Archive for the '2018' Category

5/18: Pimlico (Black-Eyed Susan Day)

Friday, May 18th, 2018

HI HO PIMLICO!

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Almond Roca 5-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Good Move 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Happy Like a Fool 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #3 Artistic Diva 6-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF(P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #13 Royal Crusader 4th
Next Best: #4 Jump Jive an Wail 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 South Sea 5th
Super Add: #15 Promote Late SCR

9th: Pimlico Special (G3), 3+, 9.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Something Awesome 5-1 8th
Next Best: #2 One Liner 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Rated R Superstar 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Afleet Willy 10-1 6th

10th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Imprimis 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #4 Oak Bluffs 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Rocket Heat 6-1 2nd

11th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, Susan/Preakness DBL, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Red Ruby 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #3 Coach Rocks 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Goodonehoney 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Stakes On a Plane 20-1 6th

P5 Grid:

7: 8-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 6-10 (C)
8: 4-13 (A), 7-15(B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-7-9 (C)
10: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
11: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 4-13 (A), 7-15-16 (B), – (C)
9: 2-8 (A), – (B), 1-3-7-9 (C)
10: 1-3-4 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
11: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

5/12: Belmont (6th-11th); Santa Anita ($66k C/O)

Saturday, May 12th, 2018

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

It’s Patch! He’s back.. And he found a tough spot for his return..

Best Value: #3 Exulting 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mr. Buff 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Chris and Dave 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Patch 9-5 WON ($4.50)

7th: NY-ALW/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

As always, NY-Bred turf ALW’s offer terrific wagering opportunities. 5 here making seasonal debuts including Wicked Strong half brother Cloontia, favored and horse to beat but far from a certainty..

Best Value: #12 Forever in Love 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Cloontia 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Royal Blessing 4-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Leaveematthegate 20-1 10th

8th: 5th Runhappy, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Westwood 2-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #5 Always Sunshine 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Skyler’s Scramjet 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 King Kranz 9-2 5th

9th: 41st Beaugay (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P3, DD)

Team of Teams will have every chance to wire this..

Most Likely: #2 Inflexibility 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Team of Teams 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 A Raving Beauty 2-1 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #3 Tricky Escape 8-1 6th

10th: 64th Peter Pan (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

SCRPreakness-bound #5 Diamond King..

And with Diamond King gone, what’s going to stop Core Beliefs from wiring this group?

Most Likely: #1 Core Beliefs 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 High North 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Just Whistle 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Blended Citizen 6-1 WON ($11.40)

11th: 60th Man o’War (G1), 4+, 11f-Inner Turf

Most Likely: #2 Sadler’s Joy 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Call Provision 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Hi Happy 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Bigger Picture 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 2-12 (A), – (B), 3-6-7-9 (C)
8: 1-2-5 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 2 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-3-4(C)
11: 2-6 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-4-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-5 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 6(B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-3-4(C)
11: 2-6-7(A), 1-8-9 (B), 3-4-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$66k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #5 Senator Robert 5-1: Returns to Cal Co. & drops..2nd
Next Best: #4 Six Point Rack 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Shaymin 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Calvert Street 7-2 6th

5th: 24th Laz Barrera (G3), 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 McKale 2-1: Serious colt from top connex..4th
Next Best: #1 Kanthaka 9-5: Turns back to intended trip..WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Zulfikhar 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 King Cause 20-1 5th

6th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 DEAL WITH IT DUDE 8-1: First time turfer has talent, pedigree power and adds DVD..6th
Next Best: #6 Lucky Bryan 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Conquest Typhoon 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Ronald R 5-1 4th

7th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Awesome E K 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Downside Up 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lion Command 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Trojan Time 4-1 WON ($4.80)

8th: 56th Angels Flight, 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

This is a terrific group and it’s hardly confined to returning Moonshine Memories and stakes tested Show It N Moe It, Thirteen Squared or Uppercut. There are a lot of gals interested in the front end here and I think you need to find a player that can stalk and go. For me it’s True Royalty (8-1)..

Best Value: #8 True Royalty 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Show It N Moe It 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Moonshine Memories 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Thirteen Squared 4-1 4th

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Murderously tough MDN nightcap. Pick and pray..

