Chalk dusts Belmont while bomb tips Santa Anita scales
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Racing was as good as anticipated Wednesday, but it didn’t exactly offset the chalkfest at Belmont which was followed by excruciating big odds 2nd place finishes at Oak Tree. The Santa Anita season started out for me with a head bob photo beat of 16-1 Royal F J (Best Value 2nd choice) in the 6th, and a neck loss by 30-1 Best Value top tab Double Dip in the 7th. Brutal… The upside was the $16.40/$8.20 and $21.60/$10.60 PL-SH prices respectively if you bet either ATB. (I hope some of you did, because I needed wins to cash…)
After fave California Flag won the Gr. III Morvich, a bonus mutuel finally got up at Arcadia, and what a bonus mutuel it was: 78-1 Spartan Jet. The $157 winner tripped a $15,700 P4 ($1), $37,600 P6 conso and $47,900 P5 payout, as well as Thursday’s $32,600 Super High 5 and $87k P6 carryovers. Will not get to Santa Anita selections until later today, but I did look at Belmont from early on Thursday. Hope you did well yesterday!
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 Unrivaled Belle 5-1
Most Likely: #7 Uno Peso 4-1
Next Best: #4 Spina 5-1
Super Add: #8 Powder Princess 8-1
3rd: Quick Mischief, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Spritely 7-5
Best Value: #1 Newport Harbour 8-1
Next Best: #6 Sea Chanter 8-5
4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Reading Group 6-1
Most Likely: #1 Quick Money 1-1
Next Best: #5 Rapide One 10-1
5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Stellaluce 5-2
Next Best: #2 Freud’s Notebook 3-1
Best Value: #11 Up Up Away 8-1
Super Add: #6 Lady Apple 12-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 3-4-7-8 ($2) 1-2-5-6 ($1)
3: 4
4: 1-5-7
5: 2-4
$3 Leg A includes: 4x1x3x2 = 24 x $2 = $48
$1 Leg A includes: 4x1x3x2 = $24
Total: $48 + $24 = $72
6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Whirling Thunder 5-2
Best Value: #1 Veritable 8-1
Next Best: #5 Smart Enuf 2-1
Super Add: #2 Cardiff Road 4-1
7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Very tough group to decipher..
Most Likely: #2 Le Royale 3-1
Best Value: #7 Dixie Frolic 12-1
Next Best: #9 Sao Sebah 6-1
Super Add: #10 St. Augustine 15-1
8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)
Love to see the great T. D. Vance back on the field of battle..
Most Likely: #5 Our Friend Harvey 4-1
Best Value: #4 Quietly Mine 5-1
Next Best: #3 T. D. Vance 4-1
9th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)
Best Value: #8 Miss Stilleto 6-1
Most Likely: #10 Vivi’s Book 5-2
Next Best: #4 Cagey Girl 8-1
Super Add: #2 Paraiba 10-1
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-5-8
7: 2-6-7-9-10
8: 5
9: 2-3-4-8-10
3x5x1x5 = $75
OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Sunny Peace 5-2
Best Value: #1 Enlightened Lady 8-1
Next Best: #5 Soldier Betty 4-1
Super Add: #2 Recess 7-2
4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Soupy 7-2
Best Value: #1 Surf Town 4-1
Next Best: #4 Yes It’s a Cat 3-1
Super Add: #8 Nima’s Pad 15-1
5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Hot Summer Breeze 6-5
Best Value: #4 A Clever Ten 8-1
Next Best: #7 Flash Dance 4-1
Super Add: #6 Daniella Roth 8-1
6th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Peacenik 5-2
Next Best: #5 Winter Camp 9-5
Best Value: #2 Towser 20-1
Super Add: #3 At the Front 5-1
7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Exquisite 9-2
Best Value: #1 Percia Fina 8-1
Next Best: #7 April Pride 4-1
Super Add: #8 Bel Air Sizzle 3-1
8th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #9 Annie’s Loaded 7-2
Best Value: #10 Skim Milk 6-1
Next Best: #8 Greek Advantage 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Tribal Fire 9-2
High 5 Play: #11 September Soul 6-1
$200 P6 Play:
3: 1
4: 1-3-4
5: 1-4
6: 1-5
7: 1-5-7-8
8: 9-10
1x3x2x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$200 TicketMaker Multi-Ticket Plays:
1 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $8.00
2 $2.00 pick 6: 1,5 with 4 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $8.00
3 $2.00 pick 6: 1,5 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $16.00
4 $2.00 pick 6: 1,5 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 1,7 with 9 $32.00
5 $2.00 pick 6: 1,5 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 10 $16.00
6 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $4.00
7 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 4 with 1 with 1,5 with 1,7 with 9 $8.00
8 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 4 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 10 $4.00
9 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,5 with 1,7 with 9 $16.00
10 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,5 with 5 with 10 $8.00
11 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 1,7 with 10 $16.00
12 $2.00 pick 6: 2 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $8.00
13 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 5,7,8 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $12.00
14 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 6 with 1,5 with 5 with 9 $8.00
15 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 1 with 2,3 with 5 with 9 $8.00
16 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 8 with 9 $8.00
17 $2.00 pick 6: 3 with 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 5 with 3,6 $16.00
Total: $196.00
<$75 P4 Play:
5: 1-4
6: 1-2-5
7: 1-5-7-8
8: 8-9-10
2x3x4x3 = $72
Good luck!
Steve