SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: 75th NY Turf Writers’ Cup H. (NSA-G1), 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Bob Le Beau 6-5 DNF (Fatally injured)
Next Best: #4 Scorpiancer 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Andi’amu 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: 6 Schoodic 8-1 4th

2nd: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mr Curiousity 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #3 Risener 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Zababa 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Cats Landing 5-1 3rd

3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Discreet Image 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Mazmania 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Lem Me Dance 8-1 WON ($)16.00
Exotics Use: #4 Paz the Wire 4-1 4th

4th: NY-CLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dreamboat Annie 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tahoe Tigress 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Champagne Rudy 2-1 4th
Super Add: #4 My Won Love 5-1 6th

5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$40k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #1 Dom the Bomb 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Winter Games 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Sam Sparkle 9-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Narvaez 3-1 6th

6th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Bright Side Up 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Queenofthechannel 3-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Vaughn 20-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Maritalpreservation 5-1 10th

P5 Grid:

2: 7 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-2 (C)
3: 5-11 (A), 4-9 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
4: 3-7 (A), 1-4 (B), 5 (C)
5: 1-5 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
6: 5-10 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

P4 Grid:

3: 5-11 (A), 4-9 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
4: 3-7 (A), 1-4 (B), 5 (C)
5: 1-5 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
6: 5-10 (A), 3-9 (B), 1-4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Insane group. Looks like 9 of 12 can win to me..

Most Likely: #5 Knight of Valor 10-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Winter’s Gift 20-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Mav 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Shalako 9-2 WON ($9.40)

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Flash Trading 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Delta Outlaw 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Juan and Bina 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Goats Town 12-1 2nd

9th: 8th Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Pricedtoperfection 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Thrilled 12-1 8th
Next Best: #7 On Leave 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Baciami Piccola 15-1 6th

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3_, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #8 Ellenvelyn 4-1 4th-DQ’d and placed last
Best Value: #5 May Flowers 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Battle Tux 3-1 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Dream On 15-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

5: 1-5 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
6: 5-10 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 5 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-12 (C)
8: 5 (A), 3 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 7-10 (B), 4-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x1x2x3x4 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x1x1x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P4 Grid:

7: 1-5 (A), 2-3 (B), 12 (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 7-10 (B), 4-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x $.50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x $.50 = $18

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Nice group of in form players including pair of flat/hop options in North Star Boy and Share Out. Young-ish and lightly raced 5yo All for Us has made transition to chasing winning first try over hurdles and then competing well here and at MTH. Can’t be left with too much to do..

Most Likely: #2 All for Us 4-1
Next Best: #7 North Star Boy 3-1
Best Value: #6 Share Out 15-1
Exotics Use: #8 Help From Heaven 7-2

2nd: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Clunky assembly of droppers, turf/dirt movers and miscellaneous sluggish fillies. Not sure how you cross out any of them. Need at least 1-4-5-8-9 to start P5 which is a grueling sequence..

Best Value: #4 Chorus Line 5-1
Next Best: #8 Learning Curve 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Double Dose 3-1
Super Add: #1 Antebellum 4-1

3rd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Another curiosity. Can Papa’s Missle wire after faltering late at 6.5f?

Most Likely: #6 Bee Noteworthy 3-1
Next Best: #1 (POE) Papa’s Missle 4-1
Best Value: #2 Staff Sgt Reckless 9-2
Exotics Use: #5 Ragazza Piu’ Bella 5-1

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

May need to take a stand here with pair of deep MSW’s to follow and Ron Winchell is giving away win shy colt Tapit Wicked here. Needs to be timed perfectly to be fooled into winning, but if it’s not him, there’s 5-6 eligible..

Most Likely: #3 Tapit Wicked 2-1
Best Value: #4 Bow Tie Affair 20-1
Next Best: #11 Big Air 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 House of Friends 10-1

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Some nice NY bred pedigrees including Gemologist daughter Ingrid (half to Sean Avery for same connections) and Out of Trouble (Into Mischief), a half to win early Bird of Trey (Birdstone). Respect precocious speed of Bustin Stones babies too and Roddy Valente and Bruce Levine offer 6-1 Dr. Stone..Interesting group..

Most Likely: #2 Ingrid 9-2
Best Value: #8 Dr. Stone 6-1
Next Best: #5 No Lunks 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Out of Trouble 4-1

6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T G/S, P3, DD)

P5/P4 end with 6 firsters and three 2nd time starters and narrow plays will lean on Chad Brown’s Forge SCR’D moving to turf out of seemingly live 7/23 maiden affair..

