of the day was very chalky including the money-losing early P4 ($45 invested, $33 returned). Hope you did well!

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Unaccountable 8-5: Brown said he would drop aggressively this meet.. WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #8 Eldoktori 8-1: Chronic underachiever moves to Butch Reid.. 6th
Next Best: #9 J J’s Prophet 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 King Carter 6-1 2nd

.10 Super Play: 1-8 with 1-4-7-8-9 with 1-4-7-8-9 with 1-4-7-8-9 (2x4x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80) $0.10 Super (1-7-9-4) Paid $7.90

2nd: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Curious group of state bred maidens with no form or just starying out. Feels like a dangerous spot..

Most Likely: #1 Song of Broadway 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moshe Diane 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #2 Frazzie 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Pearl River 7-2 7th

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Strange things happen in long races with short fields. Shug and Zito both flat exiting the starting gate at Spa, and at anything close to the ML of 3-1, the Mott/Mo runner seems the right key..

Best Value: #2 Film Charm 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Persistently 9-5 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #4 SCR

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Ravingaboutkitten 7-2: Complete connections recipe for early win.. 7th
Next Best: #7 Letshootpool 2-1: Rice filly likely ready for good debut.. WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #9 Thunder Jewel 8-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Eden is Burning 8-1 2nd

5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Ton of speed signed on here..

Most Likely: #7 Diva in Training 7-2: This RudyRod runner actually makes sense.. 2nd
Best Value: #5 Hot and Bothered 5-1: Was sharp here in 2 ’09 starts.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Rock Hall Honey 5-1 WON ($12.20)

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-7
3: 1-2-4
4: 6-7
5: 3-5-7

4x3x2x3 = $72 $1 P4 (3/1/4,7,10,12/3) Paid $316.50

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some pedigrees on parade here with #5 Puzzling a half to Dancing Forever, #8 Holidaysatthefarm a half to Rich in Spirit and #11 (AE) Winter Memories the next daughter of Memories of Silver. And as we learned Thursday with the 7th, turf routes with babies are chaotic by nature, and there are several here who have more than enough breeding influence and connection power to perform well in this..

Best Value: #8 Holidaysatthefarm 6-1: Proctor off well; Turf stretchout suits.. 5th
Next Best: #10 Artisanal 5-1: Maybe this one gets to paddock with legal footwear.. 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Arch Support 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Super Add: #3 Erma Lee 12-1 4th

7th: NY-Fleet Indian, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 My Dinah 10-1: Been keeping nice company; Can rally.. WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #5 Meese Rocks 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Late SCR

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Turf sprint where the ML faves look ordinary..

Most Likely: #4 Night Spirit 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Ride On Josephine 5-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #5 Bobbi O. 12-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Lights Out Lisa 6-1 2nd

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Person of Interest Late SCR
Best Value: #5 Hangingonthefuture 15-1: Returns 1st as 4yo for sharp layoff trainer.. 9th
Next Best: #8 Bishop of Nola 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Super Add: #9 Cullinan 9-2 3rd

.10 Super Play: 6/SCR with 2-4-5-8-9 with 2-4-5-8-9 with 2-4-5-8-9

<$75 P4 Play:

Fun sequence with big potential for quality return. Key is skein starter where baby turf route has wide permutations..

6: 7-8-10
7: 5-6
8: 4-5-7-10
9: 5-6/SCR8 (SCR gets 11 as post time favorite)

3x2x4x3 = $72 $1 P4 (7,11,12,13/6/7/8) Paid $926.00

P4 keeps momentum going; $35k C/O Thursday

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | 3 comments

Enjoyed good start to first full week of Saratoga season, catching the late P4 for a robust $923 as well as the 2 excellent P3’s within the quad ($225 & $166) on the strength of including Lake George heroine Perfect Shirl ($20.60). Only Roy Lerman’s Essex Ferry escaped notice on the the win end Wednesday, as I have trouble betting the retired attorney’s horses (though he can win races). Hope you did well as the consistant beginning to the Spa session continued. $35k carryover a big part of the Thursday action, but the sequence, and much of the card, feels very treacherous…

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Kiser Novice, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences Course (P3, DD, Super)

First hurdle event of the year, and a few known commodities dot the PP’s..

