Archive for the '2016' Category

It’s Super Saturday at BEL, KEE

Saturday, October 8th, 2016

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 69th Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Yellow Agate’s debut was one of the best juvy filly efforts of ’16. Built to go a route of ground, anything close to that first start wins today..

Most Likely: #4 YELLOW AGATE 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #3 Nonna Mela 8-5 4th
Best Value: #6 Colorful Charades 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Sky Gesture 2-1 5th

5th: 36th Kelso (G2), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Was in attendance for Tommy Macho’s eye-popping Fred Hooper win in February and anything close to that handles this group at nice number. 3/2-0-1 at Belmont and working steadily toward return for on-a-roll Paul Pompa..

Best Value: #7 Tommy Macho 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Anchor Down 5-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Point Piper 3-1 4th

6th: 39th Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Field of 6 didn’t need any added bodies to make it tricky with group distinguishable by no more than a length or two. With modest pace presented, feels like Sentiero Italia is the obstacle for Lady Eli today..

Most Likely: #5 Lady Eli 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #4 Sentiero Italia 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Ame Bleue 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Itsonlyactingdad 15-1 5th

7th: 1st Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational, 3+, 6f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

SCR #4 Holding Gold who runs at KEE; Difficult start to the P5 with 5 that appear very eligible (2-3-5-6-10)..

Most Likely: #2 Disco Partner 4-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Green Mask 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Pure Sensation 3-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Power Alert 10-1 2nd

8th: 145th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Syndergaard, who is a question mark stretching out, will encounter pace pressure every step. Think you want those that will stalk and go..

Most Likely: #1 Practical Joke 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #5 Favorable Outcome 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Big Gray Rocket 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Syndergaard 9-5 2nd

9th: 42nd Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Really fun running of this with some California invaders adding flavor. All 3 Chad Brown trainees look imposing. Peter Miller’s Monster Bea gets Castellano to support his rally and Inspector Lynley took next step upstate winning the Saranac..

Best Value: #6 Annals of Time 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Beach Patrol 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Monster Bea 8-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Camelot Kitten 3-1 WON ($8.00)

10th: 98th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

SCR War Story; Very little pace here. Possible that Effinex and Protonico spar mildly all the way around?

Most Likely: #6 Effinex 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Mubtaahij 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Protonico 12-1 3rd

11th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Finale that has potential to be explosive with hatful of big prices well within striking range of honors..

Most Likely: #9 Lead by Example 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Chang’s Secret 12-1 9th
Next Best: #11 No Texting 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Dearie 30-1 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 2-10 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-3-7-8-9 (C)
8: 1-5 (A), 6 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-3-5 (C)
11: 4-9-11 (A), – (B), 1-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 4-9-11 (A), 1-5-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES ~ POWER OUTAGE DELAY ~ 1ST: 1:40PM

5th: 20th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Big Rock 6-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Hogy 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Mongolian Saturday 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Almasty 8-1 5th

6th: 36th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Stonetastic 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Irish Jasper 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #5 Bendable 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 I’m a Looker 10-1 4th

7th: 19th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tepin 2-5 2nd
Next Best: #8 Celestine 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Nemoralia 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Onus 12-1 7th

8th: 103rd Breeders’ Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 No Dozing 12-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Classic Empire 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Holiday Bonus 8-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Gunnevera 4-1 5th

9th: 31st Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Cute 6-1 ML on Modialiste..

Most Likely: #4 Modialiste 6-1 4th
Best Value: #11 What a View 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Ironicus 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Tourist 3-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

5: 4-7-12 (A), – (B), 3-5-9-11 (C)
6: 1-2 (A), – (B), 5-7-8 (C)
7: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
8: 9-11 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-6-12 (C)
9: 4 (A), 8-11 (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x2x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
8: 9-11 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 6-12 (C)
9: 4-8-11 (A), 5-10 (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Commandeering 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Birdnest Party 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Souper Catch 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Borso Vento 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Guest Suite 12-1 WON ($15.20)

KEE opens with Fall Stars

Friday, October 7th, 2016

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Valadorna ran well at a mile first out versus a fancy field including Alcibiades player Queen Bernardina (Won) and Untappable sister Untapped (3rd). Mo’s M V P appears to be moving forward with experience..

