Archive for the '2016' Category

Hall of Fame Friday at Spa

Friday, August 12th, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Seemingly well-matched group for the price and lots of front end interest involved. Move of #8 Eqho (6-1) to Linda Rice and ideal off pace style will attract lots of attention and drive down her price considerably..

Most Likely: #8 Eqho 6-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Stormin Saratoga 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sweet Ella 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 PussyWillow 20-1 5th

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

More than half drop from $25k with favorite on steep decline which makes you squirm. Gargan/Midwest broke through yesterday with La Inesperada and seem to be cleaning house in search of W’s..

Most Likely: #2 Nuffsaid Nuffsaid 8-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Chickaletta 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #6 Live Love Laugh 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Silver Silence 6-1 3rd

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Paul Pompa has waited for $500k #4 Lyrical Moment to get ready to start career. Displayed talent between setbacks..

Best Value: #4 Lyrical Moment 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Joannie 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Fired Up Sensation 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Athena’s Aegis 5-2 WON ($4.70)

4th: OC, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Stormy Sky 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 My Savannah Belle 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Irish Jasper 9-5 WON ($3.60)

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Jumby Bay 3-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Compelled 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Courtmewithcarats 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Victory to Victory 7-2 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
2: 2-5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-2-4-5 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
5: 5-10 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 1x2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-2-4-5 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
5: 5-10 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-8-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

6th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Frozen Hannah 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Back At the Ranch 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Miss Aja Brown 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Kentucky Road 3-1 4th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bombs Away 5-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Pax in Terra 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Adulator 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Billion Star 20-1 9th

8th: OC, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

In an improbable coincidence given their career arcs, brothers Elnaawi (street Sense) and Billion Star (Bernardini) out of famed Pilfer (Deputy Minister), come together in back to back races.. You can’t make it up..

Most Likely: #8 Morandi 9-5 6th
Best Value: #3 Iconic Artist 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Bigger Picture 3-1 WON ($8.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Elnaawi 4-1 4th

9th: Tale of the Cat, 3+, 6f (DD)

Wild scrum and Ian Wilkes and Dave Jacobson have 2 each and all 4 seem highly capable of top honors including 2nd/break Stallwalkin’ Dude who annexed this event last year. Respect Dads Caps here as well..

Most Likely: #2 Stallwalkin’ Dude 10-1 WON ($18.20)
Best Value: #10 Gorgeous Bird 12-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Dads Caps 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Chief Lion 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Viva Majorca 15-1 4th

10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Otto 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Know Your Customer 8-1 WON ($9.10)

Best Value: #7 Madeyourpoint 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Caldera 5-2 4th

P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-7 (A), 3-9 (B), 6-8 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
9: 2-10-11 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), – (B), 7-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/4/2/3) Paid $647.50

Rain abates.. Fast/Firm Thursday

Thursday, August 11th, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Mrs. Phipps H., F&M-4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Particularly fun group and taking home run swing with fresh-faced fillies that were targeted for this..

Most Likely: #5 Willow U 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Give Us A Reason 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Barbara’s Smile 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Get Ready Set Goes 12-1 WON ($16.80)

2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Ultra Arumba 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Megan’s Muse 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Just Be Steppin 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Lady Chocolata 8-1 5th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Ventry Bay 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Caribou Club 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a Bracket Creep 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Hay Listen Up 12-1 6th

4th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Banner Bill 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 A. P. Cino 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Sinistra 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Late Night Lu 7-2 WON ($8.60)

5th: NY-MCLM/$40, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Electrified 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Madison Blues 7-2 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Bea Bea 3-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Munchkin Money 9-2 5th

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 La Inesperada 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #4 Dark Rain 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Prairie Stone 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Just Got Out 7-2 3rd

P5 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
3: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), 2-4-6 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-5 (C)
5: 2-4-7-11 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x4x1 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x3x2x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

3: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), 2-4-6 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-5 (C)
5: 2-4-7-11 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C)
6: 5 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

7th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Quite a hodge-podge of horseflesh..

Best Value: #9 Sky Chapparral 9-2 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #2 Cats Landing 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Playthatfunnymusic 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Long Island Express 12-1 4th

8th: NY-ALW, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Call Provision 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #8 Fulmer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Par 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Ode to the Hunt 10-1 6th

9th: NY Stallion Series-R, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Louisville First 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Frosty Margarita 7-2 4th-DH
Best Value: #4 Lady Lucky 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Ametrine 12-1 3rd

10th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #10 Seize 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Consumerconfidence 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Virga 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 River Echo 8-1 5th

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-7-9 (A), 3-6-8-10 (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 1-4-8-9 (C)
9: 4-6-9 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
10: 1-10 (A), – (B), 8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x1x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x1x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Messy Wednesday at Saratoga

Wednesday, August 10th, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Making Havoc WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #6 Miss Amalita 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Sweetrayofsunshine 2nd

3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sanfiera 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Show Giant 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Sea Pebble 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Frosty Appeal 6-1 8th

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Warranty 9-5 5th
Next Best: #1 Private Client 2-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #5 Mayas Queen Neetee 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 My Kinda Devil 9-2 2nd

5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Wild Zambezi 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Lynx 8-1 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #5 Humboldt N Frost 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 I’mbetterthangood 8-1 5th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Bree’s Got Heart 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cha Cha Heels 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Scatter Point 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 High Jingo 7-2 4th

