Dan gets by tough King Kreesa; Babies take stage
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Defending Horse of the Year Wise Dan put a nice exclamation point on the first half of the Spa stand Saturday with a professional repeat in the Fourstardave over the plucky King Kreesa. While pundits and observers continue to debate the merits or mundaneness of the campaign of Morton Fink’s gelding, the Wiseman’s Ferry 6yo continues to pile up wins. Now 17 for 24, Wise Dan appears overwhelmingly likely to continue on his present course towards a Breeders’ Cup Mile title defense. Charlie Lopresti pushed his personal Saratoga seasonal stakes win mark to 4 years with the win (Wise Dan: 2012-13 Forestardave; Turallure: 2011 Baruch; Here Comes Ben: 2010 Forego) and pushed his ’13 record to 9/2-4-3 in the process.
Nothing special happened at the windows on this 4th Saturday as I continued to tread water looking for a bonus hit. Caught a decent P3 tying the 3rd-5th together after misdiagnosing the short field 2nd, but was then stymied badly mid-card by Metiver’s 3rd win of the meet ($15.20 Even Got Quiet) and B. Brown’s 17-1 Dangerous Lad in the scrambling 8th. Hope everyone did OK. Idyllic Sunday at hand with a pair of 2yo stakes and Dee Tee’s My Pal of Pals getting a Saratoga start in the opener..
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)
Prefer My Pal of Pals at 7f or so, but it’s not available upstate. Should be able to set up shop stalking from cozy slot and have opportunity to contend late if the added ground isn’t too taxing..
Most Likely: #5 Pyro City 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Bold Forest LATE SCR
Best Value: #4 My Pal of Pals 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Bill of Rights 7-2 WON ($5.70)
2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Short-priced Pletcher fave will betough to beat but there are hot-working, ‘win early’ players lurking and all you need to do to envision upset is go back to In Trouble corralling Sound of Freedom Saturday..
Most Likely: #6 Sweet Whiskey 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #8 Radiant 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Tea Time 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Walk of Stars 15-1 7th
3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
SCR of Talent N Passion will change this a bit..
Most Likely: #3 Gritty Gal 9-2 7th
Best Value: #10 Yankeeindixieland 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Pop Pop’s Smyle 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Lenderoflastresort 12-1 6th
4th: MCLM/$65k, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Lieutenant Seany O 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Frogman Mel 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Greek God 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Racetrack Romance 5-1 WON ($12.00)
5th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 She’s Stone’s Sis 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #2 Zekes Surprise 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Motion Lounge 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 My Unbridled Storm 8-1 5th
<$50 P4 Play:
2: 2-5-6-7-8
3: 3-5-10
4: 3-4-8
5: 2-3
5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Fun baby turf route. Think you want to liberally use prices in this open affair inclusing DWL’s Canadian Winner who grappled in the a.m. with Optimizer and held his own..
Most Likely: #1e Ramsey entry 5-2 WON ($4.50)/9th
Best Value: #9 Canadian Winner 15-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Patent 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Elrigh 12-1 6th
7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)
SCR Magnificent Shirl who ran in the Auntie Mame Saturday. Another wide open event where no combination will be outlandish. Several D2T and stretchout players involved and watch for potential AE draw-in of #12 Marataya’s Tune (12-1) which would add more zip to the already solid pace scenario..
Most Likely: #1 Yes It’s Pink 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sense to Compete 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Happy Face 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Teen Pauline 7-2 WON ($8.90)
Super Add: #6 Neith 20-1 5th
8th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Partly Mocha 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #11 Jess Not Jesse 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Ziptronic 5-1 3rd
EXotics Use: #5 Rip Roarin Ritchie 7-2 5th
9th: 97th Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Calhoun filly seems a notch above the rest of her division right now..
Most Likely: #2 Fiftyshadesofgold 7-5 3rd-Elevated from 4th
Next Best: #4 Who’s in Town 4-1 4th-DQ’d from Win
Best Value: #6 Charmed Hour 12-1 DNF-Broke down
Exotics Use: #3 Thank You Marylou 6-1 2nd-Elevated from 3rd
10th: 108th Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (DD)
Well-matched baby boys, but fact that Candy Dandy topped next out winners Dunkin Bend and Best Case Scenario tips scales. None of these would be a surprise..
Most Likely: #3 Candy Dandy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Lunarwarfare 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Twang 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Wired Bryan 7-2 2nd
11th:NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT
Best Value: #1a Celesta 5-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Atlantic’s Smile 4-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #3 Jennys Creek 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Sheedbdawon 3-1 4th
<$50 P4 Play:
8: 6-5-10-11
9: 2
10: 1-3-4-5-7
11: 1-3-6-9-10
4x1x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50