Most Likely: #2 Let’s Get Loud 7-2
Best Value: #1 Mongo Nation 12-1
Next Best: #7 Toshiro 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Hembree 8-1

P5 Grid:

2: 4-8 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-3-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 3 (A), – (B), 2-4-11 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1-4 (C)
6: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), 3-4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x1x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)

P4 Grid:

3: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 3-4 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1-4 (C)
6: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), 3-4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x5x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 1x2x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)

7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

With Magsamelia the only pace-setting speed, will take shot with Bissectrisa (8-1) who can overcome wide draw and gain adequate position under savvy Saez. Joe Sharp has very encouraging numbers raising claimers up in class adding to appeal in fun betting affair..

Best Value: #10 Bissectrisa 8-1
Next Best: #2 Emerald Pond 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Greywalls 5-1
Super Add: #4 Littlemissperfect 6-1

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Intriguing group made more complex by Saratoga Heater wheeling back in 72 hours seeking 3rd win at the meet. DJ trainee prefers it wet. Not a great deal of pace here — Pop the Hood will be setting it..

Most Likely: #4 More Zen Tea 9-2
Best Value: #7 Candid Desire 20-1
Next Best: #5 Proper Freud 12-1
Exotics Use: #1 John’s Island 3-1

9th: 13th John’s Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (DD)

Excellent gathering for this three-turner and Chuck Lawrence may be clever in here with My Afleet who owns ’15 win over this turf and may end up inheriting control under Lezcano. Just one of many options though..

Best Value: #7 My Afleet 8-1
Next Best: #3 Mr Maybe 8-5
Exotics Use: #5 Procurement 15-1
Super Add: #1 Renown 4-1

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT

Top pair own significant edge. Frosty Lady next logical and offers value..

Most Likely: #4 Stella Street 8-5
Next Best: #10 Marnesia Big Girl 3-1
Best Value: #6 Frosty Lady 10-1
Exotics Use: #2 Silver Vixen 8-1

P4 Grid:

7: 2-10 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-6-8 (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 1-3-6 (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-8 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 6 (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2B Town Fair 6-1 4th
Next Best: # 3 Lady’s First 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Dorothy’s Dream 8-1 7th
Super Add: #1 (POE/Edition Farm) Wake Up Smiling 8-5 2nd

2nd: MSW, 3+, 12f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Caldera 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Uncle Gio 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Richmond Street 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Sadler’s Joy 3-1 WON ($9.80)

3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Geo Niko 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 That Makes Sense 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Salem Loop 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Greyjoy 2-1 WON ($6.90)

4th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$55k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #5 Lady Bling 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Detail 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Hold Me Down 20-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Doukas 5-1 3rd

5th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Needs to be revisited after SCR’s with Chad Brown AE’s #11/#12 obvious contenders if drawing in..

Best Value: #2 Brotherly 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Snag 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Mr. Neetie 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Jess I Am 3-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), 4-5-6 (C)
2: 3-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-8-9 (C)
3: 4-6 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
4: 1-5 (A), – (B), 6-7-10 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x3 = 192 x $.50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x $.50 = $16

P4 Grid:

2: 3-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-8-9 (C)
3: 4-6 (A), 2-3-5-7 (B), – (C)
4: 1-5 (A), – (B), 6-7-10 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x $.50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($8 for $.50)

6th: NY-ALW/C, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Weekend Hideaway 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #2 Drama King 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Awesome Gent 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ostrolenka 3-1 3rd

7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Outstanding 3rd level ALW. Macagone will have to be attacked by someone lest he lead them all the way around. Brown returns good at 3 Night Prowler & March for 4yo debuts. Cross out Vision Perfect’s off-the-turf miscue..

Most Likely: #10 March 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 English Minister 20-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Macagone 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Ascend 7-2 4th

8th: 3rd Summer Colony-R, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Insanely well-matched six pack with these five fillies and mare separated by exactly one length on figs. Very little pace on paper, so there’s opportunity for someone to take charge. Charlie Baker stole Rachel’s Temper (6-1) for $62.5k out of nose lose to Alabama runner-up Going for Broke. Displaying 2-3-4-6 below, but 1 (Money’soncharlotte) necessary as well for survival in multis..

