Mag 5 axed, but SA aced with P4 hit, P6 conso
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
CAN’T GET CLOSER: When Jamie Theriot and Dubai Majesty arrived a jump too late to beat Quisiana in the Sunshine Millions F&M Sprint, which doubled as the opening leg of Santa Anita’s carryover, I wasn’t thinking too much about getting knocked out of the P6. I immediately thought about the lucky ATR listeners that took Brad Free’s advice from Friday’s Preview Show, because the sharp DRF Cali correspondent gave us all the cold $63.60 exacta. It was only as my P4/P6 single of High Tide Rising in the 11th burst to the lead, that I began lamenting not taking Free’s advice (for the $16k P6 payout) or Theriot launching Dubai Majesty earlier (likely $10-12k payout?). Did get two $175 5 of 6 consos, and the $472 P4 was quite nice, but nothing can console you from coming so close to a P6 hit. Overall, it was a very fun and consistent afternoon of horseplay, with Quisiana the only runner missing from inclusion somewhere in the tabs of the day’s 11 races. Hope you did well!
WEATHER KO’S MAGNA 5 BUT SUNMILL DELIVERS: One of the day’s disappointments was the cancellation of the Magna 5 due to Laurel scuttling their Saturday card, but the Sunshine Millions action more than made up for its’ absence. As it turned out, the modest $48 play I had in mind wouldn’t have come close to getting the job done due to Quisiana in what would have been Leg C and Jet Propulsion wiring the SunMill Turf (Leg D). Jet Propulsion was my third choice in the 9f grass nightcap because like stablemate Jessica is Back, I wasn’t convinced he wanted to go a full mile and an eighth. But the Wolfson runner jogged around the oval on an uncontested lead, and quashed my P4 play which sought Soldier’s Dancer or Bad Action who both barely registered efforts. The quad returned just $119 ($1) for the sequence that included the most exciting stretch duel at Gulfstream since Read the Footnotes and Second of June in the 2004 Fountain of Youth. Paul Pompa’s This Ones for Phil stalked Pachito the Che for the first half of the SunMill Sprint before engaging the Scott Lake speedball at the top of the stretch. The pair were inseparable for the next 300 yards and needed photography to decide who hit the line first. Both etched 108 Beyers. And as great as their duel was, minutes before their battle, Bret Calhoun’s Bubbler and Rick Scherer’s Never Retreat engaged in a similar corker in the Krantz Memorial at the Fair Grounds. Much of the day’s excitement was defined by the delightful finish of the SunMill Classic where Bill Morey’s 7yo Bold Chieftan edged Roger Attfield’s 8yo Palladio. Palladio went over $1,000,000 with his $100,000 share of the $500,000 purse. Say what you will about the hokey Florida v. California restricted annual event, but it regularly provides great betting action and thrilling races. A race that gets two venerable performers like Bold Chieftan (now 34/15-6-4, $1,431,411) and Palladio (now 36/9-2-5, $1,060,812) into an exacta, is OK by any standard.
FORWARD GAL AND SANTA MONICA KEY GP/SA ACTION: Tremendous card at Gulfstream today which includes outstanding G2 soph filly Forward Gal and an important 9f ALW for the boys (6th) as well. 11 F&M’s tangle at Santa Anita in the first G1 of the year there. Bob Baffert sends a pair in that Santa Monica as Acorn winner Gabby’s Golden Gal tries to recapture her best 2009 form and emerging Smarty Jones daughter Gilded Gem hits the big time off MDN and ALW scores in her only career starts. Baffert also has 2 in the ALW preceeding the feature, where 5-2 Underground and 5-1 Toro Bonito figure prominantly. Thoughts on the late 5 at Hallandale and late 4 at Arcadia are below.
BEYER LAMENTS MARYLAND ACCEPTANCE OF ZIADIE: When Andy Beyer writes about anything other than straightforward handicapping issues, it’s usually regarding specific situations where suspected ‘edge-taking’ is going on by trainers. It’s an issue Beyer has talked about on “At the Races” many times, the most recent being last winter’s on-air and in print tete-a-tetes with Marty Wolfson. Beyer, whose knowledge of, passion for and contributions to the game enables him to speak with complete authority, wrote Saturday with frustration and sadness to the Maryland Jockey Club’s decision to allow Kirk Ziadie stalls at Laurel. Calder, and with it Florida racing, had successfully expunged Ziadie from within its’ midst, and Beyer is rightfully stunned that MJC management let the highly suspect trainer onto its’ backstretch.
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)
Potentially important soph ALW that likely produces 2-3 Fountain of Youth starters next month.. SCR #4 Pulsion 3-1
Most Likely: #3 Drosselmeyer 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Best Actor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Guys Reward 4-1 6th
7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Impossible exotics scenario beneath Roman’s 3-1 ML favorite #10 Auston’s Sure Cure who merits edge. Virtually entire field could merit inclusion underneath choice.. SCR #7 Midnite Silver 4-1
Most Likely: #10 Auston’s Sure Cure 3-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Cozy Lion 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Nineinthenine 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Unaccountable 10-1 WON
8th: ALW/N1X,
SCR #10 Cowgirl Mally 5-2
Best Value: #2 No Deposit 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #4 Donna Getyourgun 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Jersey Shore Girl 6-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Proud Trippi 8-1 5th
9th: 30th Forward Gal (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)
SCR #8 Carphonic & #1 Touching Beauty
Most Likely: #7 Ailalea 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Cascading 10-1 10th
Next Best: #6 She Be Wild 3-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Romantic Hideaway 12-1 4th
10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (Super)
Best Value: #1 Musca 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #9 Sobhy 5-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Clean Shot 6-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Live On the Edge 8-1 6th
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 3-10
8: 1-2-4
9: 2-5-6-7-9-11-12-13
10: 1-9
2x3x8x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
SANTA ANITA
PRE-SCRATCHES
6th: CLM, 4+, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Uffizi 5-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Cavanal 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Yodelen Dan 7-5 WON
7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Manhattan Beach 3-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Barbara’s Love 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Underground 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Stevie’s Afleet 6-1 5th
8th: 53rd Santa Monica (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)
SCR #8 Tuscan Evening out of this excellent running of the 1st Gr. I of 2010 at Santa Anita..
Bestr Value: #10 Sweet August Moon 12-1 11th
Most Likely: #7 Proviso 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Evita Argentina 3-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Gilded Gem 12-1 5th
9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #3 Melbisha 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Utaron 5-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Ida of March 6th
Super Add: #11 Moonskipper 4-1 WON
High 5 Play: #5 Warrens Royal Lady 5-1 8th
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-4-7
7: 7
8: 1-3-7-9-10-12
9: 2-3-9-11
3x1x6x4 = $72