MTH opens anticipated meet; Stakes spike BEL, AP P4’s
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Challenging but fun day Friday at Belmont, and came away with 4 of 6 in the Belmont double carryover as Pletcher 6th race MSW winner the horse that was hardest to find. Hunter’s Bay was dreadful in his debut but miraculous Friday jumping to an 89 BSF on the stretchout and squashed the P4 play while scuttling the sextet. The good news in getting beat in the quad opener was a bargain P3 play for the 7th-9th returned a nice $120 which defrayed the day’s expenses thanks to $22 Mesa Fresca in the 7th. Hope you did well.
Monmouth season starts today with meet that will be heavily scrutinized. The .50 P5 is a terrific play as I’ve discussed on ATR, and well worth tracking. Arlington stakes are good inside that P4 today, and Belmont guaranteed quad is highlighted by the good Sheepshead Bay with yesterday’s surprise visitor Tommy Proctor featured prominently.
Should be a great day of racing!
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Perserverance 9-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Tuscana 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Sneakin Up 10-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Chernobyl Princess 12-1 3rd
8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #5 Nobody Like Mike 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Fit 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Burnished Copper 4-1 11th
Super Add: #10 Cardiff Road 8-1 6th
9th: 52nd Sheepshead Bay (G2), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (DD, Super)
Best Value: #4 Ballynoe 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Nehantic Kat 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Pari 10-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Bubbly Jane 4-1 3rd
10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (Super)
Best Value: #7 Lubash 12-1 WON ($35.40)
Next Best: #2e Rice entry 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Fortissi More 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 E. P. Bombay 7-2 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 7-8-9
8: 5-8
9: 1-4-5-6
10: 2-7-9
3x2x4x3 = $72
MONMOUTH PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: Decathlon, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 Congressional Page 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 Go Go Shoot 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lit’sgoodlookinggray 5-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Mr. Fantasy 3-1 2nd
6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (.50 P5, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Reptillian Smarts 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Lonely Highway 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Catch Rikki 6-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Stungbythestorm 4-1 5th
7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #10 Morning Line 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sea of Liquidity 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Jadal 3-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Winaholic 6-1 WON ($12.20)
8th: NJ-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #11 Ming Dynasty 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Ain’tsuperstitious 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 P J’s Back 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Back Pocket Money 8-1 4th
9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Luckiest Man 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Fore Pals 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Ketan 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Solvent 6-1 4th
10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Polished ran 3rd at BEL Wednesday, but it’s Dutrow who isn’t scared of running back like this.. Has indeed scratched..
Most Likely: #2 No Shenanigans 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 African Diamond 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #10 Themanmythnlegend 20-1 8th
<$50 .50 P5 Play:
6: 1
7: 4-8-10-11
8: 2-7-8-11
9: 5-6-8
10: 2-9
1x4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
ARLINGTON PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Maneke 5-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Live from Appollo 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Trying Brian 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Hapman 15-1 4th
9th: 3rd American 1000 Guineas, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Bay to Bay 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Go Ask Alex 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Queen of the Creek 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Chantilly Nayla 4-1 5th
10th: 76th Arlington Classic, 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)
Workin for Hops is a highly likely winner here, with the entire rest of the field a wide open grab bag. Key the Stidham runner with the best prices you can find, as anybody can be 2nd-3rd-4th here..
Most Likely: #3 WORKIN FOR HOPS 5-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Gleam of Hope 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 SCR
Super Add: #1 Mister Mardi Gras 10-1 4th
11th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)
Best Value: #1 First of February 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Banker’s Choice 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Rose Princess 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Blue Smoke Bess 9-2 2nd
High 5 Play: #10 My Cousin Pepe 10-1 8th
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1-2-3
9: 4-5-6-7-8
10: 3
11: 1-3-4-5-10
3x5x1x5 = $75