Best Value: #4 Rachel’s Temper 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #6 Eskenformoney 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Tiger Ride 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Sweetgrass 3-1 2nd

9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #1 In a Flurry 8-1 8th
Best Value: #7 U Do That 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Ditch Em 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Show River 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Brooklyn Gal 10-1 5th

P6 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), – (B), 6-7-10 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), 8-10 (C)
6: 1 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-5-6 (C)
7: 10 (A), – (B), 2-6-7-9 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5-7 (B), 2-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x1x2x3 = 108 x $2 = $216
All A’s: 2x2x1x1x2x1 = 8 x $2 = $16

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2 (A), 3-4 (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 10 (A), – (B), 2-6-7-9 (C)
8: 1-2-3-4-6 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), 2-3-6-9 (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x7 = 140 x .50 = $70
All A’s: 2x1x5x3 = 30 x .50 = $15

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Born for a Storm 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #5 J. J. Jake 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Samedi Sky 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Gorelli 9-2 5th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Wake Island 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Jetsam Six 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Defrock 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Thunderon the Nile 8-1 5th

3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sebonack 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Starry Messenger 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Saratoga Charlie 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Fullback Foye 5-1 4th

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Klaravich entry 2-1 2nd/4th
Next Best: #11 Zennor 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Security Risk 8-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Captain Moss 5-1 7th

5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 You Know I Know 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Gambler’s Ghost 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Galardonado 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Blame Jim 9-2 6th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-6 (C)
2: 4-10 (A), – (B), 1-6-7-9 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), – (B), 4-5-11 (C)
5: 1-4-7-8 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

2: 4-10 (A), 1-6 (B), 7-9 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), – (B), 4-5-11 (C)
5: 1-4-7-8 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x1x4 = $16 ($8 for .50)

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, DD)

If you’re not playing multis here, it’s a good spot to swing for the fences. Looks wildly competitive..

Most Likely: #2 Montauk Man 10-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Balfe’s Corner 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 River of Dreams 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Mr Harlan 12-1 2nd

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Okinawa as good or better in the mornings working with Saturday MDN-breaker Favorable Outcome..

Most Likely: #5 Okinawa 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Tazkeya 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Vertical Oak 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Culpa Mia 8-1 4th

8th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Catch a Glimpse 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Time and Motion 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #3 Outsider Art 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Elsyea’s World 5-1 4th

9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Doctor J Dub 3rd
Next Best: #13 Saratoga Heater WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #12 True Bet 2nd
Super Add: #14 Pop the Hood 5th

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Big Zip 5-2 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #9 Nobody Move 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 E J’s Legacy 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Here Comes Tommy 4-1 2nd

11th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #8 Smarty’s Pal 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Le Grand Warrior 12-1 WON ($19.00)
Next Best: #7 Fled 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Shiraz 5-1 Late SCR

P4 Grid:

8: 1-2 (A), 3-5 (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 2-13 (A), 6-12-14 (B), – (C)
10: 2 (A), – (B), 1-8-9-10 (C)
11: 8-9 (A), 1/SCR-7-15-16/SCR (B), 4-6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x1x2 = $8

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/1,3,7,8,9,10,11,13,15,16/2,7/9) Paid $292.00

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, F&M-3+,6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Liberty Fuze 3rd
Next Best: #5 Mastic WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Spectacular Flash 5th
Super Add #6 Distinctive Lady 2nd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Start with Pletcher (Driven to Compete), Brown (Mr Classical SCR), Asmussen (Unstabled) and feather in from there with experienced runners from Schettino’s Always Dreaming (half to Hot Dixie Chick) and Lukas’ Blame Will (first time on fast/dry strip). Killybegs Captain from Ward has been the workmate of Friday Skidmore (5.5f-T) winner Harlan’s Harmony..

Most Likely: #5 Driven to Compete 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Unstabled 9-2 9th
Best Value: #9 Blame Will 10-1 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Always Dreaming 5-1 2nd

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

I’ve struggled with the 9f events here this season in general. Phil Bauer ships in from Churchill with $340k Nickel who ran into Wilkes’ Bird Sense at Ellis. Lures Castellano and unknown connection factor may move price up from 2-1 ML. Black-Eyed Susan runner-up MDN Ma Can Do It SCR, a favorite of Tammy Fox who has earned nearly $200k without a diploma, has constantly found excellent company. Today too..

