1sters upend at GP, uplift at SA; Good Aqueduct Friday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Missed Chad Brown firster in GP 8th Thursday which cost the solid $500 P4. As good as Brown is, debuting horses over a mile (2/27) and in Maiden Claimers (0/12) looked like areas to avoid, but Thunderous Lady was a mile the best. Santa Anita was as tough as anticipated, but I did manage to get out pretty whole on the day when 6-1 ML debuter Love That Action floated to a hefty 18-1 and ran down the Baffert favorite in the shadow of the wire. Once again, Andy Harrington’s National Turf workout reports showed their value by pointing out that Love That Action was showing real zip in the morning and looked to be a fit with the Cal-bred MSW set. Here were the comments.
LOVE THAT ACTION: Mar 3 HOL 5f/1:00.3H (B-): Best in a set for Mitchell galloping late while in blinkers going 25.1, 49.2, 101.1 out in 114.3. Built to have some speed.
LOVE THAT ACTION: Feb 27 HOL 4f/:48.4H (B-): Some speed here in 23.3 then basically galloped out in 48.3. Seems to have some early lick.
I wasn’t aware at first pass at the PP’s, but by mentioning that Love That Action worked with a Mitchell set, Harrington helped clue me to discover that co-owner and listed trainer Phil D’Amato is Mike Mitchell’s assistant; a fact that built confidence that the first time starter was at least worth including. When he got lost on the board, he became a good play. At $9.95 a card, National Turf is a tremendous companion to your work on the SA-HOL-DMR circuit. Hope you did OK yesterday! Aqueduct has another good Friday card ahead of the huge Saturday of action across the country..
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Caught by You 8-5 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #6 City Scamper 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Karakorum Magic 3-1 6th (Pulled up/Eased/Something odd)
Exotics Use: #3 She’s Always Hot 5-1 3rd
5th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Ruffino 3-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #1 Diamond District 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 With a Cape 12-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Quietism 6-1 4th
6th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Top choices look best but I think we should tinker with bonus number (15-1) on #5 Cat Man Fu who could run his best while returning to appropriate company and getting a rider upgrade..
Most Likely: #2 Ali’s Winner 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Cat Man Fu 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Stage Debut 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Parachute Coney 3-1 3rd
7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Tough to get creative with the three faves looking clearly best..
Most Likely: #3 Mill Branch Millie 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Supsa 7-2 DQ’d to 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Lunchwithgodzilla 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Shea Goodbye 5-1 4th
8th: S-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Judicial Leader 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Bid a Moon 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Natalie Victoria 2-1 WON ($4.30)
Super Add: #4 Speedy’s Gal 15-1 6th
9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)
Most Likely: #10 System Restore 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Power King 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Brunelli 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Khan of Khans 4-1 WON ($6.00)
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 2-3-5-7
7: 3-6-7
8: 1-2-6
9: 3-7-9-10
4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72