Keeneland action continues to be very entertaining with excellent wagering opportunities and Friday was more of the same. As suggested when putting out multi grids, ticket-building was a maddening exercise and I failed to reach the juicy $1,190 P4 (.50) despite it being well within reach. Mistake was going 4×2 in the front half when I really liked Goats Town in the 7th and 2×4 was the right approach. Saturday offers another round, while Belmont’s late P4 is anchored by a terrific Pebbles.

I’m at Far Hills today for the biggest event of the steeplechase season and may not be able to do post-SCR changes.. Hope everyone enjoys what should be a fabulous fall afternoon!

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Always Right 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Mighty Souper 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Miner’s Cat 15-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Res Ipsa 6-1 5th

6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Star Quality 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Leorific 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Our Track 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Pitch Count 5-1 5th

7th: ALW/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Nun the Less 12-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Edge of Reality 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Allied Air Raid 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Cammack 10-1 4th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Yockey’s Warrior 10-1 WON ($18.60)
Next Best: #7 Squadron A 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Viva Majorca 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Crewman 20-1 2nd

9th: 33rd QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

As always, a terrific edition of this fall standard. A host of these gals have caught up to Catch a Glimpse, but she loves this course and that’s always a huge advantage. Have to cover On Leave in everything and not sure what to do with Hawksmoor. Nick Luck gave her a good chance yesterday on ATR..

Best Value: #3 Stays in Vegas 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Harmonize 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Catch a Glimpse 2-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Time and Motion 5-2 WON ($8.00)

10th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Bellows 5-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Speightstime 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Rockshaw 6-1 WON ($16.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Takeoff 9-2 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Dilettante 5-1 11th

P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), – (B), 2-6-8 (C)
7: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50
All A’s: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Hothersal 3-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Tombelaine 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Changewilldoyagood 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Light the Night 6-1 6th

7th: NY-MSW< 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Stonecoldfox 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Easy Way Out 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Paz the Wine 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Quiet Beauty SCR

8th: 24th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Insta Erma 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Ancient Secret 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Welcoming 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #12 She Doesn’t Mind 7-2 6th

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #7 Late Night Mark 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Crafty Colonel 12-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Space Oddity 6-1 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Cotton Town 6-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

6: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-4-10 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 1 (B), 9-10 (C)
8: 4-7-8 (A), 10-12 (B), 2-3-9 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-5-6 (B), 9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 She’s a True Beauty 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Now Power 5-2 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Southern Gem 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Maryanna Star 8-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Goats Town 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #5 Stone 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Seventh Sense 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Taketothestreets 5-1 4th

8th: ALW/N2X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Torrontes 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Quijote 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Blue Wings 8-1 WON ($15.60)
Super Add: #1 Mo for the Money 6-1 5th

9th: 20th Buffalo Trace Franklin County (G3), F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #6 Everything Lovely 9-2 7th
Next Best: #9 Miss Ella 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Mississippi Delta 4-1 12th
Super Add: #11 Fair Point 4-1 2nd

10th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Dirty Red 4-1 –
Best Value: #11 Lovely Marissa 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Delphinia 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Blame the Law 12-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #8 Phone Chick 12-1 WON ($16.00)

P5 Grid:

VERY difficult ticket-building exercise..

6: 2-6 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
8: 6-7 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 6-9 (A), – (B), 3-11 (C)
10: 1-4-11 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
8: 6-7 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 6-9 (A), 3-11 (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-11 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .5

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky group to start the P5..

Most Likely: #6 Chastise 5-2
Next Best: #12 Expect a Kitten 5-1
Best Value: #11 Saintly Ballad 12-1
Exotics Use: #4 Coax 8-1

5th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

That was a hot MDN race Oso Ready debuted in and won including Guest Suite who won finale here Sunday from wide berth. Can forgive synthetic flop..

Best Value: #1 Oso Ready 8-1
Next Best: #6 Fact Finding 8-5
Exotics Use: #5 Indian Lover 3-1
Super Add: #2 Nice Not Nice 5-1

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Rock solid set of tough-to-read ALW fillies with several getting class relief out of stakes and others displaying murky current form. With modest pace signed on, Jose Ortiz could be a great fit for LoPresti/Klein miss Dear Elaine (6-1) who could steal this on the front end..

Best Value: #8 Dear Elaine 6-1
Next Best: #4 Thrilled 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Miss Mo Kelly 6-1
Super Add: #2 Crown D’ Oro 10-1

7th: 26th Jessamine (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Excellent cast of quality fillies including stakes or maiden winners from SAR, KD, LaD, CD, BEL, WO, DEL, TDN, LRL, GP and Chantilly!

Most Likely: #2 La Coronel 7-2
Next Best: #5 Sweeping Paddy 5-1
Best Value: #3 Wicked Lick 12-1
Exotics Use: #7 Lipstick City 10-1
Super Add: #4 Lull 3-1

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Ginger Stone 5-1
Next Best: #7 Mango’s Muse 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Tizsational 3-1
Super Add: #10 District Attorney 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #2 Luce Mia 8-1

P5 Grid:

4: 6-12 (A), 11 (B), 2-4-5-7-9 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3 (C)
6: 4-8 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), – (B), 3-4-7-9 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), – (B), 2-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

P4 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3 (C)
6: 4-8-9 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 5 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), – (B), 3-4-7-9 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 8 (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Lovely Bernardette 4-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #10 Perfect Prediction 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Silly Factor 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Gris Gris 6-1 5th

7th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 DONITA’S RULER 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Kathballu 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Diamond Earring 6-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Shayjolie 4-1 4th

8th: 26th Bourbon (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Last 3 winners of this exited Kentucky Downs, the previous 3 out of Saratoga..

Most Likely: #2 Ticonderoga 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Royal by Nature 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Keep Quiet 9-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #11 Heaven Is Waiting 10-1 6th

9th: 61st Spinster (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Paid Up Subscriber 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 I’m a Chatterbox 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #2 Miss Pink Diva 15-1 DNF (Fatally injured)

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Every Moment 3-1 WON ($18.60)
Best Value: #7 Dona Elba 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Barbados Kitten 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Star’s Bella Vita 6-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Vagabond Princess 8-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 8-10 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6 (C)
7: 6 (A), – (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 5-11 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 1-3 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)
10: 7-8-11 (A), – (B), 4-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 PICK FIVE (8/7/5/3/11) $19.20 (4OF5)

P4 Grid:

7: 6-7 (A), – (B), 2-4-9-10 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 5-11 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 1-3 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)
10: 7-8-11 (A), 4-5-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 PICK FOUR (7/5/3/11) $84.55

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Over Par 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Temple Keys 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Ward ‘n Jerry 6-1 WON ($17.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Sir Cal 15-1 7th

7th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Six Point Rack 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 California Clone 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Sunday Nap 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Woodfox 20-1 6th

8th: 5th L.A. Woman (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Luminance 9-5 4th
Next Best: #3 Perfect Pic 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Juno 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Gloryzapper 3-1 WON ($11.20)

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Diplodocus 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Alaskan Son 7-2 9th
Best Value: #9 Mr. Roary 8-1 WON ($13.20)
Super Add: #5 Mittersill 4-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Tiz a Billy 6-1 6th

P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-9 (A), – (B), 4-6-11 (C)
7: 8-10-11 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 6 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 6-10 (A), 3-5-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x5 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)