3/30: Gulfstream (4th-14th); Oaklawn (6th-13th; X-C P5)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
GULFSTREAM PARK ~ FLORIDA DERBY DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Rotterdam 4-1
Next Best: #6 Read On 5-1
Best Value: #10 Mutaawid 30-1
Exotics Use: #12 Sir London 6-1
5th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Six Kings 4-1
Next Best: #6 Mindframe 7-2
Best Value: #7 Ponce de Leon 6-1
Exotics Use: #10 Idoneo 5-1
6th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Kertez 2-1
Next Best: #6 Tawny Port 9-5
Best Value: #3 Lucky Curlin 12-1
Exotics Use: #4 Street Ready 10-1
7th: Ghostzapper (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Lure Him In 6-1
Next Best: #6 Steal Sunshine 9-5
Exotics Use: #8 Donegal Forever 6-1
Super Add: #5 Tumbarumba 2-1
P4 Grid:
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 4-6-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x4x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
8th: Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Destiny Star 20-1
Next Best: #8 Hello Hollywood 9-2
Exotics Use: #7 Ozara 8-5
Super Add: #9 Pharoah’s Wine 7-2
9th: Sir Shakleton, 4+, 7f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #5 Shaq Diesel 6-1
Next Best: #6 Oscar Eclipse 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Ticking 15-1
Super Add: #8 Dreaming of Kona 12-1
P5 Grid:
5: 4-6 (A), 7-10 (B), – (C)
6: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
10th: Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T ($3 Turf P3/10-12-13, P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 La Mehana 2-1
Next Best: #6 McKulick 8-5
Exotics Use: #4 Surprisingly 5-2
Super Add: #8 Anatolian 8-1
$3 TURF P3 Grid:
10: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54
P5 Grid:
7: 1-6 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
11th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Ways and Means 8-5
Best Value: #8 Fiona’s Magic 6-1
Next Best: #5 Into Champagne 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Gun Song 4-1
12th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Marketsegmentation 7-5
Best Value: #9 Fast as Flight 10-1
Next Best: #1 Candy Light 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Fuente Ovejuna 15-1
13th: Appleton, 4+, 1m-T (DD)
Most Likely: #3 Ice Chocolat 9-2
Best Value: #6 Quality G 12-1
Next Best: #4 Big Everest 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Never Surprised 5-1
14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)
Most Likely: #10 Fierceness 8-5
Next Best: #2 Hades 7-2
Best Value: #5 Real Macho 20-1
Exotics Use: #9 Conquest Warrior 3-1
P5 Grid:
10: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
11: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
14: 2-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5-9 in 14th)
P4 Grid:
11: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
14: 2-5-10 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
OAKLAWN PARK ~ ARKANSAS DERBY DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Julliard 6-1
Next Best: #4 Bourbon Bash 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Clear the Air 7-5
Super Add: #6 I’m Wide Awake 15-1
7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Ak Sar Ben Derby 4-1
Best Value: #5 Elko County 8-1
Next Best: #1 Militant 9-5
Exotics Use: #2 Django 9-2
8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)
“I’ll have a Bloody Mary and a steak sandwich.. and a steak sandwich..”
Best Value: #7 Underhill’s Tab 8-1
Next Best: #5 Captivating Boy 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Ten Days Later 12-1
Super Add: #4 Media Mogul 8-1
AQUEDUCT 8th: Excelsior, 4+, 9f (Cross Country P5, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Messier 9-2
Best Value: #3 Kuchar 8-1
Next Best: #4 Kinetic Sky 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Curbstone 12-1
COAST TO COAST P5 Grid:
AQU 8: 3-4-5 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)
OAK 9: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
OAK 10: 6 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
OAK 11: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
OAK 12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x4x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-5 in OP 10th)
9th: Oaklawn Mile (G3), 4+, 1m (P5, All Stakes P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Nautical Star 12-1
Next Best: #4 Midnight Rising 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Last Samurai 15-1
Super Add: #7 Frosted Grace 4-1
P4 Grid:
6: 4-7 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
10th: Matron, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Zeitlos 7-2
Best Value: #4 Mucho Macho Girl 8-1
Next Best: #5 Leeloo 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Traverse 15-1
11th: Fantasy (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 My Mane Squeeze 3-1
Next Best: #12 Thorpedo Anna 7-2
Best Value: #4 All Things Go 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 West Omaha 4-1
12th: Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)
Best Value: #5 Liberal Arts 15-1
Next Best: #7 Muth 8-5
Exotics Use: #2 Timberlake 9-5
Super Add: #6 Informed Patriot 30-1
All Stakes P4 Grid:
9: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
13th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m
Most Likely: #10 Thestral 4-1
Best Value: #2 Sister Kisses 12-1
Next Best: #3 Wildwood Bye 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Absinthe 5-2
P5 Grid:
9: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 2-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
P4 Grid:
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 2-10 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-11 in 13th)
Good luck!
Steve