Most Likely: #2 Nationbuilder 4-1: Hodsdon chooses Came Home 6yo..
Next Best: #4 Mabou 3-1: Voss-Ramsey 7yo improved since ’09 try this race..
Exotics Use: #1 Virginia Minstrel 4-1

2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sky Hosoya 9-5:
Next Best: #3 R Bling 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Tensas Punch 7-2

3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 High Stakes Player 3-1: Race two back good enough..
Best Value: #1e Zito entry 10-1: 1a Suba Diver snaps back here..
Next Best: #4 Vision d’Amour 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Justice Harlan 8-1

4th: Lucy Scribner, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, NO SUPERSuper)

Nice overnight. The amount of front-end interested parties makes me fearful of an off the pace threat, and the 2-1 favorite (#2 Devil by Design) appears tactical enough to rate for ‘meaux..

Most Likely: #2 Devil by Design 2-1
Best Value: #1 Decelerator 6-1
Next Best: #5 Perfect for You 8-1

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$35k Carryover starts here..

How much more can you take from Ermine Slippers (3-1) beaten 6X at 6-1 or less?

Most Likely: #2 Dyani 2-1: Saves ground and added distance suits well..
Best Value: #6 Cocktail Hour 12-1: Nice price on Dynaformer that may like trip..
Next Best: #8 Somalia 7-2
Super Add: #7 Deceive 5-1

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5
3: 1-3-4
4: 2
5: 1-2-6-7-8

3x3x1x5 = $45

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Very confusing group of dime claimers, and once again here, your tickets need to consider the frustrating presence of a horse that has moved to Rudy Rod’s barn (#10 D’bigcat)..

Most Likely: #11 Redwood Fever 4-1
Next Best: #10 D’bigcat 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Rotten to the Core 4-1
Super Add: #8 Awesome Preacher 10-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 System Ready 5-1: Commands attention with associated karma moves..
Next Best: #7 Peb Hughes 4-1: Not thrilled with tote on Cherokee Artist half..
Exotics Use: #10 Rise to Glory 12-1
Super Add: #1 Bonaroo 15-1

8th: Quick Call, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Beau Choix 3-1
Next Best: #7 Psychic Income 4-1
Exotics Use: #1 Our Douglas 5-2
Super Add: #4 Alfarabi 8-1

9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Challenging turf event for state bred fillies that appears wide open beyond the top choices..

Most Likely: #9 Chorus Music 6-1
Next Best: #2 Great Gracie Dane 3-1
Best Value: #6 Freud’s Notebook 12-1
Super Add: #4 Wild Awake 6-1

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Best Value: #7 Versailles Road 12-1: MDN win on poly good and grass last similar’ Overlaid..
Next Best: #5 Cherokee Speed 7-2: Hard hitter settles for placements often..
Exotics Use: #1 Devon Rock 3-1
Super Add: #3 Karakorum Legend 5-1

<$200 P6 Play:

Not a sextet that can be easily approached..

5: 2-6-7-8
6: 10-11
7: 4-7
8: 6-7
9: 2-9
10: 1-5-7

4x2x2x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

Like the P6, an exceedingly slippery sequence..

7: 4-7-10
8: 1-4-6-7
9: 2-9
10: 1-5-7

3x4x2x3 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

Good luck!
Steve

Strong start over the first quartet of days at Saratoga ended with the bankroll in very good stead on the strength of a $696 late P4 and big score in the 7th keyed by $25 Best Value 2nd choice Honorable Truth ($243 tri). While I was confident enough to include Honorable Truth in the quad play, I tried to get away with singling runner up Platinum Plus in the P6, and that resulted in getting 5 of 6 ($200 conso for $192 play) on the second carryover in the meet’s opening salvo. As is typical at Saratoga, finding one horse like Honorable Truth or one overlaid multi-horse/multi-race result regularly, is what you need to boost the mutuels in your favor. Sunday, A Smart Judge (27-1) was the right horse to have with 4-5 Cody Samora ($38 exacta), while the $67.75 ($1) Sanford exacta and $150.75 ($1) nightcap triple kept the day’s investments liquid. Saturday, the early P4 ($359) carried the day, while Friday’s opener (Dontstealmyland $48.60; $953 tri) set the tone. The big pools are your friend, and justify your commitment to continuing to fire when things don’t always go your way immediately. It doesn’t take but one well-placed bet to make your day, week or meet at Saratoga…

