Brass begets gold; $19k C/O for NY Showcase Saturday

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Laid off action Friday on the heels of an exciting Thursday anchored by road map to mega-score in Brass Hat’s Sycamore. Buff Bradley had presaged the 9yo’s effort on Wednesday’s ATR, and the only other horse that figured from my viewpoint was Attfield’s Musketier. Those two, coupled with value inclusions Southern Anthem (Insane 50-1 ML; 54-1 at post) and Tajaweed (20-1 ML; 8-1 PT), lit the exotics tote for a $233 exacta, $800 tri and $6,912 super (all $1). Earlier at Belmont, the 4th kicked the day off in another of those delightful state bred ALW turf routes with a $350 trifecta bingo made possible by tossing the favorites. Caught an nice exacta in the nightcap and the late P4 for a slight $95. Hope you did well Thursday and are looking forward to NY bred Showcase Day at Belmont which usually produces some overlay returns. Heading to Belmont now and towards Kentucky after the races. ATR begins ‘Live from Churchill’ coverage Monday at 9am! Enjoy the weekend..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

What is supposed to be so great about City Train? At 2-1? State-bred turf route? What do we team? Look elsewhere!

Most Likely: #7 Fortissi More 8-1
Best Value: #6 Mr. Hooker 15-1
Next Best: #9 Thunder Chief 6-1
Super Add: #4 John Wyatt 9-2

2nd: 33rd Hudson-NY, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Endless Circle 2-1
Next Best: #3 Driven by Success 9-5
Best Value: #8 Be Bullish 6-1
Super Add: #5 General Maximus 4-1

3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Stray Bullet 4-1
Next Best: #1 (POE) Life’s Measure 5-2
Exotics Use: #13 Soinlovewithuiam 2-1
Best Value: #6 Risk a Chance 10-1

4th: 17th Maid of the Mist-NY, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Having a state bred affords taking shots in races like this, so Dee Tee will try again with Ausable Chasm today in event won by a daughter of her second dam (Beautiful America). Leparoux never gave the filly a chance to settle in the Touching Beauty, and I’m hopeful that Castro will suit her and sit a relaxed stalking trip tucked behind the early runners (1, 7, 10). A board hit is the goal..

Most Likely: #1 Sentimental Lass 5-2
Next Best: #6 Upper East Sider 6-1
Best Value: #5 Ausable Chasm 30-1
Super Add: #3 Readygetsgold 20-1

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Raffie’s Choice 20-1
Next Best: #2 Alarmist 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Check the Cities 3-1
Super Add: #12 Adirondack Summer 6-1

<$75 P4 Play::

2: 3-7
3: 1-5-13
4: 1-5-6-8
5: 1-2-3

2x3x4x3 = $72

6th: 32nd Mohawk-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Straight Story 7-5
Best Value: #4 Pocket Cowboys 5-1
Next Best: #1e Ownership entry 2-1
Super Add: #5 Johannesburg Smile 15-1

7th: 17th Sleepy Hollow-NY, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

If Bandbox is as good in his home state as he was in West Virginia, he’ll be tough to beat. But there are some forward-looking players here..

Most Likely: #6 Bandbox 3-1
Best Value: #1 Crea’s Law 12-1
Next Best: #9 Hysterical Cat 6-1
Super Add: #4 Luxury Appeal 5-1

8th: 32nd Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 R Betty Graybull 8-1
Next Best: #6 Sapphire Sky 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Meese Rocks 9-2
Super Add: #11 Lovely Lil 5-1

9th:35th Empire Classic-NY, 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

What a terrific race..

Most Likely: #2 (POE) Friend or Foe 3-1
Next Best: #7 Stormy’s Majesty 4-1
Best Value: #8 Giant Moon 6-1
Super Add: #5 Ichabad Crane 8-1

10th: 30th Ticonderoga-NY, F&M-9f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #8 Paraiba 12-1
Next Best: #2 Chestoria 7-2
Exotics Use: #1 You Go West Girl 3-1
Super Add: #11 Chorus Music 8-1

<$100 P6 Play::

5: 1-2-3-12
6: 3
7: 1-6
8: 6-8
9: 2
10: 1-2-8

4x1x2x2x1x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play::

7: 1-6
8: 6-8-10-11
9: 2-7-8
10: 1-2-8

2x4x3x3 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

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