Finally warming up? Derby preps, Lloydobler debut today!
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Encouraging day Friday despite some beats as I at least started to find the range a bit for the first time in 2+ weeks. There were more insane winners at Aqueduct as part of the action, with photographs the difference separating 43-1 Even Frisky from 3-1 Citizen Bailey in the 4th and 23-1 Living Out a Dream from 1-1 Crazy Charlie in the 5th. That $935.50 Daily Double helped trigger today’s brutal $118k double C/O, which commences with the 4th race where Dee Tee Stables launches the career of our LLOYDOBLER.
Elsewhere at the Big A Friday, ‘Best Value’ third choice Hello Gold ($17.60) was lucky to beat 3-2 ‘Most Likely’ Badgette in the 6th, but when Western Decision came third at 33-1, a pudgy $345.50 triple was there to be had. And at Gulfstream, you would have scratched into the $400 P4 using Keeping the Honor (put up via DQ) when Cenzontle came out of the nightcap. Hope you did well Friday and are ready for a big day of racing coast to coast highlighted by the Derby Trail launchers at Gulfstream (Holy Bull) and Fair Grounds (Lecomte)!
GULFSTREAM PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Mine N Gems 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Six Clicks 5-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Miner’s Reserve 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Warrant Ofc. Cook 6-1 6th
8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner T (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #1 (POE) In the Rough 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Miss Olivia Rae 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Take a Vow 3-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Deterrence 6-1 8th
9th: 21st Holy Bull (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 Jackson Bend (5-2): Speedy LaPenta buy-in starts Derby campaign; Hasn’t misfired yet.. 2nd
Best Value: #5 William’s Kitten (8-1): Ramsey-Maker colt seems certain to be missed; Best came on dirt.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Aikenite (4-1): Serious Dogwood-Pletcher number has been rock solid in every start.. 6th
Super Add: #6 Winslow Homer (6-1): A. Dutrow-R. Porter grey can factor, but is looking ahead.. WON
10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-Inner T (Super)
Most Likely: #10 Furious Run 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 History Ahead 12-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Sarah’s Tiger 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Consolate 8-1 9th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-4-5
8: 1-3-7
9: 5-6-8-9
10: 2-3-9-10
3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
FAIR GROUNDS
PRE-SCRATCHES
6th: 24th Col. Bradley (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)
Best Value: #2 Tybalt 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #4 El Caballo 2-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Get Rich Quick 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Princeville Condo 7-2 5th
7th: 64th Louisiana H., 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, Super)
Best Value: Tend SCR
Most Likely: #7 Good and Lucky 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Secret Getaway 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 General Quarters 6-1 2nd
8th: 18th Tiffany Lass, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P6, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Quiet Temper 8-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Elusive Jozi 12-1 4th
Next Best: Visavis SCR
Super Add: #7 Jackpot Joanie 20-1 6th
9th: 23rd Leggio Mem., F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Lady Chace 9-2 4th
Best Value: Juliet’s Spirit SCR
Next Best: #7 Trusty Temper 8-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Annihilation 6-1 WON
10th: 66th Lecomte (G3), 3yo, 1,-40y (P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Maximus Ruler (4-1): Colt commences what should be voyage back to Louisville.. 2nd
Best Value: #3 Wordly (5-1): Another Churchill-based soph that fits well here and has upside.. 5th
Next Best: Callide Valley SCR
Super Add: #5 Citrus Kid (8-1): Stamina-built LDK colt never bothered sprinting; Worth watching.. 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-2-3-6/SCR-7
8: 2/SCR-5-10
9: 5-7-8-10-12/SCR
10: 1-3
4x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
11th: 25th Gaudin Mem., 4+, 6f (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Cash Refund 8-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Euroears 7-5 6th
Best Value: #4 Tempo Five 9-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Sok Sok 10-1 2nd