P5 Grid:

2: 1-2-3-4-6
3: 1-2-6-8
4: 1-4
5: 10
6: 3-6-8-9

5x4x2x1x4 = 160 x .50 = $80

P4 Grid:

3: 1-2-6-8-9
4: 1-4-5-7
5: 10
6: 3-6-7-8-9

5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Electro Peg 2- 1 4th
Next Best: #8 Littlemissperfect 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 One Penny Piece 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Rhythm Queen 6-1 7th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 West Hills Giant 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Wake Up in Malibu 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Second City 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Story to Tell 5-1 6th

9th: 6th Birdstone, 3+, 14f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Turco Bravo 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Indycott 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Kid Cruz 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Old Time Hockey 3-1 3rd

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #8 Posse’s Moonbeam 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Kid Friendly 8-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #10 Rapt 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Starago 30-1 7th

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-4-5-6-7-8
8: 1-2-4-6-7
9: 5
10: 4-7-8-10

7x5x1x4 = 140 x .50 = $70

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/7/5/7) Paid $599.75

Week 3 ends with Sales as backdrop

Monday, August 8th, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Best Play 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Marriage Fever 3-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Aripeka 7-2 5th

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Haul Anchor 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Minsky Moment 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Caldonian 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Gold for the King 8-1 WON ($10.40)

3rd: NY Stallion Series, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Uno Emayo 9-2 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #2 Cloud Control 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Rooftop View 6-1 2nd

4th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Godolphin entry 2-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #7 Art Boss 8-1 3rd (Up from 4th via DQ)
Next Best: #3 Mighty Moses 7-2 4th (Up from 5th via DQ)
Exotics Use: #5 Nick Can Fix 12-1 2nd (Up from 3rd via DQ)

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Baronet 15-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Kundray 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Forever for Always 8-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Table for Six 4-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

1: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 2 (C)
2: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-4-7 (C)
3: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 1 (A), 7 (B), 3-5-6-8 (C)
5: 2-3-4-11 (A), – (B), 1-6-9-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-5 (1/4/4/1/2,13,14) Paid $1,130.50 (A-C-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-4-7 (C)
3: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 1-7 (A), 3-5-6-8 (B), 2 (C)
5: 2-3-4-11 (A), – (B), 1-6-9-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/4/1/2,13,14) Paid $193.00 (C-A-A-A)

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Syndergaard 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #1e Broman entry 8-1 3rd/5th
Next Best: #4 Mission Command 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Italian Syndicate 12-1 8th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Classic state bred turf ALW. Use prices and use as MANY as you can afford..

Most Likely: #5 Cloontia 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Hidden Vow 20-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Uncle Sigh 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Tiz a Chance 8-1 7th

8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Ocean Knight’s return, Toldedo Eddie’s Saratoga debut and Juba.. all in one race!

Most Likely: #8 Toldeo Eddie 3-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Schivarelli 4-1 WON ($8.70)
Best Value: #2 Juba 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Ocean Knight 2-1 2nd

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3, 8.5f-T

Oopha.. Quite a bunch o’ coconuts..

Best Value: #1 Abie 20-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Brooklyn Speights 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Celtic Scout 10-1 11th
Super Add: #3 Street Fightin Man 8-1 5th

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), 5-6-7 (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
9: 1-7-8 (A), – (B), 3-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x4x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)

Frosted smashingly backs up Met Mile

Sunday, August 7th, 2016

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Conquest Lucknlove 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 Stormy Alexis 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Wicked Fun 10-1 5th

2nd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 No Contingency 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 You Know I Know 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #3 Seve 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Finding Candy 6-1 2nd

3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Magsamelia 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Pret Say Eye 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Uncle Southern 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #1a Katie O 2-1 4th

4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 First Service 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Melodic 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Midnight Champagne 7-2 5th

5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Tricky read with Degrees of Freedom a wire threat if left alone too long..

Most Likely: #6 Wild Chatter 3-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Degrees of Freedom 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Hudson River Gal 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Khaleesi Kat 8-1 6th

P5 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1-6 (C)
2: 1-2 (A), – (B), 3-6-7 (C)
3: 1-3-5-7 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x4x1x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)

P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 3-6-7 (B), – (C)
3: 1-3-5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x4 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 2x5x1x2 = $20 ($10 for .50)

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cherry Lodge 3-1 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #9 Amapola 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 In It for the Gold 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Go Glam 6-1 7th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Kerjillion 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 The J Y 20-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Cliffs of Dover 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Prophet’s Cat 6-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Mighty Souper 9-2 3rd-DH
Next Best: #9 Fourstar Crook 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Montalcino 6-1 3rd-DH
Super Add: #4 Dea 8-1 2nd

9th: Alydar, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Far From Over 8-5 6th
Best Value: #7 Honorable Duty 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Touchofstarquality 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mylute 6-1 4th

10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Coasted 5-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #7 So Fancy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Joust 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Sugar and Te 8-1 8th

P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-4-6-9 (C)
8: 5-9-10 (A), – (B), 2-4-6 (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 1-4-8 (B), 3-6 (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A’s: 1x3x2x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/1,9,11/1/1,9,12,13,14) Paid $479.50