Most Likely: #9 Valadorna 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #7 Mo’s M V P 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Ethylene 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Miss O’Hara 30-1 6th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Nice group but Tiz Jeweled ran into some tough customers while searching for diploma and has explosive ‘race two back’ development pattern I love to spot. Clement at 8-1 suits. Walking the Kitten the filly to beat and draw adds to appeal of alternate key horse as top tab. Inchargeofme offers sweet Shuggy upside. Amnicalola, Play the Break & Quiet Business are exotics candidates..

Most Likely: #7 TIZ JEWELED 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Walking the Kitten 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Inchargeofme 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Amnicalola 5-2 6th

.10 SUPER: 7/10 with 1/6/7/10 with 1/5/6/7/8/10 with 1/5/6/7/8/10 (2x3x4x3 = 72 x .10 = $7.20)

8th: Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Bravo and A.P. Indian want to get out of the gate and establish position and it will be interesting to see what Leparoux and rock solid W.B. Smudge do early in terms of pressing the favorite. Outside meanwhile, lead-needing Cinco Charlie most likely to be the pace-setter with newly blinkered Limousine Liberal, fast already, a prompter inside on his home strip. Alsvid and Ami’s Flatter can potentially be the recipients of a pace set-up..

Most Likely: #1 A.P. Indian 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #2 W.B. Smudge 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Ami’s Flatter 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Limousine Liberal 5-1 2nd

9th: Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Superb lineup for this post-poly resurrected G1. Mrs. Wyeth’s Motion-helmed Dancing Rags improved going T2D while stretching to a mile and now adds Lasix for 3rd career start. Bonus tote in bulky field. Out of an Empire Maker mare, 10-1 Fun saves all the ground for Wilkes while returning to Hernandez for route debut. Aforementioned Queen Bernardina adds Bravo and looks tactical behind the speed for Donnie K. Favored Daddys Lil Darling will have to work out a trip from #14, but pace will be there for her to chase. Dream Dancing and Diadura appear major threats getting on dry/fast dirt for first time..

Best Value: #4 Dancing Rags 12-1 WON ($26.60)
Next Best: #1 Fun 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Queen Bernardina 10-1 8th
Super Add: #14 Daddys Lil Darling 7-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-14) PAID $106.50
$1 Trifecta (4-14-1) PAID $897.20

10th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

If it isn’t the Ramsey entry, it could be almost any of these.. As Scully mentioned yesterday, this is a spot where meet title-obsessed outfit typically scores, but this feels like a treacherous event..

Most Likely: #1e Ramsey entry 4-1 WON ($4.00)/4th
Best Value: #2 Remembermis 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 McHenry 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Rate for Me 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Chasin Charlie 8-1 7th

P5 Grid:

6: 9 (A), 7 (B), 4-8-10 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 6 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), 3-4-5 (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 3-8-14 (B), 6-11 (C)
10: 1 (A), – (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x1 = $8 ($4 for .50)
Full (A/B/C): $85 (16 tickets; See below)

$0.50 Pick-5 (9,13,14,15,16/10/1/4/1) Paid $277.60 ($555.20 for All A’s $1)

$0.50 Pick-5 (9,13,14,15,16/10/1/4/1) Paid $3.60 (4OF5) x 11 = $39.60 (A+B)
$0.50 Pick-5 (9,13,14,15,16/10/1/4/1) Paid $3.60 (4OF5) x 3 = $10.80 (All A’s)
$0.50 Pick-5 (9,13,14,15,16/10/1/4/1) Paid $3.60 (4OF5) x 10 = $36.00 (A/B/C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 6 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 3,4,5 with 1,4 with 1 $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 3,8,14 with 1 $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 6 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 7,10 with 3,4,5 with 1,4 with 1 $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 3,8,14 with 1 $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 6 with 3,4,5 with 1,4 with 1 $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 6 with 1,2 with 3,8,14 with 1 $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 3,4,5 with 3,8,14 with 1 $9.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,8,10 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $12.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 1,5,8 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 6,7 with 1,4 with 1 $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 6,11 with 1 $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,10 $8.00