“Week 2” starts today, the traditional opening day, and a slippery card is at hand to get it going. Hope you did well Monday and over the first four days!

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+. 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Nicely matched group of state bred ALW types that almost all run similar Beyer par; Schosberg sends uncoupled pair as ML faves, but neither are more appealling than some of the price alternatives including Heavenly Blaze that I’ve chased before and want to try to get involved here..

Most Likely: #8 Zosogood 4-1: Draws ideally for classic 7/8’s stalking trip.. WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #7 Fortunate Run 6-1: That Maragh sticks here is encouraging.. 4th
Best Value: #5 Heavenly Blaze 15-1 7th
Super Add: 2 Hittin the Note 5-2 3rd

2nd: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Include the Cat 3-1: Dollase trims price; Style suits Solis.. 2nd
Best Value: #6 Amazing Lauren 6-1: Figures with improvement as first time 3yo.. 3rd
Next Best: #4 Grosse Pointe Anne 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Super Add: #7 E Street 4-1 4th

3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky set considering $12.5k sale price; There are ‘real’ horses here, all 5 or 6yo’s in fact, that have won 41 races between them..

Best Value: #2 Motown Shuffle 12-1: Doesn’t he exit series of tougher races? 6th
Next Best: #4 Shyrock 6-1: Well-spotted since moving to Wally.. 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Aquino 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #6 Not for Money 5-2 3rd

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Hard-pressed to lean on 3-1 On Vacation who couldn’t fend off the notoriously win-shy Key Victory last time or 4-1 Overlap who needs to improve to best several well-priced options; Good betting race..

Best Value: #1 Nacho Corona 5-1: Drops in and saves ground under Leparoux.. 3rd
Next Best: #4 Quick Delivery 4-1 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Cops Fever 12-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Motion Play 5-1 2nd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Bad horses win bad races, and this P4 anchor could be a prime spot for that axiom; Won Token may be the most likely, but she’s not the most reliable..

Best Value: #2 Great Cliff 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Won Token 3-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #1 La Belle Gabrielle 4-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Money Charger 12-1 3rd-DH

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-6
3: 2-4-5
4: 1-4-7-10
5: 2-8

3x3x4x2 = 72

6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5fIT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Nice wagering race with even group of turf maidens..

Most Likely: #8 Fancy Fiona 7-2: Makes rare 2nd/layoff start start; Brings Court.. 4th
Best Value: #10 Much Fanfare 6-1 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #12 Conspicuous 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Charmed 5-1 6th

7th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Yet another of the races on today’s slate that has a chaotic feel, and you know Dunvegan will be overbet by virtue of Rice..

Most Likely: #6 Crowned General 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #1 King Rock 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Flatter Than Me 8-1
Super Add: #10 Coronation Day 5-1 4th

8th: 15th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

With sister race Boiling Springs, one of the best targets for 3yo old fillies to gain black type, and this mind-bending edition has lured soph missies from the hinterlands; Wide, wide open and a nearly impossible event to decipher; No opinion or conceivable scenario should be dismissed..

