BEL, SA C/O’s add frenzy to day as KEE opens

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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Took a sound beating at Belmont Thursday as poor decisions and jump up winners quashed virtually every attempt. The day’s key price ideas — Roses for the Star, Eternal Ruler and Scootles — all ran decent races, but invariably fell short or were overhauled to finish 3rd, 3rd and 2nd respectively. P6 carried for another day to reach $103k, but opening card at Keeneland draws my primary attention. As if alluring scenarios at New York and Kentucky weren’t enough, Santa Anita carried Thursday, and that we can score some on the challenging Keeneland opening slate to go into the big holiday weekend on the uptick!

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Mimi’s Special Six 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Mutually Benefit 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Niji’s Grand Girl 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Lily Again 4-1 6th

4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ratoath Special 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Nina Fever 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Golden Phoenix 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Second Street City 5-2 WON ($8.80)

5th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Very big SCR here with #3 Bet to Win opting out..

Best Value: #2 Ready to Unleash 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Banded 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Fan Out 3-1 3rd

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (.50 P5, P3, DD, Super)

Nice cast for this including return of Animal Kingdom half bro Thursby and maddening Saratoga disappointment Seve..

Best Value: #4 Golden Ticket 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Optionality 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Seven Lively Sins 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #9 Seve 8-1 4th

7th: ALW/C, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Moryba 6-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #8 Yankee Fortune 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Cherokee Artist 6-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Timbucto 30-1 7th

8th: 159th Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Aikenite 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Cool Bullet 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Flashpoint 8-5 4th
Super Add: #4 Hoofit 15-1 WON ($25.60)

9th: 60th Alcibiades (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Eye-crossing assembly of baby girls with Biofuel sister Tu Endie Wei coming in as well-heralded filly to beat. Note Bernadini daughter Venetian Sonata is a full sister of emerging Indy Derby winner Wilburn, and Arnold trainee New Wave is a half to General Quarters..

Most Likely: #4 Tu Endie Wei 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Stephanie’s Kitten 12-1 WON ($21.60)
Next Best: #6 Egg Drop 8-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Puttthebabiesdown 12-1 3rd

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Pleasant Run 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 David D 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Sour 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Why Pretend 20-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Gutsy Call 5-1 WON ($12.40)

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 4-5
7: 4-8
8: 1-6-7
9: 4-7
10: 1-2-6-7-12

2x2x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-8
8: 1-6-7
9: 1-4-6-7
10: 1-2-6-7-12

2x3x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60

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