Archive for the '2016' Category

Fall commences with BEL, KY Downs

Saturday, September 10th, 2016

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$35k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #5 Shoot from the Hip 5-1: Cox moves this one up.. WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #6 Afleet Martini 2-1: Franco sides with ouchy fave..
Exotics Use: #7 Made of Steel 4-1: Falcone/Rosario with gaudy #’s.. 5th
Super Add: #3 Divine Interventio 3-1: Turns back while being given away.. 3rd

6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Moonlit Garden 4-1: Matterhorn/Title Contender sis outworked Sweet Loretta.. 3rd
Best Value: #4 Awesome Boss 6-1: Turf to dirt/1st Lasix for McPeek; Exits key races.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Blind Pool 3-1: Klaravich/C. Brown miss faded late in debut at 5-2.. 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Berned 5-2: Lasix on after being caught late in debut; Meh.. WON ($5.40)

7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ticonderoga 6-5: Near-miss Tapit looms P6 single adding hood.. WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1 Benefactor 5-1: $425k China Horse/WinStar buy working steadily.. 5th
Next Best: #3 Concomitant 6-1: Matt Muzikar quickly lands Lezcano in Brown barn.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Kiss the Toad 7-2: Behind Ticonderoga last. Feels underlaid.. 4th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Very tricky turf sprint read..

Most Likely: #9 My Kinda Gal 4-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Startwithsilver 3-1 7th
Best Value: #2 First Charmer 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Uncle Southern 5-2 2nd

9th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Feels wide open..

Best Value: #7 Romans Paradise 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ross J Dawg 7-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Data Driven 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 The Great Whiteway 12-1 7th

10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT

Best Value: #6 Louisiana Lady 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Paz the Bourbon 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Discreet Image 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Beautiful Nite Sky 8-1 7th

P6 Grid:

5: 5-6 (A), 7 (B), 3-4-8 (C)
6: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 6 (A), – (B), 1-3-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 6 (A), 5-9 (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x1x2x3 = 54 x $2 = $108
All A’s: 2x3x1x1x2x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-6 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-5-6 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 2-3 (B), 8-9 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 9 (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (4,6/4/1,4/5,7,13,14) Paid $89.50 (A-C-A-A)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

NOTE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS MID-AFTERNOON

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

$52k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #9 Coco Mon 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 West Village 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 High Noon Rider 10-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Cartoon SCR

7th: More Than Ready Mile, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Watchyourownbobber 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Thatcher Street 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Songsational 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Dimension 5-1 6th

8th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Entrechat 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Inside Out 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Lots o’ Lex 10-1 WON ($27.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Fleet Bertie 12-1 3rd

9th: KY Turf Cup (G3), 3+, 12f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Da Big Hoss 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #9 Greengrassofwyoming 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Bullards Alley 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Seve’s Road 6-1 9th

10th: KY Downs Ladies Turf Sprint, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Miss Double d’Oro 3-1 6th
Best Value: #10 My Year Is a Day 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Mississippi Delta 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Seeking Treasure 10-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Late Spring 4-1 8th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 2-7-11 (B), 8-10-12 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), – (B), 2-7-8 (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1-3-7 (B), – (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x1x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-5 (12/3,4,6/7/7/3,6) Paid $10.40 (4OF5) x 5 = $52.00

P4 Grid:

7: 3-5-7-8 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1-3-7 (B), – (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x3 = $75 ($37.50 for .50)
All A’s: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,4,6/7/7/3,6) Paid $85.00

Must-Pay C/O’s for NY/CA Summer Finales

Monday, September 5th, 2016

It’s been another delightful Spa session and I hope everyone has enjoyed the coverage and had their share of successes.. Big finish appears in store this Labor Day with stakes-dotted carryovers at both Saratoga and Del Mar.

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Gambler’s Ghost 7-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #5 American Creed 6-1 2nd

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Home of the $800k New York bred ~ #5 Moondance..

Most Likely: #2 Swing and Sway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Strawberry Tequila 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Mini Megan 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Moondance 3-1 8th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Very tricky mixed signal reads with some firsters, second timers and pedigrees..

Best Value: #7 Now in a Drive 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 J.S. Choice 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Data Room 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Majestic Tom 6-1 9th

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Brown assistant/exercise rider Abreu brings back impressive first out winner Woodville..

Most Likely: #5 Woodville 6-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #4 Frostie Anne 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Sing for Beauty 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Sabrina Ballerina 9-2 5th

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Modern Lady 12-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Degrees of Freedom 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Undertherain 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Adirondack Luck 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1 (A), – (B), 3-4-5 (C)
2: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
5: 1-4-6-10 (A), 3-5-8-11 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x6x1x8 =144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
5: 1-4-6-10 (A), 3-5-8-11 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1x8 =144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$75k Must-Pay C/O starts here..