Best Value: #6 No Explaining 12-1: Forward going & relished stretchout; Gets lost on tote? 3rd
Next Best: #12 Bay to Bay 4-1: Consistent Lynch miss can rally into any pace.. 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Dynazapper 12-1: Doubt price holds; Best of first run options.. 6th
Super Add: #11 Caminadora 12-1: Broke through in last; Got 7 weeks to recoup.. 10th

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 Broken Dreams 6-1 WON
Next Best: #10 Royal Fortune 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Easy Ashley 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Colour the Wind 3-1

$1 Exacta (7-10) Paid $19.10
$1 Trifecta (7-10-1) Paid $93.50

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 8-10-12
7: 1-6
8: 2-5-6-9-11-12
9: 7-10

3x2x6x2 = $72 $1 P4 (10/4,5,6/5/7) Paid $923.50

Busy morning with 9-10a ATR and then Capital OTB-TV 10:30-11:30a, but wanted to be sure everyone enjoyed the weekend. Especially wonderful Sunday with more than 40 Dee Tee partners, family and friends attending Ausable Chasm’s debut. The filly was short and tired to 6th, but had an overall positive through several tough elements including the rail draw and heavy mud flung at her for half mile. She’ll come back August 16 or 22.

Was a nice day from a wagering standpoint Sunday as well with a few good opinions and plays coming through including the $123.50 exacta in the Sanford. I have to apologize for transcribing the 2nd race selections into the P4 incorrectly though, as that botched the modest $90.50 payoff. Third race longshot try A Smart Judge gave a great effort at an overlaid 27-1 as well, though you had to settle for the exacta with the 4-5 Morrison comebacker Cody Samora. Hope you did well! Carryover today of $48k…

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

NOTE: 6th RACE IS OFF THE TURF

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Moon Nistle 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #8 Fiery Rebel 8-1 4th

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Yeah they’re dime claimers, but a fun betting race with a few in here at double digits worth including or working from..

Most Likely: #1 Taza 9-2 7th
Best Value: #4 By the Sky 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Zippy Larry 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 First Flute 12-1 9th

3rd: 29th Evan Shipman, NY-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Good balanced edition of this Empire standard named for the brilliant turf scribe..

Most Likely: #7 Ichabad Crane 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Giant Moon 5-2 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #3 Groomed for Victory 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Mighty Morris 4-1 7th

4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

P6 carryover of $48,600 starts here.. Pretty good group of maidens for $25k..

Best Value: #9 Avenging 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Bird Empire 4-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Mystic Fever 7-2 WON ($9.50)

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky group of quality turf gals with a couple eligible to jump up and win with the right trip..

Best Value: #6 Queen of the Creek 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Most Likely: #1 Diamond Dina 3-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Hot Trip 12-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Consequence 4-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-6
3: 5-7
4: 2-8-9
5: 1-6-9

4x2x3x3 = $72

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Electra’s Ego 3-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Hennessy Light 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bernie’s Pal 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #13 Mahogany Mist 10-1 9th

7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Platinum Plus 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Honorable Truth 8-1 WON ($25.60)
Next Best: #6 Mollyisintheclouds 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Double Dinghy Day 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $45.25
$1 Trifecta (7-3-1) Paid $243.50
$1 Superfecta (7-3-1-6) Paid $886.00

8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Checklist 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #5 Dr. W 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Hamazing Destiny 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Rollers 4-1 7th

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Utterly treacherous nightcap that could derail anyone’s P6 play. Wild card is Ramsey ‘Kitten’ firster that gives mixed signals with Wes Ward not as strong debuting them around two turns, though solid bowing in MCLM company. You get Leparoux and 10-1, and this isn’t exactly the an Ascot field of turfers..

Most Likely: #7 Lamar Valley 7-2 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #11 Pico Dinero 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Brad’s Kitten 10-1 11th
Super Adds: #4 Pagan Ruler 8-1 8th; #10 Maloof Magic 8-1 10th

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-8 (4-9)
5: 1-6
6: 1-8-11
7: 3
8: 4
9: 4-7-9-11

<$200: 4x2x3x1x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192 $2 P6 (4/6/3,4,5,7,8,9/7/4/7) Paid $200.00 (5 OF 6)
<$100: 2x2x3x1x1x4 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-8-11
7: 3-7
8: 4-5-6
9: 4-7-9-11

3x2x3x4 = $72 $1 P4 (3,4,5,7,8,9/7/4/7) Paid $696.50