Most Likely: #6 Nickel 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Opined 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Sherini 8-1 WON ($8.60)

4th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Scout Leader 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 St. Louie 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Gloves Off 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Red Drum 3-1 4th

5th: Troy, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Disco Partner 12-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #5 Green Mask 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Songsational 12-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Rainbow Heir 8-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 4-5 (A), 2-3-6 (B), – (C)
2: 3-5 (A), 4-7-9 (B), 2-10 (C)
3: 6 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 2-6 (A),- (B), 3-5 (C)
5: 5-6-9 (A), – (B), 4-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x2x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), 4-7-9 (B), 2-10 (C)
3: 6 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 2-6 (A),- (B), 3-5 (C)
5: 5-6-9 (A), 1-4-7-11 (B), (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x7 = 140 x .50 = $70
All A’s: 2x1x2x3 = $12

6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Oscar Performance 6-1 WON ($14.00)
Best Value: #5 Rule Yourself 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Focus Group 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Bigboldbok 8-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Unbridled Eagle 6-1 7th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$60k P6 C/O starts here..

Deep group that has all the markings of an important assembly going forward..

Most Likely: #7 Teletap 4-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Seven Forty Seven 20-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Favorable Outcome 7-2 WON ($9.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Nerinx 12-1 6th

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very odd assembly. Will try double digits on Pletcher/Eclipse with Brinkley & Saez who can set up shop behind the speeds..

Best Value: #1 Brinkley 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Rumble Doll 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Orient Harbor 6-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Ava’s Kitten 9-5 WON ($6.20)

P4 Grid:

5: 5-9 (A), – (B), 1-4-6-7-11 (C)
6: 5-11 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-10 (C)
7: 3-7-9 (A), – (B), 4-5-10 (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (9-11-3-10) Paid $298.50

9th: Fourstardave H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD, SAR–DMR P4 ~ Play at page bottom)

Best Value: #7 A Lot 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Force the Pass 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Tourist 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #6 Ring Weekend 3-1 6th

10th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (P3, DD)

Don’t agree with the claim that ‘you’re obliged to bet against Songbird’. You’re not. And while some short priced Alabama favorites have been beaten, including Devil May Care who lost to Blind Luck, none came to this assignment at this point in their career with as impressive a resume or appearance of dominance as the Hollendorfer filly. While she doesn’t have to have the lead, expect her to pull a Privman, “establishing herself in front and improving her position from there”..

Most Likely: #6 Songbird 1-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #5 Family Tree 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Go Maggie Go 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Going for Broke 10-1 2nd

11th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

10-1 Sanctify cleared this condition in May ’15. Has won here, gets class relief and cozy draw for style that suits race shape. Yahtzee.. (NOTE: Watch for the AE’s. Both dangerous)..

Best Value: #2 Sanctify 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Converge 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Orino 10-1 WON ($14.60)
Super Add: #6 Dream Doctor 8-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-5 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-2 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 3-4-5 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), 1-6 (B), 4-5-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x1x2 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (2,8,10,11/8/6/1) Paid $104.37

12th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #12 I Hope You Dance Late SCR
Next Best: #11 Cosmic Tale 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 True Charm 12-1 WON ($17.40)
Super Add: #2 Celestial Sighting 10-1 8th

<$200 Simple ‘Caveman’ P6:

7: 3-7-9
8: 1-4
9: 4-7
10: 6
11: 2-3
12: 2-5-11-12/SCR

3x2x2x1x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

DEL MAR

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: 60th Del Mar Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific cast..

Most Likely: #10 Stays in Vegas 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Decked Out 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Harmonize 9-2 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Barleysugar 5-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Mokat 7-2 4th

7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value #2 Moe Candy 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Miner’s Light 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Twirling 4-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Ketos 7-2 4th

8th: 77th Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Patentar 20-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Flamboyant 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Ashleyluvssugar 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #4 Metaboss 4-1 2nd

9th: 26th Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Doesn’t get more entertaining than this. One established and one emerging handicap star versus the top race mare of her generation. I’ll take opportunity to back Dortmund figuring that despite being 2nd choice on the ML, he’ll be 3rd price on the board at post time. He’s got upside yet. But it’s simply a pleasure having these three meet and while there will be 8 runners that ‘lose’ tonight, racing and its’ supporters win big..

Best Value: #8 Dortmund 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 California Chrome 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Beholder 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Hard Aces 15-1 9th

SAR–DMR P4 Grid:

SAR 9: 4-6-7-8 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
SAR 10: 6 (A), – (B), 3-4-5 (C)
DMR 8: 7-8-11 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
DMR 9: 1-7-8 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 4x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (8-6-8-1) Paid $22.95