Best Value: #7 La Coronel 5-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #9 New Money Honey 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Its Only Fair Late SCR (Gate)
Super Add: #3 Slew of Money 8-1 9th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Vandalize 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #10 Roman Revival 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Best Value: #8 Saratoga Sight 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Eye Love Michael 5-1 4th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Ugh.. Murderous group. Looks like at least 7 of them ‘can’ win..

Most Likely: #6 Cloontia 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #5 Hurry Up Alan 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dream Doctor 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiz a Chance 10-1 5th

9th: Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Was interested in Reporting Star (20-1) for the Fourstardave and will try him here today instead. Now with added Geroux goodness. Agood deal of pace appears signed on..

Best Value: #9 Reporting Star 20-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Takeover Target 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Jay Gatsby 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ring Weekend 5-2 WON ($7.90)

10th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Classic Empire 5-2 DNF (Lost rider)
Next Best: #2 Practical Joke 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Runaway Lute 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Bitumen 2-1 4th

11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT

Best Value: #2 Blenheim Palace 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Sassy Little Lila 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #11 War Baby 12-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Above the Mark 6-1 7th

P6 Grid:

6: 7-9 (A), 10 (B), 3 (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), 3-9-11 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)
11: 2 (A), – (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x1x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = 16 x $2 = $32

P4 Grid:

8: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-9-11 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-2 (A), – (B), 3-5-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x5x2 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/2,10/2/1) Paid $129.75

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 69th DMR Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$547k Must-Pay C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Straight Fire 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Klimt 2-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Chasing Aces 9-5 DNF (Pulled Up)
Super Add: #4 Vegas Itch 20-15th

6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dark Energy 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Uncork the York 5-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Hollywood Strike 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Defiantly 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #5 Latitude 20-1 7th

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Saint Dermot 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Banze No Oeste 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Knight of Drama 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Brimstoned 8-1 4th

8th: 5th DMR Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 With Honors 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Auntjenn 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Blame It On Alphie 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Noble Dancer 12-1 9th

9th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Big Gray Rocket 9-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #9 Antioch 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Bird Is the Word 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Predict 6-1 7th

10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

$35k Must-Pay Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Best Value: #3 Foray 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Bronzino 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Spitfire 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Candy Cowboy 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Lamaan 15-1 WON ($40.00)

P6 Grid:

5: 2 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
6: 1-4-8 (A), – (B), 2-5-11 (C)
7: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)
8: 13 (A), 2 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 9-11 (B), 1-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x2x1x4 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A’s: 1x3x1x1x1x2

P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-5 (A), 4-7-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 2-13 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1 (C)
10: 3-5-9-11 (A), – (B), 1-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

JON WHITE P6 PLAY:

5: 1-2-6
6: 1-2-5-8-11-12
7: 1-3-10
8: 13
9: 8
10: [3]-5-9-11

Full: 3x6x3x1x1x4 = 216 x $2 = $432
Budget (Singling 3 in 10th): 3x6x3x1x1x1 = 54 x $2 = $108

$2 Pick-6 (6/11,13,14/10/3,13/8,10,11/4) Paid $102.00 (5OF6) x 4 = $408.00

Woodward upset trips wild Saturday P5

Sunday, September 4th, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Instant Replay 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Skill Not Luck 6-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Don’t Point 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Cotton Town 8-1 4th

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Priest N the Rabbi 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Mr. Sam 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Kangaroo Style 7-2 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #9 Dancer’s Edge 12-1 6th

3rd: O/CLM, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Request 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Street Fashion 4-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #6 Ectot 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Set to Music 8-1 5th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Commandeering 9-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Moves Like Ali 8-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #9 Lenstar 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Best Case 4-1 3rd

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Manipulated 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Benevolence 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Bluegrass Prevails 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Super Add: #2 Wine Not 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

1: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 6-7-9 (C)
3: 1-3-6 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
4: 1 (A), 6 (B), 5-7-8-9 (C)
5: 1-4 (A), 7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x2x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (1,3/4/3/6/7) Paid $1,672.50

P4 Grid:

2: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 6-7-9 (C)
3: 1-3-6 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 4-7-8-9 (B), 2-3-5-10 (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x6x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/3/6/7) Paid $240.00

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Summer Sweet 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 New York’s Finest 9-2 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Jo’s Bold Cat 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 T Loves a Fight 15-1 7th

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Refer 9-2 WON ($13.60)
Best Value: #10 Peace Points SCR
Next Best: #2 Yowl 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Market Strength 6-1 10th

8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Momentiempo 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Teresa Z 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Devine Union 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Malibu Stella 6-1 8th

9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Iron Fist 8-5 6th
Best Value: #3 Angry Moon 12-1 WON ($33.60)
Next Best: #10 All Star Red 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 J S Bach 6-1 8th

10th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mexican Gold 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #6 Gotachancetodance 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Now Power 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Kitzy’s Rocket 8-1 4th

11th: Prioress (G2), 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Plenty of pace here, so stalker/closer options look right..

Most Likely: #10 Dearest 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Takrees 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Off the Tracks 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Coppa 9-2 9th

12th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #1 My Fair Lily 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Avendesora 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Salty Mo 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 True Pleasure 6-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

8: 5-10 (A), 8-9 (B), 1-2-4-7 (C)
9: 1-3-4-10 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 3 (A), – (B), 1-6-9 (C)
11: 8-10 (A), 6-7 (B), 5-9 (C)
12: 1-6 (A), 2 (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x4x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x4x1x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

9: 1-3-4-10 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
11: 8-10 (A), 6-7 (B), 5-9 (C)
12: 1-2-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 7-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

Woodward, Spinaway lead big Saturday

Saturday, September 3rd, 2016

SARATOGA

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

These misfit affairs usually end sequences. Having it at start of P5 helps as board may give clues as to who’s live. Clear contenders, yes, but no shortage of upset candidates too..

Best Value: #5 Rescue Cat SCR
Next Best: #10 Sanifiera 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Palladian Bridge 6-1 2nd-DQ’d to 5th
Super Add: #9 Sea Pebble 7-2 5th-Up to 4th on DQ

2nd: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Shuffle Up SCR
Next Best: #8 Roll Tide Roll 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Gentrify 6-1 WON ($29.00)
Super Add: #1 Money Changer 7-2 3rd

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Frostmourne 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #7 Piazza Del Campo 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Starstruck Kitten SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Menacing Dennis SCR

4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Next Best: #4 South Sea 9-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Altito 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Oxford Circus 5-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Westwood 7-2 2nd

5th: Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Isotherm 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Call Provision 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Inspector Lynley 8-1 WON ($16.00)
Super Add: #5 Ray’s the Bar 9-2 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 5-7-10 (A), 3-9-11 (B), – (C)
2: 5-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
4: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
5: 3-6 (A), – (B), 1-2-4-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 35-8 (A), 1-2-9 (B), 4-6-7 (C)
3: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
4: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
5: 1-3-6 (A), 2-4-5-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x7 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A’s: 3x1x3x3 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Changewilldoyagood 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Hesinfront 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Ice Cutter 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Nonna’s Boy 5-1 WON ($12.60)
Super Add: #4 Eh Cumpari 20-1 8th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Kahramani 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Casse’s Story 4-1 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Mohican 5-1 10th
Super Add: #2 You’re to Blame 8-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Insane, impossible group to start the P5..

Most Likely: #9 New York Chrome 5-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Boalt Hall 10-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Neolithic 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #13 Ekhlass 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Gray Sky 12-1 6th

9th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cherry Lodge 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Runway Doll 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Fun 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Sweet Loretta 7-2 WON-DH ($4.90)

10th: Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Frosted 1-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Bradester 6-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Shaman Ghost 12-1 WON ($20.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Samraat 10-1 9th

11th: Glens Falls (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Guapaza 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Itsonlyactingdad 9-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Suffused 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Arles 10-1 2nd

12th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Annals of Time 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Hockey School 5-1 WON ($13.80)
Best Value: #5 Forever in Love 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Intensity 8-1 4th

P5 Grid:

8: 2-9-10 (A), 1-12-13 (B), 4-5-11 (C)
9: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 3 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
11: 3-6-8 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
12: 2-4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x1x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x1x1x3x3 = 27 x .50 = $13.50

P4 Grid:

9: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-6-7 (C)
10: 3 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
11: 3-6-8 (A), 4-5-10 (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
12: 2-3-4-5 (A), 1-8-9-10 (B), 6-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x6x8 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Late P5 spices Spa’s closing weekend

Friday, September 2nd, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Bellavais 8-1
Next Best: #7 Black Canary 2-1
Best Value: #1 Happy Motoring 12-1
Exotics Use: #4 Orecchiette 7-2

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Wonder Gal 7-5
Next Best: #1 First Service 9-5
Exotics Use: #3 Bella Joy 6-1

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Goodbye Sorrow
Best Value: #7 Angie’s Prim Lady
Next Best: #11 Katie O.
Exotics Use: #1 You Lie

9th: 35th Evan Shipman-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Royal Posse 8-5
Next Best: #1 Crackerjack Jones 4-1
Exotics Use: #4 Good Luck Gus 5-1

10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #1 Twenty Four Seven 8-1
Next Best: #11 Rediscover 5-2
Exotics Use: #4 Astute Warrior 7-2
Super Add: #7 Core Competency 4-1

P5 Grid:

6: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), 3-4-9 (C)
7: 2 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 1-11 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
10: 1-11 (A), 4-7 (B), 3-5-6-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 1-11 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
10: 1-4-11 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 3-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

Good luck!
Steve