Slick strip produces $53k Spa C/O
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Weather dampened the action at Saratoga Thursday as a tight, sealed strip made the lane largely a no passing zone. The grass events were impacted less by the rain and I might have been smart to shut it down after good results in the hurdle events. Mr. Hot Stuff, known in his flat career as Colonel John’s unsuccessful full brother, crowned his ascension as a chaser for Jack Fisher and Mrs. Johnston with a professional victory in the NSA-G1 Smithwick under Paddy Young. As handsome and correct a horse as anyone will ever see, Mr. Hot Stuff is the latest example of the concept of a ‘job for every horse’.
Other highlights on the afternoon included venerable Saginaw repeating in the Morrissey as Joel Rosario and Saratoga Snacks were enduring a hellish trip pinned down inside. Run a Risk paid $18.40 in a heady ALW, but might have been DQ’d had the stewards bothered to review the break from the gate. When $17.60 Attractive Ride and $19.20 Dixie Sparkle wired their respective fields in the 9th and 10th, a carryover ($53k) was assured. Hope everyone did OK. Del Mar has their own $101k C/O later this evening..
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)
Tremendous wagering opportunity with ML choices only inches better than host of pricey types..
Best Value: #6 Chilton 6-1
Next Best: #9 Eriugena 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Frisky Cat 10-1
Super Add: #1 Call Up the Chief 15-1
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)
C. Brown/Klaravich 2-1 fave Groupthink undoubtedly horse to beat, but Sol the Freud a full to lovely MSW Franny Freud and pilot reach and worktab say ‘go’..
Best Value: #5 Sol the Freud 5-1
Next Best: #3 Groupthink 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Blue Collar Cat 7-2
Super Add: #2 Tapidor 5-2
3rd: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)
There is nothing imposing about 5-2 favorite Bit Bustin. 12-1 Madame Prosecutor and 5-1 Bird House should get advantageous set up if track is fair to those trying to come from off the pace..
Most Likely: #1 Bird House 5-1
Best Value: #3 Madame Prosecutor 12-1
Next Best: #5 Fiftyfour Forever 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Notesfromabroad 5-1
4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
$53k C/O starts here..
Turf sprint a very tricky start to carryover sequence with at least 6 of the 10 (1-2-3-5-6-10) looking eligible for laurels. Pace seems certain to be authentic if not downright hot..
Most Likely: #6 Stock Fund 4-1
Best Value: #5 Courageous Karen 6-1
Next Best: #1 Pie’s First Lady 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Bileaps and Bounds 20-1
5th: MCLM/$60k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)
Treacherous feeling pricey MCLM. If left alone too long, Saturday Nthe Park can wire..
Best Value: #2 Glenwood Pines 5-1
Next Best: #3 Sapphire Blue 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Giant’s Jewel 4-1
Super Add: #8 Saturday Nthe Park 3-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 3-5
3: 1-3-5
4: 1-5-6
5: 2-3-4-6-8
2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
6th: 2nd Caress, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Queen Chatanika 20-1
Next Best: #4 Spun Cap 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Double the Energy 6-1
Super Add: #1 Madame Giry 9-2
7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Take Down Two 3-1
Next Best: #4 Italian Rules 2-1
Best Value: #2 Island Sunset 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 P J’s Magical Wink 7-2
8th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)
Most Likely: #5 Presumptive 3-1
Next Best: #1a Major Marvel 7-5
Exotics Use: #2 Screenplay 7-2
Super Add: #6 Scotus 6-1
9th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 5.5f-T
Most Likely: #4 Force Multiplier 8-5
Best Value: #2 Make a Dream 10-1
Next Best: #3 Dapper Draper 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Freight 6-1
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 1-5-6
5: 2-3-6-8
6: 4-5-7
7: 1
8: 1-5
9: 4
3x4x3x1x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-2-4-5-6-7
7: 1-2-4-6
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 4
6x4x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
Good luck!
Steve