Back to the mines! Good Downs action Thursday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)
Miss Clark County feels as likely as the three obvious faves. Needs to work out a trip but Albarado is OK for that from outside. Storm of Energy (20-1) could get a sweet suck-along trip inside and juice up exotics. Include underneath at the least..
Best Value: #10 Miss Clark County 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Always Kitten 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Virtual Image 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 I’m Already Sexy 7-2 WON ($12.00)
7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Stray Dog 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Stormin Bud 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Captain My Captain 6-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Ghost is Clear 3-1 3rd
8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)
As a big Proud Spell fan, excited to see her first foal run here as Mott sends $500k #1 Indian Spell (5-1) for Ben Leon. Mott not famous for ‘first out’ wins, but he’s had 3 in the last 60 days (10-1; 11-1; 2-1), with ALL coming out at 6.5-7f. Proud Spell herself won at first asking (5f) and this daughter being by Indian Charlie (17% FTS winners) doesn’t diminish the interest/appeal. Has to get by clear choice in Flashy Gray. Tri/Super tickets need to include #11 Lil Red Cozette (10-1) 3rd at the bottom for mutuel boost..
Most Likely: #10 Flashy Gray 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #1 Indian Spell 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Beautiful Miss 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Princess Mariah 6-1 2nd
9th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)
Tough, tricky group..
Most Likely: #5 Globe Trot 5-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Millenia 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #9 Charming She Is 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Soft Whisper 10-1 6th
10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #2 Merv 5-1 9th
Best Value: #5 Myles 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Fort Boonesborough 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Restitution 4-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #12 Cactus Cognac 12th
<$75 P5 Play:
6: 4-6-7-10
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 10
9: 2-5-8-9
10: 2-5
4x4x1x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
@$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-2-4-7-9
8: 1-10
9: 2-5-8-9
10: 1-2-5-9
5x2x4x4 = 160 x .50 = $80