Most Likely: #5 What’s Bruin 7-2 10th
Best Value: #4 Don’t Blame Judy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Token Vow 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Unchaining Melody 7-2 9th
Super/Hi-5: #2 Camino Song 12-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

4: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2-7-8 (C)
5: 3 (A), 1(B), 4 (C)
6: 1 (A), – (B), 4-5-6-8(C)
7: 6-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 1-2-8 (A), – (B), 4-6-9 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x1x2x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 2x1x1x2x3x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P5 Grid:

5: 1-3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
6: 1 (A), 4-6 (B), 5-8(C)
7: 6-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 1-2-8 (A), – (B), 4-6-9 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 9-12 (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

6: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), 5-8(C)
7: 6-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 1-2-8 (A), 4-6-9 (B), – (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 9-12 (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

5/10: Churchill Downs ($385k Must Pay P6 C/O)

Thursday, May 10th, 2018

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 4+, 7f (.20 P6, P3, DD)

$385k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

You know I’m a sucker for the triple whammy and Boyd Crowder adds a few more to the karma moves dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt and putting blinkers on. Plus Walsh reaches for his go to guy in Lanerie..

Best Value: #4 Boyd Crowder 9-2
Next Best: #7 Tiznoble 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Chief of Staff 7-2
Super Add: #5 Catanova 9-2

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Very competitive group with a few trying the lawn for the first time..

Most Likely: #5 Zipp On By 7-2
Best Value: #6 Mutation 20-1
Next Best: #2 El Venue 10-1
Exotics Use: #3 What’sontheagenda 5-2

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 East Moon 3-1
Best Value: #8 Urban Insight 5-1
Next Best: #5 Glitznglamour 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Pretty Owl 5-1

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Frank the Butcher 2-1
Best Value: #3 Trenton Bridge 12-1
Next Best: #1 Splash for Gold 6-1
Exotics Use: #7 How’s the Bud 6-1

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Awestruck 7-2
Next Best Value: #10 Ma’am 5-1
Next Best Value: #3 Life’s Blessings 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Flora Dora 8-1

8th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Dreamology 5-1
Next Best: #11 Bold Friends 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Overzealous 5-1
Super Add: #4 Jimmy Joe 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #8 Get Western 8-1

P6 Grid:

3: 4-7 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
5: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 2-3-9 (B), – (C)
8: 7-11 (A), – (B), 1-4-5-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x2x5x2 = 600 x .20 = $120
Budget (All A’s): 2x5x3x2x2 = 120 x .20 = $24

P5 Grid:

4: 2-5-6 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
5: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 2-3-9 (B), – (C)
8: 7 (A), – (B), 4-5-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

5: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 2-3-9 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7-11 (A), 4-8 (B), 1-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

5/4: 144th Kentucky Oaks Day

Thursday, May 3rd, 2018

CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ 144TH KENTUCKY OAKS DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Go Google Yourself 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 First Alternate 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 She’s Pretty Lucky 3-1 WON ($7.60)

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dabinett 5-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Pachinko 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Killay 10-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Wild N Ready 4-1 3rd

3rd: MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Keros 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Industrialist 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Bugle Notes 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #4 Bueno Bueno Bueno 20-1 2nd

4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Keep Quiet 4-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Krampus 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Saham 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Thatcher Street 10-1 9th

5th: 63rd Eight Belles (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

If Mia Mischief has learned to rate at all, she should beat these..

Most Likely: #3 Mia Mischief 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Talk Veuve to Me 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Gas Station Sushi 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Amy’s Challenge 5-2 7th

P4 Grid:

2: 7 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-3 (C)
3: 1-6-8(A), – (B), 4-10 (C)
4: 1-11 (A), 5-12 (B), – (C)
5: 1-3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

6th: 33rd La Troienne (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Salty runs here..

Most Likely: #8 Martini Glass 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Abel Tasman 1-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Tiger Moth 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Salty 3-1 WON ($10.40)

7th: 24th Twin Spires Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Bucchero 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Vision Perfect 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Latent Revenge 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Delectation 6-1 4th

P4 Grid:

3: 1-6-8(A), – (B), 2-4-10 (C)
4: 1-11 (A), 5-12 (B), 8(C)
5: 3(A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-7 (C)
7: 7-9 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

4: 1-11 (A), 5-12 (B), 8(C)
5: 3(A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
6: 1-3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), 1-2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: 15th Alysheba (G2), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Interestingly, Always Dreaming had one of those ‘Derby works’ we look for and may be ready for an A effort 2nd off the break..

