UPDATED: World Cup, FL Derby anchor big day..
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |Don’t typically play this card but admit to having interest after following it on “At the Races” throughout the Carnival…
NAD AL SHEBA
2nd: Godolphin Mile, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #13 Gayego 7-2
Best Value: #15 Dijeer 20-1
Next Best: #6 Kalahari Gold 8-1
Exotics Use: #10 Art of War 10-1
3rd: UAE Derby, 3 & 4yo, 9f (P3 Super)
Most Likely: #5 Desert Party 1-1
Best Value: #3 Lelah Dorak 15-1
Next Best: #11 Soy Libriano 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Balcarce Nov 20-1
4th: Golden Shaheen, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #12 Indian Blesing 3-1
Next Best: #7 Marchand d’Or 9-2
Best Value: #8 Balthazaar’s Gift 20-1
Exotics Use: #9 Machismo 12-1
5th: Duty Free, 3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Archipenko 4-1
Next Best: #13 Paco Boy 7-2
Best Value: #8 Balius 8-1
Exotics Use: #15 Jay Peg 20-1
6th: Sheema Classic, 4+, 12f-T (Super)
Most Likely: #13 Doctor Dino 7-2
Best Value: #14 Kirklees 12-1
Next Best: #7 Purple Moon 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 King of Rome 8-1
7th: World Cup, 4+, 10f (Super)
Most Likely: #4 Asiatic Boy 5-2
Best Value: #8 Casino Drive 8-1
Next Best: #3 Snaafy 12-1
Exotics Use: #6 Gloria de Campeao 30-1
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3,DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Mighty Score 2-1
Next Best: #6 Just Ben 4-1
Best Value: #3 Lean Machine 6-1
Super Add: #8 Bear Onamission 5-1
2nd: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Santana Six 8-5
Best Value: #2 Endymion 6-1
Next Best: #1 Stomp 5-2
Super Add: #5 Jet Set Vinny 10-1
3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Senor Leche 4-1
Best Value: #6 Tre Alpha 6-1
Next Best: #4 Nos Man 3-1
Super Add: #2 Behind the Pew 6-1
4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Soul Spirit 3-1
Best Value: #9 Find the Wire 15-1
Next Best: #3 Aqab 6-1
Super Add: #8 Paisano Creek 12-1
5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Nicanor 9-5
Best Value: #4 In My Prayers 10-1
Next Best: #8 Juliano 4-1
Super Add: #5 Glitterman’s Cartel 6-1
6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #8 Justenuffhumor 10-1
Most Likely: #10 Big Al 4-1
Next Best: #12 Bold Abbott 6-1
Super Add: #5 Motion Play 8-1
7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Groomedforvictory 4-1
Best Value: #5 Admirality 8-1
Next Best: #11 Motovato 10-1
Super Add: #9 Vitruvius 8-1
8th: OCN2X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #5 Tastefully Smart 10-1
Most Likely: #7 Blues Street 8-1
Next Best: #11 Radical Sabbatical 6-1
Super Add: #6 Dragon Fi 12-1
<$75 P4 Play:
5: 3-4
6: 5-8-10
7: 1-5-9-11
8: 5-6-7-8-11
2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
9th: Swale (Gr. II), 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 This Ones for Phil 3-1
Next Best: #5 Brave Victory 4-1
Best Value: #4 Custom for Carlos 4-1
Super Add: #6 Big Drama 2-1
10th: 58th Florida Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Qualty Road 2-1
Best Value: #6 Theregoesjojo 5-1
Next Best: #4 Dunkirk 9-5
Super Add: #1 Toby the Coal Man 10-1
11th: 56th Appleton (Gr. III), 4+, 7.5f-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Vanquisher 4-1
Next Best: #10 Pickapocket 8-1
Best Value: #3 Kiss the Kid 3-1
Super Add: #5 Bold Start 8-1
12th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Super)
Most Likely: #1 Audeamus 5-2
Next Best: #5 Street Talk’n Man 5-1
Best Value: #3 Jacoby’s Run 4-1
Super Add: #2 Courageous Cat 6-1
<$100 P4 Play:
9: 1-4-5
10: 2-4-6
11: 2-3-5-11
12: 1-2-3-5-9
3x3x4x5 = 190 x .50 = $90
MAGNA 5
Mandatory pay for last of the season..
PRE-SCRATCHES
A.) LRL 9th: Johnson Mem. H., 3+, 9f
Will likely be some scratches out of this, so check for changes:
http://www.magna5.com/scratches.aspx
#6 & #9 Scratched as of 12n; Track sloppy right now..
Best Value: #3 Ryan’s for Real 12-1
Most Likely: #8 Bullsbay 3-1
Next Best: #7 Crimson Comic 8-1
Exotics Use: #4 P V Lightening 6-1
B.) SA 4th: San Miguel, 3yo, 6f
Most Likely: #6 Charlie’s Moment 5-2
Next Best: #4 Gotmymojoworkin 7-2
Best Value: #5 Reynaldothewizard 5-1
Super Add: #3 Turk 3-1
C.) GP 9th: Swale (Gr. III), 3yo, 7f
Most Likely: #1 This Ones for Phil 3-1
Next Best: #5 Brave Victory 4-1
Best Value: #4 Custom for Carlos 4-1
Super Add: #6 Big Drama 2-1
D.) SA 5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f
Most Likely: #6 Hard Kisses 3-1
Next Best: #3 Shiksa 7-2
Best Value: #2 Ultra Awesome 5-1
Super Add: #5 Crystal Empire R N 12-1
E.) GP 10th: Florida Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f
Most Likely: #2 Qualty Road 2-1
Best Value: #6 Theregoesjojo 5-1
Next Best: #4 Dunkirk 9-5
Super Add: #1 Toby the Coal Man 10-
<$75/<$150/<$300 Magna 5 Plays:
A: 3-7-8
B: 4-6 (3-5)
C: 1-5
D: 3-6 (2-5)
E: 2-4-6
3x2x2x2x3 = $72
3x2x2x4x3 = $144
3x4x2x4x3 = $288
Good luck!
Steve