Total: $85.00

P4 Grid:

7: 7-10 (A), 6 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), 3-4-5 (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 3-8-14 (B), 6-11 (C)
10: 1 (A), 2 (B), 5-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x2x1 = $8 ($4 for .50)
Full (A/B/C): $77 (15 tickets; See below)

$0.50 Pick-4 (10/1/4/1) Paid $166.55 ($333.10 for All A’s $1)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 3,4,5 with 1,4 with 1 $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 3,8,14 with 1 $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 2 $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3,4,5 with 1,4 with 1 $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,2 with 3,8,14 with 1 $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 2 $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 3,4,5 with 3,8,14 with 1 $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 3,4,5 with 1,4 with 2 $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 3,8,14 with 2 $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,8 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 1 $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 6,7 with 1,4 with 1 $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6,11 with 1 $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 1,4 with 5,9,10 $12.00

Total: $77.00

BC Turf berth at stake in John Henry

Sunday, October 2nd, 2016

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 4th John Henry Turf Ch. (G2), 3+, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Metaboss 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Flamboyant 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Ashleylovessugar 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Messi 4-1 10th

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Viva Vegas 3-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Joe’sgoldenholiday 12-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Tapped 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Jilly 6-1 2ND

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Silent Bird 5-1 WON ($18.00)
Next Best: #5 Forest Blue 5-2 2ND
Exotics Use: #6 Alabama Tide 12-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Blameitonthelaw 4-1 4th

9th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Ok Doll 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #9 Leveler 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 How Unusual 6-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Friulian 20-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Sutton’s Smile 4-1 3RD

P4 Grid:

6: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-8-10 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 1-2-11 (B), 6-7-9 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), 4-6-8 (B), 7 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), – (B), 2-4-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 =$75
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Cup preps on Super Saturday #1

Saturday, October 1st, 2016

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 23rd Gallant Bloom, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

If Hot City Girl SCRATCHED or Momameamaria should get loose, it could be a problem. Paulassilverlining, 2 for 2 at BEL, sits behind that pair and is 3rd choice on the ML making $8 look good..

Most Likely: #4 Paulassilverlining 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #5 Momameamaria 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Wavell Avenue 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Wonder Gal 5-2 5th

8th: 38th Pilgrim (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Oscar Performance & Oiseau de Guerre the obvious power, but 6-1 1st turf Sir Douglas (More Than Ready), 2nd North America Bo Chop (12-1) and KY Downs MDN-breaker Kitten’s Cat (10-1) offer menacing value..

Most Likely: #6 Oscar Performance 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #8 Oiseau de Guerre 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 My Bo Chop 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Kitten’s Cat 12-1 3rd

9th: 77th Vosbergh (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Mud SCR of A.P. Indian (PHX at KEE next week) makes this a more compelling event in terms of wagering, especially if you have doubts regarding X Y Jet’s return to action. Without A.P. Indian, X Y Jet will be loose unless Green Gratto tears after him. Closer/stalker types (Joking, Stallwalkin’ and Dannie’s Deceiver) may be hard-pressed to reach leaders while pressers (Weekend Hideaway & Holy Boss) may have edge in terms of how race unfolds..

Most Likely: #2 Holy Boss 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Weekend Hideaway 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 X Y Jet 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Joking 8-1 WON ($10.00)

10th: 78th Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Forever Unbridled 1-1 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #5 Going for Broke 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Off the Tracks 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Tiger Ride 15-1 2nd

11th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #2 Save the Tigers 5-1 5th
Best Value: #6 D’yer Mak’er 10-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #5 It Must Be Nice 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Jo’s Bold Cat 1-1 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 4-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 6-8 (A), – (B), 1-4-5-9 (C)
9: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
10: 2 (A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 2-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-5 (3,4/3,6,10,11/3/2/6) Paid $183.50 (A-A-C-A-A)

P4 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 1-4-9 (C)
9: 1-2-3-6-7-8 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
10: 2 (A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 2-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x6x1x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$1 Pick-4 (3,6,10,11/3/2/6) Paid $179.25 ($89.62 for .50)

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: 5th FrontRunner (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Some sentiment afoot that Straight Fire can turn tables on Klimt today. I’ll stick with Klimt here but Straight Fire will be tough to reel in if he gets away easy early. Keep tabs on Gormley from Shirreffs after winning first out..