Most Likely: #3 Always Dreaming 3-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Hoppertunity 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Backyard Heaven 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Good Samaritan 5-2 3rd

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Electric Forest 3-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Sworn Silence 8-1 8th
Best Value: #3 C P Quality 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Upset Brewing 9-2 3rd

10th: 34th Edgewood (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Toinette 12-1 WON ($12.80)
Next Best: #11 Rushing Fall 4-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Daddy Is a Legend 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Altea 6-1 5th

11th: 144th Kentucky Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (KO-TC-KD P3, KO-KD DBL, DBL, P3, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Midnight Bisou 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Wonder Gadot 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Coach Rocks 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #14 Monomoy Girl 2-1 WON ($7.20)
Super/Hi-5: #13 Eskimo Kisses 15-1 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 7-9 (A), 5 (B), 1-8-10(C)
8: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), 10 (B), 3-4-6-9 (C)
10: 3-6-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 10 (A), – (B), 2-3-13-14(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x1x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

8: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), – (B), 3-4-6-10 (C)
10: 3-6-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), 7-13-14(B), 3-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Oaks-Turf Classic-Derby P3 Grid:

KO: 10 (A), 2-5 (B), 13-14(C)
TC: 1-3-9-10 (A), – (B), 4-5-6-7 (C)
KD: 7 (A), 6-14 (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3 = $36
All A’s: 1x4x1 = 4 x $5 = $20

Oaks-Derby DBL:

KO: 2-5-10 (A), 13-14(B), 7-11 (C)
KD: 7 (A), 6-14 (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5×3 = 15 x $2 = $30
All A’s: 3×1 = 3 x $10 = $30

12th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #8 Ox Eyed Daisy 9-2
Next Best: #6 She’s a Julie 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Gio Game 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #2 Princess of the Nyl 8-1 4th

13th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m

Most Likely: #2 Rizzoli 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Tequila Sunrise 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Auspicious Babe 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Ipanema Beach 3-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

9: 2 (A), 10 (B), 3-4-6-9 (C)
10: 3-6-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), 13-14(B), 7-11 (C)
12: 6-8-10(A), 2-5 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
13: 2(A), – (B), 4-6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x5x1 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A’s: 1x4x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

10: 3-6-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), 13-14(B), 7-11 (C)
12: 6-8-10(A), 2-5 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
13: 2(A), – (B), 1-4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x5x1 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 3x3x3x1 = 27 x .50 = $13.50

$.50 Pick 4 (7-14-10-2) Paid $76.60

5/3: Churchill Downs (8th-11th)

Thursday, May 3rd, 2018

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 13th Opening Verse, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Race becomes a toss up with Mr. Misunderstood a SCR..

Best Value: #5 First Premio 10-1
Next Best: #3 Mr. Cub 6-1
Exotics Use: #12 Shakhimat 8-1
Super Add: #10 Dimension 20-1

9th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Thirteen Songs 7-2
Next Best: #6 Hint of Mint 5-2
Best Value: #5 Tiz My Lady 12-1
Exotics Use: #7 Bemus Point 6-1

10th: 25th KY Juvenile, 2yo, 5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Shanghaied Roo 2-1
Next Best: #4 Luv This Lifestyle 7-5
Exotics Use: #5 Myhotrodlincoln 4-1
Super Add: #7 Baytown Macca 10-1

11th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Away 6 months, but also that much more mature, English Affair (15-1) can factor for cagey outfit if fit and ready..

Best Value: #5 English Affair 15-1
Next Best: #9 Sensitive 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Arch of Troy 10-1
Super Add: #11 La Sola Ranger 7-2
Hi-5 Play: #10 Now Power 5-1

P4 Grid:

8: 3-5 (A), 10-12 (B), 1-8-9-11 (C)
9: 4-5-6 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-7-9 (C)
11: 2-5-9 (A), – (B), 7-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve