Breeders’ Cup for NY breds! 14 in KEE’s Raven Run

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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BELMONT PARK
 
POST-SCRATCHES
 
1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-D, 6f (P3, DD)

Kenneally can win with a firster and introduces Graceful Meghan, a full sister to 2010 Ballerina (G1) winner Rightly So..

Best Value: #9 Graceful Meghan 4-1
Next Best: #7 Nonnie Connie 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Shake Senora 8-1
Super Add: #8 Miss Rubycubes 10-1

<$25 DD: 9 with 4-6-7 (1×3 x $6 = $18); 9 with 1-3-9 (1×3 x $2 = $6)

2nd: 33rd Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Interesting start to the Showcase action with all but 2-5-8 looking capable on best. Make sure to appreciate the difference between success sprinting 7f v. success at 6f..

Most Likely: #7 Risky Rachel 5-2
Next Best: #6 Beautiful But Blue 7-2
Best Value: #4 Miss Valentine 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Agave Kiss 2-1

3rd: MSW-NY, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Prime Devil 3-1
Next Best: #8 U Whippersnapper 10-1
Exotics Use: #5 Readtheprospectus 5-1
Super Add: #12 Post Pattern 5-1

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

This turned kind of ugly with the move to the main..

Most Likely:#2 A Prettydixie
Next Best: #3 Group Therapy
Exotics Use: #5 Isn’tshewonderful
Super Add: #9 Jersusalem Stone

5th: 34th Bongard-NY, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Tough to argue against Serpe and Weekend Hideaway who exit middling G2 Futurity try..

Most Likely: #4 Weekend Hideaway 5-2
Next Best: #2 In Harm’s Way 4-1
Best Value: #11 Tequila Hero 15-1
Exotics Use: #12 Meet the Mets 8-1

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 4-6-7
3: 2-5-8
4: 2-3-5-9
5: 2-4-11-12

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: 35th Hudson-NY, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Saginaw 4-5
Best Value: #7 Neatie the Cat 15-1
Next Best: #4 Mine Over Matter 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Shrewd One 3-1

7th: 32nd Ticonderoga-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Hessonite 4-5
Best Value: #11 Considerate 30-1
Next Best: #12 Prize Doll 12-1
Exotics Use: #5 Kibosh 10-1

.10 SUPER: 1 with 5-11-12 with 2-5-8-10-11-12 with 2-5-6-7-8-10-11-12 (1x3x5x6 = 90 x .10 = $9.00)

8th: 19th Gimma-NY, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Kelli Got Frosty 6-1
Next Best: #2 Agilion 4-1
Exotics Use: #9 Heidi’s Holiday 6-1
Super Add: #5 Carameaway 5-1

9th: 36th Empire Classic-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)

Not making any bones about rooting interest for Saratoga Snacks here, but Lunar Victory has been close to perfect since coming stateside. Gets outside draw for stalking trip and will take some beating. Snacks dismantled a quality open company ALW field last month stretching to mile and finishes races like the next 220 yards will be OK with him. Needs to make up about 3 lengths on Lunar Victory; gets about half that in weight so must take another forward step to win. Sailmate (6-1) and Fiddlers Afleet are the interesting prices to use along with the top pair..

Most Likely: #8 Lunar Victory 8-5
Next Best: #6 Saratoga Snacks 9-5
Best Value: #1a (POE) Fiddlers Afleet 5-1
Exotics Use: #3 Sailmate 6-1

10th: 32nd Mohawk-NY, 3+, 8.5f-T

Compliance Officer will come out with an ankle injury. Minnie Punt’s owners told Andy Serling in Friday chat that they were coming out as well due to the soft turf..

Most Likely: #5 Lubash 3-1
Best Value: #4 Street Game 5-1
Next Best: #1 Strong Impact 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Unbridled Command 4-1

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1
8: 2-5-6-9-10
9: 6-8 (1-3)
10: 5 (4)

1x5x2x1 = 10 x $2 = $20
1x5x4x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Wide open scramble to start the P4..

Most Likely: #10 O T B Bob 9-2
Best Value: #4 Hey Leroy 20-1
Next Best: #6 Forward Thinker 4-1
Exotics Use: #11 Saylor’s Creek 6-1

8th: ALW/M2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Kiss in the Forest 5-2
Best Value: #7 Sympathy Act 10-1
Next Best: #3 Cat Lore 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Standing By 5-1

9th: 14th Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

Outrageous 14 horse lineup with some legit logicals and fun prices to mix and match..

Most Likely: #10 Via Villagio 4-1
Best Value: #3 La Tia 8-1
Next Best: #11 Gypsy Robin 3-1
Exotics Use: #14 Sacristy 8-1
Super Add: #5 Yankee Union 30-1

10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Eddie Set Go 8-1
Next Best: #12 Codoy 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Proud Warrior 5-1
Super Add: #9 Kid Galahad 9-2

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-9-10-11
8: 7-9
9: 3-5-10-11-14
10: 7-8-12

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75

Good luck!
Steve

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