Most Likely: #6 Klimt 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Straight Fire 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Gormley 8-1 WON ($23.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Midnight Pleasure 6-1 4th

7th: 5th Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

2nd of day’s three ‘2 horse races’ and as you heard from Art Sherman yesterday in Hammer’s office, Dortmund will be more aggressive v. Chrome today. This is a big opportunity for the Big Brown colt and it may be that in a way, this is his Breeders’ Cup Classic..

Best Value: #2 Dortmund 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 California Chrome 2-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Soi Phet 30-1 5th

8th: 5th Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD)

One of the most entertaining major races of the day and fun to approach with 3 short prices out-posted..

Most Likely: #4 Avenge 6-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #12 Zipessa 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Frenzified 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Elektrum 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Decked Out 12-1 12th

9th: 5th Zenyatta (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

I’sd heed the Privman warning that Beholder comes back today breathing fire..

Most Likely: #2 Beholder 3-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Stellar Wind 8-5 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Tara’s Tango 6-1 4th

10th: 5th Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Likely the best race of the day anywhere. Champagne Room has been the ATR ‘house filly’ from the start of the summer and move to Mike Smith is a statement from Eurton. Filly to beat but there are maybe 7 others that are eligible for laurels. With 2 one mile grass wins under her belt, With Honors demands a look trying turf for the first time. Maiden Mistressofthenight (10-1) looks OK stretching out after tardy start in debut. Baffert pair of American Cleopatra and Noted and Quoted are credentialed of course and remember that the American Pharoah sister was never expected to win first out. Zapperkat and Lake Time impressed earning DMR diplomas. Deep, exciting event that bodes well for the BC Juvy Filly heat..

Most Likely: #3 Champagne Room 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 American Cleopatra 7-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Mistressofthenight 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Zapperkat 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Lake Time 10-1 5th

11th: 5th Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Nodiac 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Coppa 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Swift Lady 9-2 12th
Super Add: #11 Great Page 8-1 11th

P4 Grid:

8: 2-4-12 (A), 3-11-13 (B), 1-10-14 (C)
9: 2 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
10: 3-5-8 (A), 1-4-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
11: 6-12 (A), 10-11 (B), 1-3-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Cup Meet starts at Arcadia

Friday, September 30th, 2016

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Eddie D ~ 1st Division (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

At the least, Justin Squared and his abundant speed could prove a hazard to horse-to-beat Lady Shipman. There is some turf to be found in Justin Squared’s female family. Why Two a big shot sitting behind speed and Mrazek intrigues first turf at a price. Full brother Pay the Fine was A-OK on the lawn. 6yo Ambitious Brew 4 for 8 down the hill and usually runs his race. Cuts back from a mile here, frequently a good formula this course..

Most Likely: #1 Lady Shipman 5-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Why Two SCR
Best Value: #4 Mrazek 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Ambitious Brew 4-1 WON ($13.20)

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Important 2yo filly group with $1.5MM Bernardini/Pilfer miss Czarina (To Honor and Serve/Angela Renee full sib), back for second start as well as California Chrome full sis R Sunday Surprise in against open company..

Most Likely: #2 Czarina 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Goseecal 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 She’s My First 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Abel Tasman 8-1 WON ($14.80)

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Rockport Kat 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #1 The Gomper 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mesa Sky 4-1 5th

9th: Eddie D ~ 2nd Division (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

A much less ‘involved’ group of the 2 Eddies. Number of 5f stretchout types makes you think the pace will heat up..

Most Likely: #6 Ohio 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Guns Loaded 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Boozer 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Toowindytohaulrox 4-1 4th

P4 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 4-5-7-8-10 (B), – (C)
7: 2-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 5-9 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 3 (B), 2-4-5 (C)
9: 6 (A), 8 (B), 5-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x4x3x2 = 162 x .50 = $84
All A’s: 2x2x2x1 = $8
Full (A/B/C): $79